The EOG Octagon (ZZYZX ROAD v EJD5277)

Plays #28-#29:

Thursday May 16, 2019

6:10 PM ET/3:10 PM PT:

965-966 Baltimore Orioles-Cleveland Indians OVER 9 -110 (Straily/Bauer) @ Pinnacle

7:10 PM PT:

969 Minnesota Twins -107 (Pineda/Swanson) @ Westgate
 
Z actually split those. ^^^^^^^^^

He took a rotten beat with the Reds. Was 2-0 with 2 out in the bottom of the 5th and the Reds manage to push 3 across.
 
Plays #30-#31:

Friday May 17, 2019

7:05 PM ET/4:05 PM PT:

Grand Salami OVER 139.5 runs -118 @ Pinnacle

916 New York Yankees -112 (Stanek/Sabathia) @ Westgate
 
Plays #32-#33:

Saturday May 18, 2019

1:05 PM ET/10:05 AM PT:

Grand Salami OVER 144.5 runs -137 @ Pinnacle

1:10 PM CT/11:10 AM PT:

968 Chicago White Sox (-1.5) +135 (Feierabend/Giolito) @ William Hill


Starting pitching is an absolute shit show league-wide today, and lots of scoring the last 2 days means lots of tired pens too.
 
Plays #34-#35:

Saturday May 18, 2019

4:10 PM ET/1:10 PM PT:

969-970 Oakland A's-Detroit Tigers OVER 9 -114 (Mengden/Boyd) @ Pinnacle

971-972 Baltimore Orioles-Cleveland Indians OVER 9 -110 (Means/Plutko) @ Pinnacle
 
Plays #32-#33:

Saturday May 18, 2019

1:05 PM ET/10:05 AM PT:

Grand Salami OVER 144.5 runs -137 @ Pinnacle

1:10 PM CT/11:10 AM PT:

968 Chicago White Sox (-1.5) +135 (Feierabend/Giolito) @ William Hill


Starting pitching is an absolute shit show league-wide today, and lots of scoring the last 2 days means lots of tired pens too.
Both wagers NO BET. TOR/CWS called after 5.
 
Play #34:

Sunday May 19, 2019

1:20 PM ET/10:20 AM PT:

First Five Innings Only

907-908 Milwaukee Brewers-Atlanta Braves OVER 5 -110 (Woodruff/Foltyniewicz) @ Pinnacle
 
I'll chime in with some thoughts. Obviously EJD has the advantage, being up almost 6 units. If they both use "-110 type" picks, EJD has around a 84% chance to win (assuming both 53% win% long term).

If I were him, I would look ahead in the MLB schedule to circle his best projected 5-8 plays over the next 10 days. Then delay and force Z to make plays, as time runs out, Z will have fewer and fewer good possibilities with days without a pick and then EJD can better choose his bets to win a close unit race.
 
I've thought long and hard about how to approach this. Hard to project that far out without more concrete info on weather and pitching rotations.

As JK points out, the game theory at work here is interesting.

I'll definitely get more picky, but I'll probably still fire if I REALLY like something.
I'll chime in with some thoughts. Obviously EJD has the advantage, being up almost 6 units. If they both use "-110 type" picks, EJD has around a 84% chance to win (assuming both 53% win% long term).

If I were him, I would look ahead in the MLB schedule to circle his best projected 5-8 plays over the next 10 days. Then delay and force Z to make plays, as time runs out, Z will have fewer and fewer good possibilities with days without a pick and then EJD can better choose his bets to win a close unit race.
 
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