What is Dee Ford? The motivated ex is worth look.Post whatever props you guys are betting. I took a flyer on Bosa to win MVP at 22-1
150-1 at DSI. I've seen him at 100-1 and 125-1 elsewhere.What is Dee Ford? The motivated ex is worth look.
Specials
What will team that wins coin toss choose to do
Post whatever props you guys are betting. I took a flyer on Bosa to win MVP at 22-1
Mostert over 69.5 rushing yards -115
Mahomes more passing yards -155
Red Gatorade or clear Gatorade.
Mahomes more passing yards looks inviting....
kyle juszczyks first sf touchdown 20-1
why? I could see this as a sneaky fb dive from the 2 when all the focus is on mostert. kyle only has 3 carries on the year but we see plenty of these "where the fk did he come from" situations in the superbowl.
plus I think shanahan could come up with some things that he hasn't done all season.
complete shot in the dark here. just thinking outside the box on these props.
Mostert over 69.5 rushing yards -115
Mahomes more passing yards -155
Red Gatorade or clear Gatorade.
Samuel will get a carry, looking to see what his rushing yards prop is.Number of Niners to have a Rush attempt: Under 5 (-140)
We know Mostert will get plenty of work. Coleman had 22 carries in the win over the Vikings. Breida has been personna non gratta, getting only 33 carries in the Niners last 10 games. He likely will get some carries, but those three plus Jimmy G would be 4. So a real bottom feeder RB would need to carry, or a WR on a reverse.....and that still would only put the number at 5.
Can't imagine the juice on the under getting smaller.
Samuel will get a carry, looking to see what his rushing yards prop is.
I like this too. A qb sneak or a boot from a 3 te jumbo set is in play.Solid reasoning, I was thinking about Jimmy G +2500 for the same logic you posted, if they have it near the goal line, of course KC's D has to be looking for Mostert, a QB bootleg usually always works in that spot
TE George Kittles had 5 Rushes during the Regular Season (22 yards) and they could run a fake Punt (they did so vs Chiefs in 2018), but I like your thinking. Four for sure it seems.Number of Niners to have a Rush attempt: Under 5 (-140)
We know Mostert will get plenty of work. Coleman had 22 carries in the win over the Vikings. Breida has been personna non gratta, getting only 33 carries in the Niners last 10 games. He likely will get some carries, but those three plus Jimmy G would be 4. So a real bottom feeder RB would need to carry, or a WR on a reverse.....and that still would only put the number at 5.
Can't imagine the juice on the under getting smaller.
That is my concern for an over. If I were playing over, it’s KC TT over. KC has scored 31+ in all four playoff games Mahomes has started. It’s less likely he would be rattled by the big stage.2 qbs making their super bowl debut and people are expecting big numbers from both?
Do books clean up like last season?
"Last game of the year Brent can't hold anything back now "2 qbs making their super bowl debut and people are expecting big numbers from both?
Do books clean up like last season?
I don't have the numbers off the top of my head but I remember seeing Mahomes numbers against zone defense is much worse than against man. sf plays primarily zone, cover 3 to be exact.That is my concern for an over. If I were playing over, it’s KC TT over. KC has scored 31+ in all four playoff games Mahomes has started. It’s less likely he would be rattled by the big stage.
jesus Kevin this is some great logic. nice get.Sunday, February 2—66017 Super Bowl LIV Propositions
Will Both Teams Make a 33+ Yard FG? Yes -120 (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook)
This stands out to me as getting points when you can in the biggest game of the NFL season is paramount when playing an opponent as talented and prolific as these two teams are. And the Kickers for both teams will be kicking off the Tifway 419 Bermuda Grass playing surface of Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL, so, a friendly turf but Wind could be a factor as well as a HC having the onions to go for it and not try to kick a FG (of 33 yards or more) in the fucking Super Bowl.
AFC champions Kansas City Chiefs K Harrison Butker was 34-for-38 (89.5%) on his Regular Season FG Attempts (1-1 in AFC Playoffs) and the 6-4, 205-pound Georgia Tech product was 9-for-10 from 30 to 39 yards, a perfect 13-for-13 from 40 to 49 and 3-for-6 from 50 yards out or more. The longest FG made by Butker this season was from 56 yards out.
NFC champions San Francisco 49ers K Robbie Gould was automatic when he played for the Bears, and now the 6-0, 190 Penn State veteran was 12-for-31 (74.2%) going 8-for-10 from 30 to 39 yards out, 6-for-8 from 40 to 49 but 0-for-4 from 50 yards out or longer. Gould is 5-for-5 this Postseason with a long of 54 and his longest FG in the Regular Season was a 47-yarder.
So Gould’s Confidence now—hitting from 54 after missing all 4 from 50+ in RS—is at its highest point and HC Shanahan won’t be scared. The Niners started the RS off with Chase McLaughlin (Colts) as their PK, but resigned Gould to a 4-year extension after he set a franchise record, connecting on 33 of 34 FG attempts in 2018 and his 96.0% FG percentage was the 2nd highest ever in the NFL over a 2-year span
I'm going to play these in Indiana. My PPH is offering Bosa 14/1 and Ford 40/1. Why? Because they can.150-1 at DSI. I've seen him at 100-1 and 125-1 elsewhere.
Thanks brother. Took 2 hours and jumped out at me from this first Westgate sheet. It seems either the number of yards (distance) for the FG Atttempts (33) is too low (s/b 35-38-ish) and the vig (-120) is way too low. Teams will want to score however they can in such a big game, the last one of the year. I will bet this one. Don't see the Wind as a problem and both K's "feeling good" abut themselves. That matters. Debating $5 on Gould (100/1) as MVP and mulling Mostert. Back into The Lab.jesus Kevin this is some great logic. nice get.
I think this has more to do the NFL not allowing sportsbook to market gambling with the "SuperBowl" which I think they have trademarked.I bet these 6 today at Palace Station:
T HILL 1st PASS REC OVER 12½ -120 $12/10
T KELCE TO SCORE AT LEAST 1 TD Yes -115 $10/8.70
WILL 49ERS CONVERT 4TH DOWN ATTEMPT? Yes $10/$9.50
TOTAL FIELD GOALS OVER 3½ +105 $10/10.50
MOSTERT TO WIN SB LIV MVP 6/1 $10/60
GOULD TO WIN SB MVP 100/1 $5/500
Sorry, these are "BIG GAME" Props and not "SUPER BOWL LIV" Props. I didn't read the tickets carefully. Perhaps I have already lost.
So long as there are none of the spot foul kind.Longest penalty- Over 15.5 yards (-40), all I need is one PI penalty to cash
Longest penalty- Over 15.5 yards (-40), all I need is one PI penalty to cash