XFL Season Long picks, thoughts, etc... Also Reno trip Report

ZzyzxRoad

EOG Dedicated
#1
After several years in Clark County, I'm moving back to Reno the day after the Super Bowl. Hopefully there will be time for more pictures and trip reports. I have been way too distracted the last few months and sports betting keeps becoming a smaller part of what I do.
Anyway, William Hill is kind enough to put out lines this early, so let's get to it!
402 Seattle @ DC (-7)
404 L.A. @ Houston (-5)
405 Tampa (-5.5) @ N.Y.
408 St. Louis @ Dallas (-7)

I'm going to use a KISS (keep it simple, Stupid) approach and guess that the coaches and quarterbacks are by far the most important part of the analysis. So, here are the combinations for each team.
Dallas: Bob Stoops, Landry Jones
DC: Pep Hamilton, Cardale Jones
Houston: June Jones, Phillip Walker
L.A. Winston Moss, Luis Perez
New York: Kevin Gilbride, Matt Mcgloin
St. Louis: Jonathan Hayes, Jordan Ta'amu
Seattle: Jim Zorn, Brandon Silvers
Tampa Bay: Marc Trestman, Aaron Murray

With the absence of stats (outside of a few AAFL starts), going to have to go go with instinct here.
And articles like this https://athlonsports.com/ranking-xfls-quarterbacks?amp

Essentially, they have the quarter backs ranked
1. Landry Jones
2. Cardale Jones
3. Luis Perez
4. Matt Mcgloin
5. Jordan Ta'amu
6. Aaron Murray
7. Brandon Silvers
8. Phil Walker

Based on that, I have to lean towards L.A. +5 and NY +5.5.
I really hope this experiment lasts. I was probably the only person disappointed to see the AAFL fold, and I really hope the XFL makes it this time around.
 

kane

EOG master
#2
I have no idea how to cap a brand new league like this. My advice would be to not bet the first half of the season, but watch as many games and highlights as possible, read as many articles as possible, and go through every box score as thoroughly as possible, try to figure things out, then start betting the second half of the season, at least you'll have some knowledge about the players and teams, right now you're basically flipping a coin, but I wish you luck, hope you do well
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
#3
Watch the first half of the season?

I'd prefer to watch Week 1 and then fire away in Week 2.

Only eight teams in the league and only 10 weeks in the season.
 

MrTop

EOG Master
#4
I like to fire away at the 3rd week. First week set up ratings then adjust, 2nd week fine tune it. 3rd week fire away
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
#5
Love it, Top.

Every gambler has his own style.

My horse racing background informs me.

I need to see a race over the course.

But only one.
 

kane

EOG master
#6
Odds to win the XFL Championship (Cris)

Dallas Renegades +250
DC Defenders +300
Tampa Bay Vipers +300
Houston Roughnecks +500
LA Wildcats +550
NY Guardians +550
Seattle Dragons +750
St Louis Battle Hawks +750

Regular Season Win Totals (BOL)

Tampa Bay Vipers 7.5
Dallas Renegades 6
DC Defenders 5.5
Houston Roughnecks 6
LA Wildcats 4
NY Guardians 4
Seattle Dragons 3.5
St Louis Battle Hawks 3.5
 
#7
XFL — Week 1 Lines (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook)

Saturday, February 8, 2020
2 pm EST/11 am PST (ABC) DC DEFENDERS -7½ Seattle Dragons
5 pm EST/2 pm PST (FOX) HOUSTON Roughnecks -5½ Los Angeles Wildcats

Sunday, February 9, 2020
2 pm EST/11 am PST (FOX) Tampa Bay Vipers -2½ NEW YORK GUARDIANS
5 pm EST/2 pm PST (ESPN) DALLAS RENEGADES -10 St Louis BattleHawks

> No Totals yet; HOME TEAMS in CAPS
 
#8
Odds to Win 2020 XFL Championship (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook)

Dallas Renegades 5/2
Houston Roughnecks 5/1
New York Guardians 5/1
Tampa Bay Vipers 5/1
DC Defenders 6/1
Los Angeles Wildcats 8/1
St Louis BattleHawks 10/1
Seattle Dragons 15/1


>All Bets are Action Despite a Shortened Season
 

ZzyzxRoad

EOG Dedicated
#11
It seems like everyone's interest in this has already wained. I like the league and the direction, but not sure it's sustainable. It seems like they'll finish the season, but not much more.
I bet under in Tampa small.
 

FairWarning

Bells Beer Connoisseur
#12
It seems like everyone's interest in this has already wained. I like the league and the direction, but not sure it's sustainable. It seems like they'll finish the season, but not much more.
I bet under in Tampa small.
I think its spring football in general. People were invested in the NFL and college since Labor Day, now they have to invest more time for three months after the Super Bowl. I think there is a burnout factor.
 
#13
I think its spring football in general. People were invested in the NFL and college since Labor Day, now they have to invest more time for three months after the Super Bowl. I think there is a burnout factor.
I disagree, football fans will watch, WASPS love it. I think the women refs have to go tho.
 
#14
Odds to win the XFL Championship (Cris)

Dallas Renegades +250
DC Defenders +300
Tampa Bay Vipers +300
Houston Roughnecks +500
LA Wildcats +550
NY Guardians +550
Seattle Dragons +750
St Louis Battle Hawks +750

Regular Season Win Totals (BOL)

Tampa Bay Vipers 7.5
Dallas Renegades 6
DC Defenders 5.5
Houston Roughnecks 6
LA Wildcats 4
NY Guardians 4
Seattle Dragons 3.5
St Louis Battle Hawks 3.5
as always, rediculous takeout percentage by Cris
 

ZzyzxRoad

EOG Dedicated
#15
1426 New York +4.5 1st half
Huge overreaction to last week's games.
L.A. not that good, and they're laying on the road in an 11 a.m. start.
 
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