PGA Championship contest

#41
Here are picks....thanks for participating guys

Entrant Group A Group B Group C Group D Group E Wildcard 1 Wildcard 2 Tiebreaker
ChiTownJoe Koepka Rahm Finau Leishman Garcia M.Wallace Harding 272
BigDeemer Koepka Schauffele Day Reed Garcia M.Wallace Piercy 271
BigRunner Koepka Molinari Kuchar Simpson Scott Bjerregarrd R. Labritz 264
Chef Koepka Schauffele Fleetwood Kisner Garcia M.Wallace Piercy 271
TryTryTry DJohnson Schauffele Cantlay Reed Matsuyama M.Wallace Bradley 271
JohnKelly Koepka Rahm Fleetwood Reed Scott Kokrak Piercy 278
ViejoDinosaur#1 DJohnson Rahm Day Simpson Scott Hoffman Pepperell 272
ViejoDinosaur#2 Woods Schauffele Finau Leishman Scott Moore Holmes 272
Shapsplace Koepka Rahm Finau Simpson Scott Spieth Kokrak 273
 
#43
Preliminary Standings halfway thru R1:

Entrant Proj-Score Par Holes-Left Holes-Played
Shapsplace 485 -5 71 55
Chef 486 -4 16 110
ChiTownJoe 489 -1 45 81
JohnKelly 490 0 26 100

ViejoDinosaur#2 491 1 52 74
BigRunner 491 1 34 92
BigDeemer 492 2 17 109
ViejoDinosaur#1 495 5 76 50
TryTryTry 495 5 46 80
 
#45
Standings thru R1 (post if any errors):
Entrant Score Par
Shapsplace 488 -2
JohnKelly 490 0
BigDeemer 491 1
TryTryTry 491 1
Chef 492 2
ChiTownJoe 494 4
BigRunner 494 4
ViejoDinosaur#1 500 10
ViejoDinosaur#2 501 11
 
#48
R2 early standings, Cut looks to be +3 or +4.

Entrant Score Par Holes-Left Holes-Played
TryTryTry 977 -3 103 149
BigRunner 983 3 116 136
BigDeemer 984 4 120 132
Chef 984 4 120 132
JohnKelly 985 5 107 145
Shapsplace 987 7 85 167
ChiTownJoe 992 12 103 149
ViejoDinosaur#2 997 17 101 151
ViejoDinosaur#1 997 17 90 162
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
#50
R2 early standings, Cut looks to be +3 or +4.

Entrant Score Par Holes-Left Holes-Played
TryTryTry 977 -3 103 149
BigRunner 983 3 116 136
BigDeemer 984 4 120 132
Chef 984 4 120 132
JohnKelly 985 5 107 145
Shapsplace 987 7 85 167
ChiTownJoe 992 12 103 149
ViejoDinosaur#2 997 17 101 151
ViejoDinosaur#1 997 17 90 162
Thanks for the update, Bob.
 
#51
Halfway thru R2 (Note: I have not assessed any MC penalties yet):
Entrant Score Par Holes-Left

Shapsplace 975 -5 32
BigRunner 977 -3 56
JohnKelly 977 -3 53
TryTryTry 979 -1 71

BigDeemer 986 6 69
Chef 987 7 67
ViejoDinosaur#1 995 15 34
ChiTownJoe 996 16 55
ViejoDinosaur#2 1002 22 56
 
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#52
After completion of R2, cut at +4:
Entrant Score Par

BigRunner 968 -12
Shapsplace 970 -10
TryTryTry 974 -6
JohnKelly 974 -6
BigDeemer 976 -4
Chef 978 -2

ChiTownJoe 989 9
ViejoDinosaur#1 993 13
ViejoDinosaur#2 1008 28
 
#54
Looks like it is going to be between BigRunner & Shapsplace, the rest of us are slamming are trunks (golf reference to missing the cut) and going home.

TOTAL PAR Group A Group B Group C Group D Group E Wildcard 1 Wildcard 2
BigRunner 968 -12 128 140 140 141 135 140 144
Shapsplace 970 -10 128 145 143 141 135 135 143
TryTryTry 974 -6 136 139 139 146 138 136 140
JohnKelly 974 -6 128 145 138 146 135 143 139
BigDeemer 976 -4 128 139 143 146 145 136 139
Chef 978 -2 128 139 138 153 145 136 139
ChiTownJoe 989 +9 128 145 143 148 145 136 144
ViejoDinosaur#1 993 +13 136 145 143 141 135 142 151
ViejoDinosaur#2 1008 +28 145 139 143 148 135 150 148
 
#57
I think with Rich Beem wanting to get in the broadcast booth as fast as he can for SKY SPORTS, it is safe to say BigRunner is moving like a tremendous machine, Secretariat like.
 
#58
Halfway thru R3, projecting worst 4R score at +20 (worst: Rich Beem at +16 thru R3):
Entrant Score Par Holes-Left

BigRunner 1466 -4 69
Shapsplace 1475 5 60
TryTryTry 1479 9 88

JohnKelly 1497 27 65
BigDeemer 1498 28 61
Chef 1499 29 77
ViejoDinosaur#1 1513 43 43
ChiTownJoe 1526 56 36
ViejoDinosaur#2 1551 81 30
 
#59
Almost finished with R3.
Entrant Score Par Holes-Left

BigRunner 1470 0 14
TryTryTry 1475 5 12
Shapsplace 1482 12 21

BigDeemer 1497 27 13
Chef 1500 30 14
JohnKelly 1501 31 15
ViejoDinosaur#1 1515 45 13
ChiTownJoe 1527 57 13
ViejoDinosaur#2 1549 79 7
 
#62
Did these fast, so I'll have double check ---used 227 for everyone cut.....TIE

TOTAL PAR Group A Group B Group C Group D Group E Wildcard 1 Wildcard 2
BigRunner 1471 +1 198 213 212 213 207 210 218
TryTryTry 1471 +1 205 207 207 227 206 206 213
Shapsplace 1478 +8 198 227 212 213 207 207 214
Chef 1486 +16 198 207 210 227 227 206 211
BigDeemer 1488 +18 198 207 212 227 227 206 211
JohnKelly 1494 +24 198 227 210 227 207 214 211
ViejoDinosaur#1 1508 +38 205 227 212 213 207 217 227
ChiTownJoe 1514 +44 198 227 212 227 227 206 217
ViejoDinosaur#2 1534 +64 227 207 212 227 207 227 227
 
#68
Try's picks are actually better, but because he had Patrick Reed, who missed the cut, he gets double Reed's 146 2R score = 292 or worst 4R score +1 = 297 (Rich Beem as of end of R3).

So unless Beem scores 6 UNDER or better in R4, Try is stuck with Beem's score + 1.
 

trytrytry

All I do is trytrytry
#69
Beem for now but anyone else could blow up right computer?
im not just holding breath on this horrible train wreck Beem??? what is some other dude goes +14 or something and it could be worse! I do like my 6 actually playing!.

big Runner has to be -333 in this right?
 

Bigrunner

EOG Dedicated
#70
I havr some clown with 227. how am I tied???
I've got you beat in 2 groups by a total of 21 strokes. You're beating me in the other 5 groups by 21 strokes. It's a wash right now, we're tied. You're at a small disadvantage because Beem will probably have a very bad fourth round. But you still have 6 other groups to make up a fourth round deficit created by Beem. Your chances of winning are close to 50% I believe.
 

trytrytry

All I do is trytrytry
#71
Bigrunner, I know I had an incredible game today. but I see you at 70% I just cant back Beem on $100.


for $100 side bet (not the same as contest) Ill take my 6 guys playing and you type in what 6 on your team you want (choose any 6 of your 7). best total score 4th round of the 6 guys both camps get an extra $100.

to confirm just type in yes and the 6 golfers you will use!

before midnight pacific.

Im signing off for the night.
 
#72
Beem for now but anyone else could blow up right computer?
im not just holding breath on this horrible train wreck Beem??? what is some other dude goes +14 or something and it could be worse! I do like my 6 actually playing!.

big Runner has to be -333 in this right?
I have estimated Beam as around +4 to +7 tomorrow, he was +12 today, but you are right, there are 2 golfers at +11, 3 at +10, and 2 at +9 that could explode with a +14 or more.

I would make BR roughly a -250 favorite right now.
 

Bigrunner

EOG Dedicated
#73
Bigrunner, I know I had an incredible game today. but I see you at 70% I just cant back Beem on $100.


for $100 side bet (not the same as contest) Ill take my 6 guys playing and you type in what 6 on your team you want (choose any 6 of your 7). best total score 4th round of the 6 guys both camps get an extra $100.

to confirm just type in yes and the 6 golfers you will use!

before midnight pacific.

Im signing off for the night.
Try, this wasn't my objective. I was trying to hedge my bet. Computerbob has me -250 go into Rd 4. Based on that I made you a great offer. I was hedging. I win you get $100 from me. You win I get $100 from you. You & I are the only ones that can win. If I'm -250 which is a little high IMO, you should've taken my offer.

No worries. Good luck!
 
#77
Marty Jertson (+8 for the day) and at +18 thru 16 holes looks like the worst 4R score.

Standings, very early in R4:

Entrant Score Par Holes Left
BigRunner 1961 1 113
TryTryTry 1963 3 106
Shapsplace 1970 10 104

BigDeemer 1982 22 90
Chef 1987 27 90
JohnKelly 1988 28 86
ViejoDinosaur#1 2005 45 78
ChiTownJoe 2010 50 61
ViejoDinosaur#2 2033 73 54
 
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