OT: Insurance

munson15

I want winners...
Re: OT: Insurance

Guys, he HAS to look at the fact the percentage chance of a large claim increase dramatically as he and his wife grow older. I disagree with Slim (a rarity) that he can backtest this.
 

RealSlimShady

EOG Dedicated
Re: OT: Insurance

Munson, you are correct. Past results is not always a definite predictor of future results(ala the stockmarket). I'm pretty sure that he would have saved money in the previous periods, though. Even going forward, I would still guess this to be the case.....BARRING a catastrophe. Basically, this is what it boils down to.......are you willing to overpay to cover yourself from a disaster?
 
Re: OT: Insurance

Wait till I talk to Tim Donaghy and fix some games on ya! :devil:

I bet you will be ahead using that strategy. You can back test this, I guess. How much have you paid in premiums the last 3, 5 and 10 years? Add that to how much did you paid in deductibles over those periods on doctor visits. Then compare it vs how much you would have spent if it was pure "out of pocket" visits to the doctor. I bet insurance cost you money over those periods.

That being said, people are just afraid of the total catastrophe......cancer or some serious, serious illness. People are willing to overpay for the 1 in 100, 1 in 1000 or 10,000 chance of a total financial disaster.

1 in 2 men get cancer in their life time, 1 in 3 women.
 

munson15

I want winners...
Re: OT: Insurance

Munson, you are correct. Past results is not always a definite predictor of future results(ala the stockmarket). I'm pretty sure that he would have saved money in the previous periods, though. Even going forward, I would still guess this to be the case.....BARRING a catastrophe. Basically, this is what it boils down to.......are you willing to overpay to cover yourself from a disaster?
Agreed it's a tough call, but for me the defining factor is that Travis appears to be reasonably wealthy and has more to lose than some schlub who doesn't have much going for him anyway. I would recommend to him that he take a policy with a pretty high deductible to protect his assets against something catastrophic.
 

RealSlimShady

EOG Dedicated
Re: OT: Insurance

Agreed it's a tough call, but for me the defining factor is that Travis appears to be reasonably wealthy and has more to lose than some schlub who doesn't have much going for him anyway. I would recommend to him that he take a policy with a pretty high deductible to protect his assets against something catastrophic.

Valid point. Seeing that you are a little older than me(and wiser), he probably should heed your advice! :)
 

Timely Hero

Jacoby Blows
Re: OT: Insurance

My gramps is a professional gambler and has been his entire life and the first thing he taught me when I started playing cards was that "Most things in life are worth a gamble, including your monthly bills, but when it comes to family you're better off overpaying to insure they're always happy, than short changing them to save yourself a buck. You can't put a price on their life." Wisest words I've ever heard IMO, but I only cover myself now.
 

Timely Hero

Jacoby Blows
Re: OT: Insurance

To try and quantify the lives of your family, or the likelihood of their demise is something that should never be gambled on IMO. I'd rather over pay my life savings and save my own blood than underpay or invest and risk their lives.
 

Timely Hero

Jacoby Blows
Re: OT: Insurance

Of course it's -EV in terms of money, but we make -EV decisions in life all the time as a trade for peace of mind or other psychological/qualitative issues.
I'd beg to differ. I know that my mothers mental struggles early in life, and my jaundice as a young child cost about as much as insurance has cost the past 20 years of my life. Any major illness to your family, and your insurance is a huge +ev investment, and as TN said the cancer rates have risen and the cost for that is certainly more than your insurance payments.
 

IrishTim

EOG Dedicated
Re: OT: Insurance

I'd beg to differ. I know that my mothers mental struggles early in life, and my jaundice as a young child cost about as much as insurance has cost the past 20 years of my life. Any major illness to your family, and your insurance is a huge +ev investment, and as TN said the cancer rates have risen and the cost for that is certainly more than your insurance payments.

The insurance company obviously isn't going to charge you less than they think you will cost them in your life. That's what I meant by -EV. They are professionals at calculating the probabilities. Of course randomness plays a role and many will end up in the black, but based on pure money and probabilities, insurance is -EV. That said, I don't think it's one of those things worth gambling on - at least for your family. Perhaps a single male is a different story.
 

Timely Hero

Jacoby Blows
Re: OT: Insurance

The insurance company obviously isn't going to charge you less than they think you will cost them in your life. That's what I meant by -EV. They are professionals at calculating the probabilities. Of course randomness plays a role and many will end up in the black, but based on pure money and probabilities, insurance is -EV. That said, I don't think it's one of those things worth gambling on - at least for your family. Perhaps a single male is a different story.
Agree with you 100% so no need to get into it anymore. :cheers
 

RealSlimShady

EOG Dedicated
Re: OT: Insurance

The insurance company obviously isn't going to charge you less than they think you will cost them in your life. That's what I meant by -EV. They are professionals at calculating the probabilities. Of course randomness plays a role and many will end up in the black, but based on pure money and probabilities, insurance is -EV. That said, I don't think it's one of those things worth gambling on - at least for your family. Perhaps a single male is a different story.

Well put, Tim!
 

SlipperyPete

EOG Dedicated
Re: OT: Insurance

Save the premiums, put them in an interest bearing account and then if and when you get sick go overseas (Thailand, Brazil, Hungary etc) and get it done cheaply and just as well.

If you are young enough and nothing happens to you for 10 years, you would be set

or as someone else mentioned go with the high deductible plan in case you get into an accident but for everything else, you go overseas
 

Bucky

EOG Dedicated
Re: OT: Insurance

OSU - you need to factor in the implied odds that your policy could pay (what) up to $5 million per family member. Agrees to insure them as long as the premium is paid to their age 65 even if their health changes and they have claims every month. Blue Cross is high because it has office co-pay coverage and a prescription drug card. Do you think you could get into a specialists office if a member of your family comes up with a difficult issue that the local general practioner cannot diagnose or determine? At that point $7500 would be pretty cheap if it would save a life. Sure, you can always get medical care - you just cannot get care from the best in America upon your demand without insurance or money up front.

You don't even want to collect $7500 on your insurance just so you get "value". You don't want your house to burn down every year so you can collect and get your money's worth. You don't want to wreck your car every year so you can collect back your premiums. Insurance and gambling do not have that much in common. You can't bet a million bucks and manage the risk so the most you pay out is 5k if you lose. An insurance claim is a bet you don't want to collect on. Because if you win and collect more than you paid in you are really losing because you went thru the misery of the health issue.

The $7500 you pay would have tremendous value if you had a million dollar claim. That's what you are paying the premium for is the implied odds. The insurance company stepping in and paying the amount of money that would be a hardship to write a check for. People lose everything they have or ever will have when a family member gets sick and they have no insurance. On top of that a man has a responsiblity to his family to take care of them if they become sick or injured.

The advice the other posters gave about getting a bigger deductible in order to reduce the premium is very sound. Just remember you can move the deductible up within the company you are with without underwriting but if you ever get sick you cannot reduce the deductible again unless you can prove you have good health (catch 22).

Ok, this is not directed at you OSU or anybody in particular but there is a part of America that thinks they should get healthcare from a Doctor for free. They don't want to pay a premium but if they get sick they want a Doctor to give them medical care and not bitch when they don't pay them. Say what? Hey- how about some free groceries - gas - utilities, etc., etc. People pay insurance premiums for the "promise" from the insurance company to pay claims if something big comes up. Not to get the X-Ray paid for on a sprained ankle.
 

Bucky

EOG Dedicated
Re: OT: Insurance

Oh, and I did not even get into going with a cut rate price from a smaller company - small risk pool. Those premiums can really go thru the roof in a few years and then if you have an impairment you cannot switch to anybody else.
 

Tamer

EOG Enthusiast
Re: OT: Insurance

Increase the deductible and contribute to a HSA account.

Must have a high deductible in order to qualify for a HSA (Health Saving account) You can contribute pretax dollars to these plans and make withdrawals for medical expenses, deductibles etc. And if you don't use the money, it can be rolled out into an IRA.

Or try and find a like group of people as yourself and form a common group to qualify for a group plan...TTP would no more about that.
 

newport2

EOG Dedicated
Re: OT: Insurance

Increase the deductible and contribute to a HSA account.

Must have a high deductible in order to qualify for a HSA (Health Saving account) You can contribute pretax dollars to these plans and make withdrawals for medical expenses, deductibles etc. And if you don't use the money, it can be rolled out into an IRA.
Great advice! I have a $10,000 deductible, and have used very little of my contributions over the years.
 

OSU COWBOYS

EOG Dedicated
Re: OT: Insurance

All you guys have done a great job of chiming in. I thank all of you for your comments and input.

Leaning to a very,very high deductible policy. Will shop around to my current carrier and ones mentioned in this thread.

I'll post my preliminary findings and let you guys toss it around.
 

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Re: OT: Insurance

^^^^^^^^^^ One thing to keep in mind is having a kid under your policy changes everything because at his age ANYTHING can happen and since he means EVERYTHING to you making sure he gets the best medical care he can if he needs it is something you need to have happen
 

railbird

EOG Master
Re: OT: Insurance

lay off sugar,salt,smoking,alcohol. Eat leafy greens, put your seat belt on and dont go skiing. Dont need insurance.
 

Herbie

EOG Addicted
Re: OT: Insurance

Save the premiums, put them in an interest bearing account and then if and when you get sick go overseas (Thailand, Brazil, Hungary etc) and get it done cheaply and just as well.

If you are young enough and nothing happens to you for 10 years, you would be set

or as someone else mentioned go with the high deductible plan in case you get into an accident but for everything else, you go overseas

This option with very high deductible would probably be appropriate for most...
 

KingRevolver

Born Rambler
Re: OT: Insurance

Munson, a $5k deductible is large, but there was even a $10k option. I figure I'm still fairly young, I don't smoke, and aside from some anxiety I'm in great shape. Never had a surgery in my life, knock on wood. If I'm slapped with a $30k surgery bill, God forbid, then a $5k deductible is practically the same to me as a $2k deductible at that point.

Plus, each month I'm saving hundreds of dollars that many on here are evidently spending. I'll use that saved money towards the difference in my $5k deductible and, say, a $1k deductible. Last year alone I probably saved $2k on skirting more expensive insurance that was readily available. It was a gamble that paid off.

Good post.

Recently changed to Blue Cross/Blue Shield of AZ.

$3,000 Deductible

0% Coinsurance after Deductible

And I don't have to pay anything else (prescriptions, vision, visits, bills) after deductible is met each year.

I'm basically insuring myself in case of a catastrophe. Other than being 20 pounds overweight, I'm pretty healthy, so I can handle small doctor's visits myself. Plus, it would go toward my deductible.

The plan is also HSA eligible. So I can save money (toward medical expenses) in a tax-favored savings account.

Not bad for $95 a month. :btj:
 
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