The EOG Octagon (RAILBIRD v John Kelly)

Abundy

EOG Enthusiast
Except for Rail's history, I would make JK about -300.

I think JK is getting help from some Costa Rican women.
 
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shotcall0

EOG Senior Member
Birdie is pulling a Jared Goof.
This is the octagon and rail lost the first rd
But remember there’s 5 rds in a championship fight
He only has 3 picks in
Rail is goin for a 4peat n undefeated in this format
This is far from over
U don’t win 3 months in a row without skill
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
Reports of Rail's death are greatly exaggerated.

I will have at least four plays from this Saturday's card.

My thoughts: It's easier to win in early February than late February.
 
This is the octagon and rail lost the first rd
But remember there’s 5 rds in a championship fight
He only has 3 picks in
Rail is goin for a 4peat n undefeated in this format
This is far from over
U don’t win 3 months in a row without skill
So it takes skill to flip a coin and land heads 3X in a row? Birdie has been dominant but not ouside the variance. Once he wins enough where you can't duplicate easily with the coin test then crown his ass.
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
Four pieces for Saturday:

Play #12: 627 Colorado State -5.5 (-110) over Wyoming at William Hill

Play #13: 676 Illinois -6 (-110) over Rutgers at William HIll

Play #14: 765 Washington -1 (-110) over Arizona State at Westgate

Play #15: 771 Cal Davis +8.5 (-110) over Cal Santa Barbara at William Hill
 
Cal Davis opened at WH this afternoon (3:58 PST) at +8.5, moved to +8 at 8:08 pm (lots of Nevada books moved at the same time) so JK's line looks valid.
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
Davis comes off two wire-to-wire wins while UCSB in its last game fell behind Northridge, 11-0 early, before battling back for a six-point win.

UCSB beat Davis in mid-January, 69-58, after falling behind early, 10-0.
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
Birdie is flying again.

Only one problem: William Hill is not showing USD -1.5.

WillHill opened San Diego -2 and the number has never moved there.
 

Valuist

EOG Dedicated
Four pieces for Saturday:

Play #12: 627 Colorado State -5.5 (-110) over Wyoming at William Hill

Play #13: 676 Illinois -6 (-110) over Rutgers at William HIll

Play #14: 765 Washington -1 (-110) over Arizona State at Westgate

Play #15: 771 Cal Davis +8.5 (-110) over Cal Santa Barbara at William Hill
Rooting for that Illinois play. They are clearly the fastest tempo team in a conference of grinders. Think they are better than their record; they've had several games where they were in it until the final couple minutes only to get overcome by dumb mistakes. They were within one of the Zags in Maui with about two minutes to play. But laying six is new territory for them. Biggest concern is they are a team who plays to the level of competition.
 
Another 50-point win?
Possibly, but the Cal Baptist 50 point win was mostly due to playing Chicago State.

I saw a stat that Chicago State has the second worst DIV I point differential average in conference play in the last 20 years. They had the 3rd worst Sagarin rating (351) before playing Cal Baptist.
 
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