Question for ComptrBob - Are Wong teasers beatable at -110 since the extra point was moved back?

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pro analyser

EOG Dedicated
Moving the extra point has to hurt wong teasers. Some teams like pittsburg go for two and the game falls 8 instead of 7, or like the jacksonville game yesterday, the dog goes for the win and you lose the opportunity to win by 3 in ot.
 
C

ComptrBob

EOG Master
Yes, Wong teasers work by crossing the key numbers of 3 and 7 so at -110 they were statistically profitable. Obviously, the extra point conversion rate is down, weakening the 7. Going for two is about 0 EV instead of -EV so teasers only up to 7.5 are weakened. Also extending OT by an answering possession after a FG, and reducing OT to 10 minutes has marginally weakened the 3 due to increased ties, weakening fav teased down to -1.5 to -2.5pt teasers.

Now, its a somewhat closer proposition and most books charge -120 for 6 pt NFL teasers.
 
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