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Old 04-24-08, 03:59 AM   #106 (permalink)
royalfan
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Default Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

Great work Frog. I mean that in a serious manner. Record speaks for itself. Will be interesting as the plays get bigger. Don't record protect, pounce on the units as you go forward to show you are great.
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Old 04-24-08, 07:42 AM   #107 (permalink)
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Default Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

Frog writeup's are on the money...Keep the units exactly where YOU want them to be...big , small , its no matter its all about the WIN!!
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Old 04-24-08, 01:12 PM   #108 (permalink)
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Smile Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

Quote:
Originally Posted by joelatti View Post
Frog writeup's are on the money...Keep the units exactly where YOU want them to be...big , small , its no matter its all about the WIN!!
You know me by now. I just do what I do. Staying in the 2-5 unit range. Money management is not to be underestimated. A foundation principle of success. Maybe someday I will have an entire case of wine saved up in the joelatti wine cellar.

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Old 04-24-08, 01:24 PM   #109 (permalink)
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Arrow Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

Toronto OV 203 (2 units)

I would usually shy away when number has adjusted about 7 points in the series but it had to because it started that bad. Plus I think we will see several lineup changes, including starting line up, and rotations involving shift from bigs to shooters. What else can coach Sam do? They do have the shooters, and now know who is hot, and who is cold. Plus I think the pace will pick up without slow bigs on the court, they just do not get many easy baskets or break very well. Still that will even make things easier for Magic, when Raptors defense has been suspect to begin with. Coach VG will also go uptempo if he has to, and I doubt Toronto starts in gigantic hole after first Q at home. Would be better for this if Magic were playing from behind. Have a bunch of dead eyes on both sides, and the treys could be raining. The large adjust off of original series game #1 opener keep this a 2 unit play.

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Old 04-24-08, 01:30 PM   #110 (permalink)
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Default Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

Good luck Froggie...this one shouldn't be close IMO
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Old 04-24-08, 03:19 PM   #111 (permalink)
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Default Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

with you on this one Froggie. G/L to all!
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Old 04-24-08, 04:48 PM   #112 (permalink)
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Default Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

Like it Frog!

Vegas is getting a little sharper with that Tor/Orl line. But I agree, it should be a shoot out again.. Good luck to all...

I feel Utah goes up 3-0 over Houston tonight and gets ready to pull the brooms out of the closet. Utah is solid at home and I think tonight might be a statment game.

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Old 04-24-08, 06:35 PM   #113 (permalink)
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Default Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

On it too
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Old 04-24-08, 06:38 PM   #114 (permalink)
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Default Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

Jazz
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Old 04-24-08, 11:53 PM   #115 (permalink)
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Default Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

Win some lose some... on to the next. My Jazz are finally playing like I expected them to from the beginning, hopefully they will set it up and get the cover. GL tomorrow Frog.

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Old 04-25-08, 04:07 PM   #116 (permalink)
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Unhappy Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

Last night was pretty much get what you deserve by playing heavily adjusted in series line. That jump from game #1 196 1/2 to game #3 203 was sure costly. But we kept it at 2 units so not exactly a bankroll buster. Favorites just keep rolling along, and boy were those zebras deciding game left and right last night. They felt bad about stealing game #2 from Houston so they just about gave one back last night. Was amazing to see Jazz go into penalty less than 2 minutes into 4th Q on calls you could call on them at any time, and this is the playoffs. They were on pace to have 30 pf's the way it was going, but they got into penalty fast enough to give rockets a chance to steal one back. Dwight Howard was in foul trouble from opening tip, already had 5 going into 4th? That sure killed them and our total. And Wizard just poked and prodded Cavs all game long and we saw one of the biggest turnarounds in playoff history. As far as getting blown out to blowing someone out. It sure was not in between game #2 and #3 adjustments. Nothing new there, seen that before as that is why you want home court. This reminds me of NCAA tourney as chalk just rules so far. Not sure if it will slow down soon or end after this round, but it always does in the playoffs. Should have have least one total and one dog tonight. Waiting for lines to get to where they are going. Also doing a lot of other things, end of month.
How many plays have I lost by a bounce now? Next.

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Old 04-25-08, 04:32 PM   #117 (permalink)
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Default Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

NO+the points and Phoenix under is my guess for Frog plays ?
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Old 04-25-08, 05:09 PM   #118 (permalink)
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Default Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

That Suns total is plain scary to touch
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Old 04-25-08, 05:15 PM   #119 (permalink)
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Old 04-25-08, 06:30 PM   #120 (permalink)
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Arrow Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

76ers +5 1/2 (3 units) OV 180 (2 units) Team total OV 87 (1 unit)

No Write up for now...


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Old 04-25-08, 06:54 PM   #121 (permalink)
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Default Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

GL

I'm going to layoff this one, maybe bet at the half.
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Old 04-26-08, 01:22 AM   #122 (permalink)
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Smile Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

Updated Record 14-7 +10.6 units.

Well Barca on the big play side, 5 point dog wins by 20, but Motown pulls another Flip no show. This team is going to give Boston problems? They might not face them, and the 76ers might be better. Team total also fairly easy. Weak ass Woetown did not break 20, any Q. Not once. Did I mention I think Flip is a dud playoff coach? This time I had the 76ers at least, even though no money line. Was good enough just to get some of the 1 point loss vs. total back, regain that ground to move forward. Not a bad 7 days, Lost a bunch of games by a handful of points, yet the winners won by dozens. I take the +, grind along and hope to have the same results week after week. Next.

Cigar, fine wine, jacuzzi and a massage.

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Tony Parker just put on one of the best performances I have seen in some time. The Suns look set early this year.
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Old 04-26-08, 01:34 AM   #123 (permalink)
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Default Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

Good job froggie
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Old 04-26-08, 06:33 AM   #124 (permalink)
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Default Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

Nice play frog. Great work, but don't give false write ups when you lose. Silly. You are far too good a handicapper to make up false excuses when you lose. I mean that with good intentions. You and I have always had an understang until it got personal for one reason or another.
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Old 04-26-08, 09:59 AM   #125 (permalink)
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Default Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

Nice job Froggie...
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Old 04-26-08, 11:20 AM   #126 (permalink)
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Default Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

NICE CAPPING!!!!

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Old 04-26-08, 11:34 AM   #127 (permalink)
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Default Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

Good stuff keep them coming.
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Old 04-26-08, 11:35 AM   #128 (permalink)
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Default Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

Who do you like today frogster?
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Old 04-26-08, 12:16 PM   #129 (permalink)
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Exclamation Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

I have capped and recapped today's and I just don't see a lot of value. I see maybe a 2 unit side and a total, out of all four. Not going to force so let me rework these one more time, I have time left. One thing for sure, won't see any 3 or 4 unit plays today, I think these lines are tight. And what I do is try to find off numbers for value. If they ain't off, not much value to me, and we won't get thea ATSMOV. Might as well coin flip - juice.

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Old 04-26-08, 12:26 PM   #130 (permalink)
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Default Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

Hey Frog...nice night last time out...If its Not there....Pass...More time with the family.....By the end of the playoffs I want to have anther couple of bottles of vino to send to you!!
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Old 04-26-08, 02:20 PM   #131 (permalink)
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Arrow Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

Toronto OV 203 1/2 (2 units)

Going to try this one more time. If it lands 202-203 I will be bummed. I think Magic will make enough offensive adjustments to give us that close endoing we may need. But number has been adjusted so we will keep it at 2 units.

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Old 04-26-08, 03:09 PM   #132 (permalink)
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Default Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

I like this one !
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Old 04-26-08, 06:03 PM   #133 (permalink)
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Unhappy Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

I don't like it. I don't like not close games, or inflated lines or crappy home teams going 2-15 from the Arc. This game has now landed practically on the same number 3 straight, and yet we won the first two easy and got notched the last two. Those adjustments can eat you alive. Just like last game, we needed a close game, and some breaks and got neither. So much for Craptors dead eyes, they were blind today. Enough of that give back, woulda, shoulda, coulda done a split with dog team total and game over. Like down in Orlando, even got off that protection formula. Next.

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Old 04-26-08, 06:16 PM   #134 (permalink)
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Default Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

No breaks equals -2.2 units....loss = a loss.....Stings more when its close, but hell its still -2.2

Anythung on tap for tonight..I know you said things looked pretty weak to start...so I'm guessing no, but never know
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Old 04-26-08, 07:00 PM   #135 (permalink)
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Default Re: Frog's NBA Playoffs...

dont let it get ya down, of. youll come back strong tonight or tomorrow.
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Old 04-26-08, 07:00 PM   #136 (permalink)