My Monday blog

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
"Keep your mouth shut and your ears open."

Eight words of advice I received more than 25 years ago from Richard Witt, a fellow graduate from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University.

Witt, who employs the nickname "Wildcat" for his contributions to the New York Post, offered the valuable guidance during a conversation at the now-shuttered Stardust Hotel and Casino in Las Vegas.

Listening is an underrated skill, especially in the gambling arena or any investment venue, for that matter.

Most people listen with the intent to reply; few people listen to fully comprehend the intended message.

Handicapping smarts and gambling wisdom are qualities gained from a lifetime of listening.

Once a person has mastered the art of listening, the next step in the process is listening to the right people.

And here's where the conundrum arrives.

In the sports betting world, winning gamblers rarely share their insight while losers never shut up.

How do you know who to trust?

It's wise to track others to discover which handicappers offer unique insight and ultimately a proven record of success.

I'm interested in listening to the comments of sharp sports handicappers like Frank Betti, Ron Boyles, ComptrBob, Alan Denkenson, Steve Fezzik and Matt Hatfield, just to name a handful.

The betting marketplace also speaks.

Pay close attention to the first hour of wagering when savvy gamblers are correcting the house's evaluations and the last hour of wagering when injury information and lineup changes are coming to light.

Last month, I had the pleasure of sharing lunch with Nevada head football coach Jay Norvell.

He talked and I listened.

The 52-year-old Norvell is a University of Iowa product where he played under Hayden Fry and played alongside the Stoops brothers, Bob and Mike.

(Editor's note: Norvell did not mention playing alongside EOG contributor FISHHEAD)

Norvell taught me a few things about the game of football and offered plenty of insight on the style of football he likes to play in Reno.

Here are a dozen notes I scribbled on my napkin:

1) If you want to find out how a team is going to play on Saturday, find out how they practiced in the days leading up to the game. A team that practices well, plays well.

2) University of Nevada running backs are not allowed to dance until they get the first down. Run north-south, just as the play is scripted, and then once you hit the open field, you can start to juke and jive.

3) We teach our quarterbacks to throw away from defenders. Some coaches instruct quarterbacks to hit the receiver in the numbers. What if the receiver is blanketed by coverage or bracketed by double-coverage? Quarterbacks must throw away from defenders. Location, location, location.

4) I like to design plays with our fastest receivers in the slot, forcing opposing safeties to cover them.

5) The more physical team wins. We implore our players to play with their hair on fire.

6) Plays in the kicking game are worth points or field position.

7) Placekicking in college football is a crap shoot. In the NFL, a 40-yard field goal is a gimme. There are no sure things at the college level.

8) Our linebackers are taught to play downhill.

9) We teach our cornerbacks and safeties, the last line of defense, to trust their training and use good judgment, especially in space.

10) We believe in analytics but you must make decisions based on your roster with the talent of your players in mind. (A similar point made by ComptrBob in a recent conversation)

11) The greatest measure of any defense can be summed up in one word: PURSUIT. How many hats do you get to the football?

12) Our defensive coordinator, Jeff Casteel, likes to keep it simple. He tells our defensive guys (with tongue in cheek) that the opposing offense is either going to A) Run the ball or B) Pass the ball.

Nevada football is in good hands under Jay Norvell.

Norvell respects the team's past (running plays designed by coaching legend Chris Ault) while clearing a new path for the future (constantly bragging about the talented freshmen on this year's team).

Bowl-eligible Nevada (6-4 overall, 4-2 MW) features a stingy defense and a ball-control offense and they're clearly one of the most improved teams in college football this season.

They've also covered four straight games.

(Wink, wink, nudge nudge)
 
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railbird

EOG Master
"Keep your mouth shut and your ears open."

Eight words of advice I received more than 25 years ago from Richard Witt, a fellow graduate from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University.

Witt, who employs the nickname "Wildcat" for his contributions to the New York Post, offered the valuable guidance during a conversation at the now-shuttered Stardust Hotel and Casino in Las Vegas.

Listening is an underrated skill, especially in the gambling arena or any investment venue, for that matter.

Most people listen with the intent to reply; few people listen to fully comprehend the intended message.

Handicapping smarts and gambling wisdom are qualities gained from a lifetime of listening.

Once a person has mastered the art of listening, the next step in the process is listening to the right people.

And here's where the conundrum arrives.

In the sports betting world, winning gamblers rarely share their insight while losers never shut up.

How do you know who to trust?

It's wise to track others to discover which handicappers offer unique insight and ultimately a proven record of success.

I'm interested in listening to the comments of sharp sports handicappers like Frank Betti, Ron Boyles, ComptrBob, Alan Denkenson, Steve Fezzik and Matt Hatfield, just to name a handful.

The betting marketplace also speaks.

Pay close attention to the first hour of wagering when savvy gamblers are correcting the house's evaluations and the last hour of wagering when injury information and lineup changes are coming to light.

Last month, I had the pleasure of sharing lunch with Nevada head football coach Jay Norvell.

He talked and I listened.

The 52-year-old Norvell is a University of Iowa product where he played under Hayden Fry and played alongside the Stoops brothers, Bob and Mike.

(Editor's note: Norvell did not mention playing alongside EOG contributor FISHHEAD)

Norvell taught me a few things about the game of football and offered plenty of insight on the style of football he likes to play in Reno.

Here are a dozen notes I scribbled on my napkin:

1) If you want to find out how a team is going to play on Saturday, find out how they practiced in the days leading up to the game. A team that practices well, plays well. youtube pressers are available for many teams and you can find this stuff out sometimes.

2) University of Nevada running backs are not allowed to dance until they get the first down. Run north-south, just as the play is scripted, and then once you hit the open field, you can start to juke and jive.

3) We teach our quarterbacks to throw away from defenders. Some coaches instruct quarterbacks to hit the receiver in the numbers. What if the receiver is blanketed by coverage or bracketed by double-coverage? Quarterbacks must throw away from defenders. Location, location, location.
I did this well, it carries over to baseball and basketball too.

4) I like to design plays with our fastest receivers in the slot, forcing opposing safeties to cover them.
Leach does this also, there is some Leach disciples on this staff.

5) The more physical team wins. We implore our players to play with their hair on fire.

6) Plays in the kicking game are worth points or field position.

7) Placekicking in college football is a crap shoot. In the NFL, a 40-yard field goal is a gimme. There are no sure things at the college level.
especially in Reno where the winds are swirling, and debris is blowing around.

8) Our linebackers are taught to play downhill.

9) We teach our cornerbacks and safeties, the last line of defense, to trust their training and use good judgment, especially in space.

10) We believe in analytics but you must make decisions based on the talent of your roster. (A similar point made by ComptrBob in a recent conversation)

11) The greatest measure of any defense can be summed up in one word: PURSUIT. How many hats do you get to the football?

12) Our defensive coordinator, Jeff Casteel , likes to keep it simple. He tells our defensive guys that the opposing offense is either going to A) Run the ball or B) Pass the ball.

Nevada football is in good hands under Jay Norvell.

Norvell respects the team's past (running plays designed by coaching legend Chris Ault) while clearing a new path for the future (constantly bragging about the talented freshmen on this year's team).

The bowl-eligible Wolf Pack (6-4 overall, 4-2 MW), with a stingy defense and ball-control offense, is one of the most improved teams in college football this season.

They've also covered four straight games.

(Wink, wink, nudge nudge)
 

cheapseats

EOG Master
Could not agree more when it comes to "all ears". My problem is working through the typical response because most people do not think you are listening with a "critical ear". And that is where it breaks down.
 

Valuist

EOG Master
#2 is in contrast to Bill Parcells philosophy on running backs breaking thru the front 7. Parcells said Curtis Martin was a great back because he took Parcells advice, which was after breaking thru the lineman and linebackers, run right at the safety. You can then juke at the last second and the safety will have to react. As opposed to going east-west, where the safety can always get the angle on the RB.
 

IWishIWasAPro

EOG Master
University of Nevada running backs are not allowed to dance until they get the first down. Run north-south, just as the play is scripted, and then once you hit the open field, you can start to juke and jive

Just briliant.
 

TEXED

EOG Veteran
“Big egos have little ears”

“The word LISTEN contains the same number of letters as the word SILENT”

You probably already realize this, but not only the same number of letters, but the same letters.

A very interesting blog and interesting comments. Kind of like the saying "Listen to everyone, but follow no one."

 

Heim

EOG Master
Watching NEV for the first time the other night it was surprising how big their line and backs are for a small conference program.
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
Watching NEV for the first time the other night it was surprising how big their line and backs are for a small conference program.


Good point, Heim.

Coach Norvell said he likes to recruit big-bottomed defensive linemen.
 

ejd_5277

EOG Dedicated
With regard to Norvell's first point:

I can't count the number of times I've heard a coach in his pregame presser say something like "We had a great week of practice," only to have his team come out and shit the bed yet again that weekend.

Seems to be "coach-speak" when a team has either suffered a big upset or when a team is underperforming with regard to expectations in general.

Having said that, Norvell seems to be a straight shooter and I certainly respect the work he's doing in Reno so far.

As a general rule though, be wary when you hear a coach state how great their practices were that week.

Enjoy the blog as always, JK!
 

Biff41

EOG Dedicated
For my version of a BLOG, I will post on an unlisted game Heidelberg v. Youngstown. Today at 7pm et CBB. No not the Romburg musical Heidelberg in the Alps, this is in Tiffin Oh one founded by a Reform German Group. Although their mascot is the amazing Student Prince, look for Youngtown defense to win the game by 12(maybe more.) I don't think even Batman can save the Hops guzzling Princes from the dastardly Pengies.
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
With regard to Norvell's first point:

I can't count the number of times I've heard a coach in his pregame presser say something like "We had a great week of practice," only to have his team come out and shit the bed yet again that weekend.

Seems to be "coach-speak" when a team has either suffered a big upset or when a team is underperforming with regard to expectations in general.

Having said that, Norvell seems to be a straight shooter and I certainly respect the work he's doing in Reno so far.

As a general rule though, be wary when you hear a coach state how great their practices were that week.

Enjoy the blog as always, JK!

Good counter, EJD.

Must sift through the "coachspeak" to find the substance.

I find everyone's more honest after the game or after the season.
 
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John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
For my version of a BLOG, I will post on an unlisted game Heidelberg v. Youngstown. Today at 7pm et CBB. No not the Romburg musical Heidelberg in the Alps, this is in Tiffin Oh one founded by a Reform German Group. Although their mascot is the amazing Student Prince, look for Youngtown defense to win the game by 12(maybe more.) I don't think even Batman can save the Hops guzzling Princes from the dastardly Pengies.

I didn't understand a word you wrote.
 

Mr. Met

EOG Addicted
On the old Stardust Line, a wise man once gave out some sound advice when it comes to gambling that has always stuck with me...

“Listen to everyone, but follow no one”.
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
#2 is in contrast to Bill Parcells philosophy on running backs breaking thru the front 7. Parcells said Curtis Martin was a great back because he took Parcells advice, which was after breaking thru the lineman and linebackers, run right at the safety. You can then juke at the last second and the safety will have to react. As opposed to going east-west, where the safety can always get the angle on the RB.


Oklahoma running back Kennedy Brooks just applied Parcells's philosophy perfectly on a 68-yard touchdown run to give the Sooners a 28-21 second-quarter lead over WVU.
 
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