Nascappers Kobalt Tools 500 Plays

[nascapper]

Tires are gunna wear out about the same time cars are going to need fuel. Expecting some long green flag runs
so this week we are looking at cars that can get it done over a long race run. Average practice times
as well as some quotes from some of the drivers during practice is what we are basing are picks on this week.
Some of the bigger names are having trouble with the setup including dale jr, jeff gordon and kevin harvick so we're looking
for some value against those drivers. Lets start with the outrights.


Outright to win
Kasey Kahne +802 pinnaclesports.com -- 1 UNIT
Mark Martin +1606 pinnaclesports.com -- .5 UNIT
Carl Edwards +1606 pinnaclesports.com -- .5 UNIT
Greg Biffle +1200 intertops.com -- .5 UNIT
Kurt Busch +3000 sportsbook.com or linesmaker.com -- .5 UNIT

Kahne:
Qualified: 12th
Happy Hour: 16th
Happy Hour Avg (approx)3-5th
Last years finish: 1st
Won here from the pole last year.

Martin:
Qualified: 4th
Happy Hour: 8th
Happy Hour AVG (approx): 9th
Last years finish: 2nd
Tv interview on speed he said he has a real fast car after about 10 laps.

Carl Edwards:
Qualified: 14th
Happy Hour: 2nd
Happy Hour AVG (approx): 1st
Last years finish: 40th (incident)
Has won here in the past, always fast at atlanta.

Greg Biffle:
Qualified: 25th
Happy Hour: 5th
Happy Hour AVG (approx): 2nd
Last years finish: 16th
Led the most laps of last years race with 128 laps led.

Kurt Busch:
Qualified: 17th
Happy Hour: 1st
Happy Hour AVG (approx): 3rd
Last years finish: 37th
Led 22 laps last year.


Race Matchups
Sportsbook.com

David Stremme -135 -- pick 3 UNITS
Reed Sorenson +105
Sorrenson was very happy with his car over the long run, he said he did a 20 lap run and was roughly 10th on the charts.


Clint Bowyer +130 -- pick 2 UNITS
Dale Earnhardt jr -160
Bowyer is gunna be good in the long run according to his avg practice times from happy hour, dale jr hadnt hit on the setup
yet when happy hour finished, he was still lifting in and out of the gas getting tight in corners 1 and 2.

Carl Edwards -155 -- pick 3 UNITS
Kevin Harvick +125
Harvick has been brutal in practice, Edwards is one of the fastest cars there.

Intertops.com
Matt Kenseth -125 -- pick 2 UNITS
Dale Earnhardt jr -105
Kenseth made some good race runs and the practice sheets show hes got a considerably better car then junior.

thegreek.com
Matt Kenseth -135 -- pick 2 UNITS
Jeff Gordon +110
Gordon was complaining about a tight condition at the end of happy hour, didnt sound too happy about his car.

[The General]

Thanks for the plays and best of luck to ya.

[nascapper]

Lost 3 units on the outrights.

Lost 3 units on the stremme/sorenson matchup.
Won 2.6 units on the Bowyer/Earnhardt jr matchup
Won 1.93 units on the Edwards/Harvick matchup.
Won 1.6 units on the Kenseth/Earnhardt jr matchup
won 1.48 units on the Kenseth/Gordon Matchup.

Profitted 1.6 units today.