Repeating a losing bet in baseball

B

bomzee

EOG Dedicated
Comparable to poker
In poker Sometimes it’s the second bet or
Even the third bet/Bluff that gets the pot.
So often in baseball
Repeating the losing bet tomorrow
After losing today
Is a winning formula
Sometimes hold your nose
rinse and repeat and cash
 
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M

MrTop

EOG Master
what if I did not bet the first day and I bet the 2nd ?
what if the team has the next day off ?
rainout ?
different team ?
go against bosox sale pitching at home?
 
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B

bomzee

EOG Dedicated
MrTop said:
what if I did not bet the first day and I bet the 2nd ?
what if the team has the next day off ?
rainout ?
different team ?
go against bosox sale pitching at home?
Click to expand...
All fair questions
And having the proper odds over rides everything
So
My answer (or non answer) is each situation
You allude to is worth a strong consideration
If not a wager
The second chance bets is a very strong winning subset
For me
I don’t always bite but I always consider them.
 
M

MrTop

EOG Master
bomzee said:
All fair questions
And having the proper odds over rides everything
So
My answer (or non answer) is each situation
You allude to is worth a strong consideration
If not a wager
The second chance bets is a very strong winning subset
For me
I don’t always bite but I always consider them.
Click to expand...



I agree they could be good bets. I remember CSW use to keep stats on odds & stats. They had a very interesting section that you were talking about. It kept the amount of series that were split , won, lost and tied during the year. Now the oddsmaker must go one step further keeping these stats every year seeing if there are trends. CSW use to put the odds included if it won or lost money during the year also.

sorry for the format , but you get the idea …….. HL would be home lost HW home won




% HW HL % HOME % AWAY %
1ST GAME 32 429 357 54.6 -823 -1.0 -2989 -3.8
H WON 1ST 18 234 192 54.9 -2101 -4.9 -226 -0.5
A WON 1ST 15 191 162 54.1 1168 3.3 -2934 -8.3
HH 9 129 82 61.1 2447 11.6 -3394 -16.1
HA 7 97 81 54.5 -797 -4.5 -71 -0.4
AH 7 98 84 53.8 179 1.0 -952 -5.2
AA 6 76 69 52.4 970 6.7 -1544 -10.6
GAME 4+ 6 81 67 54.7 -71 -0.5 -568 -3.8
TOTAL 100 1335 1094 55.0 972 0.4 -12678 -5.2

SERIES WON , LOST, TIED WHEN AWAY & HOME.
G1A = NET BETTING ON TEAM WHEN AWAY IN SERIES OPENER @ $100 FLAT BET

TM AW AL AT SO HW HL HT SO G1A G2A G3+A G1H G2H G3+H
ARZ 14 9 4 5 12 9 4 0 -81 100 -759 -422 -1180 215
ATL 13 11 1 2 19 3 4 1 -290 -82 1122 -167 618 844
CHC 12 10 4 0 13 11 1 1 628 -81 -131 -308 -996 0
CIN 9 17 0 3 11 11 4 6 782 348 -667 -22 -219 -144
COL 4 19 2 8 15 8 3 2 -574 -763 -1187 -52 310 1078
FLO 11 11 4 5 16 7 2 1 -220 405 -164 821 967 156
HOU 10 13 3 3 14 11 0 1 91 -135 -254 515 -598 -227
LA 10 12 3 5 13 10 3 1 -413 -293 562 -970 816 -525
MLW 10 13 2 4 7 17 2 7 601 1371 -459 -467 -644 -210
MON 6 18 1 8 16 9 1 1 -787 -711 124 670 718 659
NYM 10 14 2 8 11 16 0 7 248 -993 417 -408 -208 -430
PHI 10 14 3 5 16 8 2 4 -772 102 -609 25 304 -291
PIT 9 13 3 4 9 13 4 1 296 557 -511 33 -493 259
SD 6 17 3 6 9 13 3 4 -614 502 -201 -93 -524 -137
SF 15 11 0 3 20 4 1 1 -192 975 -450 1405 599 -33
STL 13 10 2 6 15 9 2 2 -575 -528 79 -1104 -207 1106
ANA 10 14 2 6 11 12 2 1 -226 -522 -758 -1128 807 61
BAL 6 14 5 6 12 12 2 4 -968 619 -80 -910 963 167
BOS 13 10 3 2 14 8 4 0 -636 -252 -542 -105 488 366
CWS 10 13 2 6 17 6 3 2 -1165 -590 -293 348 134 205
CLE 8 15 2 10 11 12 3 4 -612 -843 212 -242 -45 -164
DET 4 21 1 11 3 22 0 10 -708 330 -1646 -1018 -392 -579
KC 11 10 5 2 11 12 3 6 857 164 505 383 -718 256
MIN 14 9 2 5 15 7 4 3 234 -222 303 185 576 -142
NYY 17 9 1 0 15 8 4 3 486 235 360 -541 -1690 1167
OAK 12 11 2 3 20 4 2 0 -90 -795 -775 1129 -379 1188
SEA 12 12 2 1 15 7 3 0 635 -651 -451 1132 -1214 -380
TB 5 18 3 6 10 11 4 4 -4 273 -987 686 1142 -1614
TEX 5 16 4 8 12 12 2 3 314 -1148 -583 125 269 648
TOR 14 10 3 2 12 11 2 5 766 -532 1294 -323 -137 -771
TOT 302 396 71 140 401 297 74 86 -3198 -3342 -4648 -568 865 3357
 
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MrTop

EOG Master
CSW does not exist anymore I wish it did. They use to use the odds from the stardust. openers& closers.
 
John Kelly

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
Hmmm...

There's an old expression in baseball that goes against BOMZEE's theory: "Nothing that happened last year or last night matters today."

Of course, that's not true, especially when it comes to bullpen usage.

Often times, I believe last night's winner has an edge the following night because the loser's bullpen is more likely to be ravaged.
 
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