Elite XC and DREAM 4 Picks

[Hoosier Daddy]

Elite XC (Honolulu, HI) on Showtime

Yves Edwards -140 over KJ Noons
I liked Noons originally and he will be a good MMA fighter down the line, but Edwards is too well-rounded and experienced.

Dave Herman -155 over Ron Waterman
Waterman gets tired quickly. Herman is like a "human blanket" (a la Jake O'Brien). He will lay on Waterman and gas him out.

Murilo "Ninja" Rua -275 over Tony Bonello
Bonello is an undefeated fighter in Australia, but he has fought nobody. He's even fought some "worked" (predetermined outcome) fights.

DREAM 4 (Saitama, Japan)

Talei Kin +200 over Zelg Galesic
Had the makings of a good fight in their first meeting, but got stopped on a cut. Just taking the good value here.

Dong Sik Yoon +150 over Gerard Mousasi
Mousasi overvalued off win over an unfocused Denis Kang. Yoon has won his last 4 fights after starting 0-4 in his MMA career.

Ronaldo "Jacare" Souza -145 over Jason "Mayhem" Miller
I like Mayhem, but Souza is in a different world when it comes to BJJ.

Kazushi Sakuraba -115 over Melvin Manhoef
If this fight goes under 2 min, Manhoef wins. If it lasts longer, Saku wins. Lots of movement and bets on Melvin, but Saku usually starts slow and the longer it goes, the more likely he will submit Manhoef.

GL

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