That's the truest shit you ever spoke and speaks to my entire point.
Tupac Quotes for $200, Alex.
That's the truest shit you ever spoke and speaks to my entire point.
Tupac Quotes for $200, Alex.
if your bankroll gets ruined, doesnt mean your permantley broke
I know more about Mustafa Shakur than Tupac Shakur.
I know more about Mustafa Shakur than Tupac Shakur.
Cannot lie.
Google search.
I answer to old guy, not original gangster.
Did not Google "OG."
I used to hate the dreaded CGT -105
side. No matter how
much I liked the side
I'd bet their lean elsewhere...
We all understand that getting the best number of a bet is the second most important thing in sports betting. But my question is how do you interpret the market if the best number available is at one of the following books.
Offshore
Pinnacle
Bookmaker
Grande
Vegas
Westgate
South Point
If you are looking to make a bet and the best number on your screen is at one of these places does this make it a no bet or do you play the opposite way?
There are enough square books out there with larger spreads that if a book that takes big sharp action has the best available number that seems to be a red flag. Yet how can this info be used to our advantage?
ive seen mindless threads like this always pop up.
I move the number a little in MLB someone heavy involved it seems via Twitter. I move it more in football on my own but I am obsessed with openers and I pay great attention to 3 books.
Grande 1st up I respect them the most. They take a serious wager and dont deal with as much rec money. Anything that moves there first I want to know about and make sure I'm not on other side or am down in full already if I agree.
Catalina only because whoever moves their overnight is unreal good at NBA. Took me until March to realize this unfortunately. Whoever he, she or they are they never got a single move wrong in 3 months and won much more than me and my partner.
Cris any huge 9 cent or point and half move spike (not gradual) on anything I like to know about.
The problem with screen watching is it will eventually cause you chess player problems. You watch it too often and you can talk yourself in and out of any bet. You become too reliant on it and your overall approach can become lazy. Steam doesn't win enough to ever take bad numbers.. the same guy who laid 115 isnt likely to lay 23 3 minutes later...took me 50k minimum from 12-16 to realize this.
in my observation the main problem of gamblers with a large overbet (Even if +EV situation) is not that one bet, but the possible psychological effect, I call it the trigger effect on your next series of bets if you lose. . know your trigger point were on a loss you dont really react or have a behavior change, dont over bet your trigger point and for same that amount is much much much less than a Kelly number, (brain chemistry and feelings , anxiety , revenge feelings, is real in money lost, feelings on money lost is much stronger than the same amount of money won, many studies on that) . the nice thing about +EV wagers is that over time you will still around and your trigger point will rise over time with repetition.
Isn't the idea of betting with an edge and betting a percentage of your roll clearly displayed in terms of blackjack. If the true count gets very high there has to be a max amount you should bet according to your roll and the true count. There is NEVER a true count where a bet it all amount becomes the proper bet size.
I've listened to plenty of "Gambling with an Edge" podcast shows with blackjack professionals where a downswing happens for tens of thousands of dollars. The combination of the true count along with a proper bet size according to your roll is what makes it profitable not just the true count.
Gamebred. I am very very surprised that Rufus debated you on this discussion given his podcast with Jeff Ma who clearly understands the concept of +EV bets with proper bet size given his blackjack history.
This thread is tired, ive read it 100 times over 20 yrs at 7 different forumsRail,
Let me help you out, Drink basically answered Sporty's question. Please reread his response and try to learn something,
Anything else I can help you with?
Isn't the idea of betting with an edge and betting a percentage of your roll clearly displayed in terms of blackjack. If the true count gets very high there has to be a max amount you should bet according to your roll and the true count. There is NEVER a true count where a bet it all amount becomes the proper bet size.
I've listened to plenty of "Gambling with an Edge" podcast shows with blackjack professionals where a downswing happens for tens of thousands of dollars. The combination of the true count along with a proper bet size according to your roll is what makes it profitable not just the true count.
Gamebred. I am very very surprised that Rufus debated you on this discussion given his podcast with Jeff Ma who clearly understands the concept of +EV bets with proper bet size given his blackjack history.
it's a mathematical fact that overbetting your edge increases your Risk of Ruin
At your age I would advise a glass of warm milk and a nap then.This thread is tired, ive read it 100 times over 20 yrs at 7 different forums
This thread is tired, ive read it 100 times over 20 yrs at 7 different forums
This is solid.
JK's poker playing friend shed some truth when he said money management prevents you from going broke but also
prevents you from making money.....
JK's poker playing friend shed some truth when he said money management prevents you from going broke but also
prevents you from making money.....
You never graduate from the fundamentals.
Just imagine overbetting your edge when in the midst of one of these inevitable drawdowns.... it's Goodnight Gracie; it just is. Don't get me wrong, some equity paths will see your way out of it (until the next drawdown comes) while others will see you to the poor house. You want to eliminate, "The Others," not invite them in for tea.
JK's poker playing friend shed some truth when he said money management prevents you from going broke but also
prevents you from making money.....
JK's poker playing friend shed some truth when he said money management prevents you from going broke but also
prevents you from making money.....