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  1. #211
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    Mon: NYY W closes out the modified system this year at 8-0.

  2. #212
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    cant let the skeptics hold you back....any system can be a winning system....if it wins an no one jumps on....then whose loss is it......at least you try

  3. #213
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    Quote Originally Posted by vegaseagles View Post
    cant let the skeptics hold you back....any system can be a winning system
    Spoken as a true degenerate gambler!

    Just so those still following Ned have a heads up, playoff teams from last year are SF, StL, Cin, and Wash; Det, NYY, Oak, and Bal; with WC losers Atl and Tex.

    Without that dataminer extraordinarie Ned, we don't know if we should include the WC teams. Oops, Ned won't know because he only backfits the data after the games have been played. Thus we won't include them unless these teams survive the Martingale .... LOL.

    Tex lost h=the first round to Houston last night. Updates to how the system is doing later in the day ....

  4. #214
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    System had 2 wins with Wash and Det and 5 losses with SF, StL, Cin, NYY, and Oak. Bal still to play Gm1.

    Tue: Bet Bal +151 0.66u, SF +100 1.73u, StL -107 1.88u, Oak -140 3.01u.
    Wed: Cin, NYY

    Of course if you get different lines, tweak the amounts to net 1 unit.

  5. #215

    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    good luck this year Ned

  6. #216
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    System had 3 more wins with SF, StL, and Bal and 1 loss with Oak.

    Wed: Bet NYY -117 2.40u, Cin -125 2.64u, Oak -141 7.28u.

  7. #217
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    System had 2 more wins with Oak and Cin, another loss with NYY.

    Thurs: Bet NYY -119 5.29u.

  8. #218
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    System finishes 8-0 with a NYY win. Total risked was 34.26u to win 8.00u.

  9. #219

    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    another winning season so far for ned

  10. #220
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    One win so far. Dodgers win their first game.

  11. #221

    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    Bob is the best!
    Lick my ice cream and kiss my pinky ring

  12. #222
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    For those still following the "80-0" system, playoff teams from last year are:

    NL: StL, Atl, LAD, and Pitt; AL: Bos, Oak, Det, and TB; with WC losers Cinn and Clev.

    I'll try to use WA lines for each game, obviously any bettor should try to get the best available line, so the system may yield slightly different results. Since they weren't included in the original system, I won't include the WC losers.

    1st game: Bet LAD (March 22) -165 1.65u W, Net +1.00u

    Monday, March 31: Bet Stl -125 1.25u, Atl -115 1.15u, Pitt -180 1.80u, Bos -115, 1.15u, Oak -141 1.41u, Det -148 1.48u, TB -165 1.65u

  13. #223
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    System had 4 more wins with StL, Pitt, Det, and TB and 3 losses with Atl, Bos and Oak.

    Tues, April 1: Bet Atl +105 2.05u, Oak -130 3.13u

  14. #224
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    System had one more win with Atl and Oak was PPD (No action).

    Wed, April 2: Bet Bos -112 2.41u, Oak (Gm 1) -138 3.33u .

  15. #225
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    A's win Gm1, so no bet on Gm2 is necessary. Only series pending is Bos.

  16. #226
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    Boston wins so the system goes 8-0 again. We've had 3 straight winning years (2012-14) so the system adds 24-0 of out-of-sample data.

    Putting all the out-of-sample data together we have 69-3, net -13.22u. This is the statistically significant result of the system as of the 2014 season.

  17. #227
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    Total risked in 2014 was 19.34u to win 8.00u.

  18. #228

    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    i have a progressive baseball system that is undefeated in the last 4 years. You want to bet on teams that have been swept in the previous series. If the team is a dog then you need to play the run line.

    Play on Toronto 6/23/14 vs the Yankees.

  19. #229
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    For those still following the "80-0" system, playoff teams from last year are:

    NL: StL, Was, LAD, and SF; AL: Bal, LAA, Det, and KC; with WC losers Pitt and Oak.

    I'll try to use WA lines for each game, obviously any bettor should try to get the best available line, so the system may yield slightly different results. Since they weren't included in the original system, I won't include the WC losers.

    1st game: Bet Stl (Sun, Apr 5) -102 1.02u W, Net +1.00u

    Monday, Apr 6: Bet LAD -187 1.87u, Was -163 1.63u, SF -135 1.35u, Bal +110 1.00u, KC -115 1.15u, Det -150 1.50u, LAA +141 1.00u,

  20. #230
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    Quote Originally Posted by ComptrBob View Post

    Monday, Apr 6: Bet LAD -187 1.87u, Was -163 1.63u, SF -135 1.35u, Bal +110 1.00u, KC -115 1.15u, Det -150 1.50u, LAA +141 1.00u
    Oops, dogs >=+100 should be bet to win 1u , i.e. Bal +110, 0.91u. LAA +141 0.71u

  21. #231
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    Mon: LAD W, SF W , Bal W, KC W, Det W, LAA L, Was L
    Tues: Bet LAA +114 1.50u

  22. #232
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    Tues: LAA W
    Wed: Bet WAS -133 3.50u

  23. #233
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    Wed: WAS W. System finishes 8-0 again, 2015 season risks 15.14u to win 8.00u

    Putting all the out-of-sample data together we have 77-3, net -5.22u. This is the statistically significant result of the system as of the 2015 season.

  24. #234
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    Another year for those still following the "80-0" system, playoff teams from last year are:

    NL: StL, NYM, LAD, and ChiC; AL: KC, Hou, Tex, and Tor; with WC losers Pitt and NYY.

    I'll try to use WA lines for each game, obviously any bettor should try to get the best available line, so the system may yield slightly different results. Since they weren't included in the original system, I haven't included the WC losers. I'm using the modified Ned system where, quite irrationally, you bet both sides of a game between 2 playoff teams (in this year, NYM and KC).

    1st game:

    Bet Stl (Sun, Apr 3) -110 1.10u, Tor -110 1.10u, NYM -120 1.20u, KC +110 0.91u

    Monday, Apr 4: Bet LAD -175 1.75u, Hou -125 1.25u, Tex -125 1.25u, ChiC -145 1.45u

  25. #235

    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    Thought the original system was to pass when two playoff teams play each other?
    Lick my ice cream and kiss my pinky ring

  26. #236
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    Quote Originally Posted by Ray Luca View Post
    Thought the original system was to pass when two playoff teams play each other?
    Yes, you are correct.

    However, I went back through the records and found that the system only went 78-2 because when the series between two playoff teams were passed, two teams actually went 0-4. When confronted with this information, Ned realized his backfitting was flawed because he didn't follow the passed teams far enough. So he had a difficult choice, either admit he made a mistake or modify the system to reflect what he had actually backfit which was to bet on both teams so one will win Game 1 and the other loses and continues the Martingale. He pretended he never specified that you pass playoff teams that play each other and announced the rather idiotic choice that you have to play both teams.

  27. #237
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    Sun, Apr 3: Stl L, Tor W, NYM L, KC W

    Monday, Apr 4: Bet LAD -175 1.75u, Hou -125 1.25u (PPD), Tex -125 1.25u, ChiC -145 1.45u

  28. #238
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    Two wins Tor, NYM plus 3 more:

    Monday: LAD W, Tex W, ChiC W

    Tues, Apr 5: Bet Stl -109 2.29u , NYM -106 2.33u, Hou -123 1.23u

  29. #239
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    Obviously, "Two wins Tor, NYM plus 3 more" should be "Two wins Tor, KC plus 3 more"

  30. #240
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    Five wins Tor, KC, LAD, Tex, ChiC plus 2 more:

    Tues, Apr 5: Stl L , NYM W, Hou W

    Wed, Apr 6: Bet Stl -102 4.48u

  31. #241
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    Seven wins: Tor, KC, LAD, Tex, ChiC, NYM, Hou.

    Wed, Apr 6: Stl L

    Thu, Apr 7: No Bets

  32. #242
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    This game will determine the profitability of this year's chase:

    Fri, Apr 8: Bet Stl -155 13.74u

  33. #243
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    Stl with a nice comeback from being down 4-0. Fri, Apr 8: Stl W

    Chase is 8-0 this year. 32.83u risked to win 8.00u.

    All of the out-of-sample data put together: 85-3, net +2.78u. This is the statistically significant result of the system up to the 2016 season.

    This chase bet will win most years with an occasional big loss (from -20u to -40u), will probably produce a small profit over the next 5 to 10 years.

  34. #244
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    Summary of picks for the 2017 season chase. Using 2016 playoff teams, ignoring the play-in game losers. Using Ned's strategy of betting both sides of Clev/Tex series.

    Lines from CRIS. First round bets placed to win $100.

    Date Bet-Size ML Result

    April 2: 127 ChiC -127 L, 147 SF -147 L
    April 3: 96 Clev +104 W, 114 Tex -114 L, 105 Tor -105 L, 164 Bos -164 W, 370 LAD -370 W, 210 Was -210 W
    April 4: 142 Tex +151 L, 327 Chic -144 W, 373 SF -151 W
    April 5: 359 Tex -101 L, 193 Tor 106 L
    April 6: 538 Tor -135 W
    April 7: 1087 Tex -152 W

    Chase is 8-0 this year. 43.52u risked to win 8.00u. Texas went to the edge, losing 3 games before winning game 4.

  35. #245
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    Default Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    All of the out-of-sample data put together: 93-3, net +10.78u. This is the statistically significant result of the system up to the 2017 season.

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