MrOverUnder86
EOG Enthusiast
Final Regular Season Record: 121-59-3, 67.2% (Over/Unders: 20-9, Spreads: 15-9-1, Teasers: 38-16, Props: 16-15-2, ML: 2-0, 2nd Half: 4-4, Live: 26-6)
Final Regular Season Amount: +$1,259
(Parlays: 1-1, not reflected in my overall $$ amount or record)
Happy New Year, although I?m a bit conflicted about leaving 2014, given the historic football gambling season that I (And hopefully all of you, if you?ve been tailing all along) have enjoyed. I mean, to literally have more than twice as many wins than losses for this many games over the course of a full season is almost inhuman. In fact, I used to believe that achieving such a high winning percentage was basically impossible in any given season, but clearly, as long as you put in the extensive work and effort like I do on a weekly basis, it is actually attainable. Just wow, what a performance.
Perhaps most impressive of all about this season is my four-week run entering the playoffs, in which I am an unbelievable 29-2 (!!!), which is 93.5%, over that span. Yes, 29-2. Let that sink in: 31 bets? 29 wins? 29-2 record. Has a 29-2 run ever been pulled off before? It?s an honest and serious question because as far as I?ve been able to look on google, there?s never been a football handicapper that has ever had a run as good as this (Winning percentage-wise, not money, obviously, since the usual range of my bets is about $30-$60).
Let that resonate once more, since odds are it's never been done before in the history of the country: 29-2, and you all have seen it play out right before your eyes over these past four glorious, glorious weeks.
This is the playoffs now, however, where everyone across America starts with a clean slate. Regular season betting is done and now everyone begins 0-0 once again, so hopefully for me, I can continue on with my historic momentum and proceed to pick up where I left off. On to the Wild Card round:
Cardinals/Panthers U40 (Bought 2 P, -150) - $75 to win $50
Analysis: Yes, it is true that in all the occurrences where I unnecessarily bought more than a half-point for an over/under, that insurance never ended up coming into play, so you could argue that I?ve only thrown a little extra money away via this method (However, as I've stated, if you tail all my plays, you don't need the insurance. You'd have the same record anyway). But, this is an isolated scenario featuring two strong defenses that could easily produce an outcome right around this line, and I want to be protected as much as I can (Of course, I?m certainly afraid of 24-17, but I?m not buying three points for -170 value). Anyway, as mentioned, these are two really good defenses set to do battle to kick off Wild Card Weekend. The Arizona defense has been amongst the best in football throughout the season, and with their vast injuries on offense, it has been this unit that has really served as their main driving force to their success up to this point. The Carolina defense, meanwhile, entered the 2014 campaign with a lot of hype, and despite a disastrous middle-of-the-season for that group, they really have settled in and are now playing their best football of the season, capped off by an outstanding performance on the road against a really, really good Atlanta offense -- and in a maximum high-stakes game, no less, that was for the NFC South crown. On the other side, Arizona?s offense has been scuffling ever since being relegated to third-string QB Ryan Lindley, and their running game hasn?t been as strong without up-and-coming Andre Ellington. Thus, you have to expect their offense to continue to scratch and claw, at best, having such little potential for big plays. As for the Panthers, their offense has started to pick it up again led by Cam Newton?s resurgence, but hopefully it?s in moderation, as they do utilize a heavy running game that eats up clock in the process, and thus, they?re a beneficial offense as it pertains to this type of under. As a result, I?m starting my NFL playoffs with this Arizona/Carolina under.
Also, an interesting fact I came across: There were six regular season games this year that had an over/under in the 30's (Crazy how times have changed, as that used to be a much more regular occurrence)... the under was 4-1-1. Just an intriguing item I'm throwing out there, as those six games really have nothing to do with this playoff game this afternoon, but just something I stumbled across this morning that some of you might find noteworthy.
No other bets as of now, although I do have a prop in mind for tonight?s Ravens/Steelers affair. I can tell you right now, though, I?m most likely not going after the spread or over/under of that game, as that?s really a tough one to have a beat on, at least for me personally. There is a prop I have my eye on so stayed tuned for that.
Final Regular Season Amount: +$1,259
(Parlays: 1-1, not reflected in my overall $$ amount or record)
Happy New Year, although I?m a bit conflicted about leaving 2014, given the historic football gambling season that I (And hopefully all of you, if you?ve been tailing all along) have enjoyed. I mean, to literally have more than twice as many wins than losses for this many games over the course of a full season is almost inhuman. In fact, I used to believe that achieving such a high winning percentage was basically impossible in any given season, but clearly, as long as you put in the extensive work and effort like I do on a weekly basis, it is actually attainable. Just wow, what a performance.
Perhaps most impressive of all about this season is my four-week run entering the playoffs, in which I am an unbelievable 29-2 (!!!), which is 93.5%, over that span. Yes, 29-2. Let that sink in: 31 bets? 29 wins? 29-2 record. Has a 29-2 run ever been pulled off before? It?s an honest and serious question because as far as I?ve been able to look on google, there?s never been a football handicapper that has ever had a run as good as this (Winning percentage-wise, not money, obviously, since the usual range of my bets is about $30-$60).
Let that resonate once more, since odds are it's never been done before in the history of the country: 29-2, and you all have seen it play out right before your eyes over these past four glorious, glorious weeks.
This is the playoffs now, however, where everyone across America starts with a clean slate. Regular season betting is done and now everyone begins 0-0 once again, so hopefully for me, I can continue on with my historic momentum and proceed to pick up where I left off. On to the Wild Card round:
Cardinals/Panthers U40 (Bought 2 P, -150) - $75 to win $50
Analysis: Yes, it is true that in all the occurrences where I unnecessarily bought more than a half-point for an over/under, that insurance never ended up coming into play, so you could argue that I?ve only thrown a little extra money away via this method (However, as I've stated, if you tail all my plays, you don't need the insurance. You'd have the same record anyway). But, this is an isolated scenario featuring two strong defenses that could easily produce an outcome right around this line, and I want to be protected as much as I can (Of course, I?m certainly afraid of 24-17, but I?m not buying three points for -170 value). Anyway, as mentioned, these are two really good defenses set to do battle to kick off Wild Card Weekend. The Arizona defense has been amongst the best in football throughout the season, and with their vast injuries on offense, it has been this unit that has really served as their main driving force to their success up to this point. The Carolina defense, meanwhile, entered the 2014 campaign with a lot of hype, and despite a disastrous middle-of-the-season for that group, they really have settled in and are now playing their best football of the season, capped off by an outstanding performance on the road against a really, really good Atlanta offense -- and in a maximum high-stakes game, no less, that was for the NFC South crown. On the other side, Arizona?s offense has been scuffling ever since being relegated to third-string QB Ryan Lindley, and their running game hasn?t been as strong without up-and-coming Andre Ellington. Thus, you have to expect their offense to continue to scratch and claw, at best, having such little potential for big plays. As for the Panthers, their offense has started to pick it up again led by Cam Newton?s resurgence, but hopefully it?s in moderation, as they do utilize a heavy running game that eats up clock in the process, and thus, they?re a beneficial offense as it pertains to this type of under. As a result, I?m starting my NFL playoffs with this Arizona/Carolina under.
Also, an interesting fact I came across: There were six regular season games this year that had an over/under in the 30's (Crazy how times have changed, as that used to be a much more regular occurrence)... the under was 4-1-1. Just an intriguing item I'm throwing out there, as those six games really have nothing to do with this playoff game this afternoon, but just something I stumbled across this morning that some of you might find noteworthy.
No other bets as of now, although I do have a prop in mind for tonight?s Ravens/Steelers affair. I can tell you right now, though, I?m most likely not going after the spread or over/under of that game, as that?s really a tough one to have a beat on, at least for me personally. There is a prop I have my eye on so stayed tuned for that.
