UFC 85 "Bedlam" Picks and Bets

[Hoosier Daddy]

Picks (not bets):
Antoni Hardonk over Eddie Sanchez

Roan Carneiro over Kevin Burns

Thiago Tavares over Matt Wiman

Michael Bisping over Jason Day

Bets:
Jess Liaudin +200 over Paul Taylor
Taylor beat him a couple years back, but Liaudin is much better on the ground. I think this is too high of a price here.

Luiz Cane +125 over Jason Lambert
Lambert is good, but inconsistent.

Martin Kampmann -250 over Jorge Rivera
Kampmann has great BJJ.

Fabricio Werdum +160 over Brandon Vera
Good value here on Werdum. Vera needs to fight at 205 and not at Heavy. Vera better stand-up but Werdum is one of the top HW grapplers in the world. I expect a boring snnozefest here with Werdum getting a decision.

Nate Marquardt -185 over Thales Leites
A little worried that it's now -215 b/c everyone betting Marquardt. Leites is awesome on the ground, but Marquardt is better on the feet and Leites can be hit pretty easily.

Marcus Davis +100 over Mike Swick
Tough fight to call here either way. I don't think Swick is the same fighter he was before the Okami fight.

Matt Hughes -200 over Thiago Alves
I think Hughes can take him down. If he can't, then this bet is a loser. Hughes may be looking ahead to Serra, but I think he has one more fight left in him.

GL

HD