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Thread: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

  1. #1

    Default IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Figure if I'm going to be around all playoffs talking shit, might as well post what I'm betting ahead of time. Obviously half the series have already started, but the ones still to go below. Will just use current 5D or Pinny lines to keep it simple.

    Round 1

    Denver +170 vs. LAL
    LA Clippers +175 vs. Memphis
    Indiana -365 vs. Orlando
    OKC -515 vs. Dallas

    The Indiana one might seem a bit unusual down 1-0 in the series, but this Orlando lineup is abysmal. The OKC chalk is steep, but still a bit of value. I obviously also bet them before the series.

  2. #2

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Series plays I had:

    Denver +money
    Indiana
    Small play on Utah+big


    I liked Dallas, but couldn't get a good number. Angry after how well they played last night, but they still lost so not too upset.

  3. #3
    EOG Dedicated High Times's Avatar
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    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Like the Clippers as a dog


  4. #4

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Quote Originally Posted by High Times View Post
    Like the Clippers as a dog

    Wrong team favored

  5. #5

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Quote Originally Posted by IrishTim View Post
    Wrong team favored
    No sir.

  6. #6

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Ha I had the fair line LAC +110, but it's more sexy to say wrong team favored

  7. #7

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Best of luck!

  8. #8

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Quote Originally Posted by IrishTim View Post
    Figure if I'm going to be around all playoffs talking shit, might as well post what I'm betting ahead of time. Obviously half the series have already started, but the ones still to go below. Will just use current 5D or Pinny lines to keep it simple.

    Round 1

    Denver +170 vs. LAL
    LA Clippers +175 vs. Memphis
    Indiana -365 vs. Orlando
    OKC -515 vs. Dallas

    The Indiana one might seem a bit unusual down 1-0 in the series, but this Orlando lineup is abysmal. The OKC chalk is steep, but still a bit of value. I obviously also bet them before the series.
    You laid big prices in two series..? wow very surprised seeing this

  9. #9

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Quote Originally Posted by IrishTim View Post
    Ha I had the fair line LAC +110, but it's more sexy to say wrong team favored
    The match-ups are dreadful for the Clippers. Conley is fast enough to keep Paul in front of him. Nick Young vs Rudy is just a dreadful match-up for the Clippers. Memphis' size inside should really neutralize Griffin and Jordan.

    I like this Memphis team quite a bit though. I like their style, and I like their match-ups throughout the entire Western Conference playoffs. I do agree that the Clippers could be a test. I almost think the Clip are just as much of a test, if not more, than the Spurs.

  10. #10

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Quote Originally Posted by Ray Luca View Post
    You laid big prices in two series..? wow very surprised seeing this

    I don't think you'll find someone at EOG who has espoused the value in laying big chalk if it's +EV more than me. I've laid -2000 in straight bets before and would do it again in the same situation.

    Nothing amuses me more than the guys like HT or Winky who have arbitrary cut-off points like "nothing over -150" for lines they won't play. "Who cares if the fair line is -500, if it's -180 I won't bet it."


  11. #11
    EOG Dedicated High Times's Avatar
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    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Quote Originally Posted by IrishTim View Post


    I don't think you'll find someone at EOG who has espoused the value in laying big chalk if it's +EV more than me. I've laid -2000 in straight bets before and would do it again in the same situation.

    Nothing amuses me more than the guys like HT or Winky who have arbitrary cut-off points like "nothing over -150" for lines they won't play. "Who cares if the fair line is -500, if it's -180 I won't bet it."


    But come on now dude....

    If it works for someone why would that be a problem?



    I don't care what anybody bets. If it works for them great, but I will never try to beat sports betting laying chalk. It doesn't work for me.

  12. #12

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Quote Originally Posted by High Times View Post
    But come on now dude....

    If it works for someone why would that be a problem?



    I don't care what anybody bets. If it works for them great, but I will never try to beat sports betting laying chalk. It doesn't work for me.
    Do you and Winky have the same cutoff price?

  13. #13

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Thanks for sharing Tim. You going to be working same place as last summer?

  14. #14

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    That reminds me, aren't you in Chicago now?

  15. #15

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Will be in Chicago for at least the next 2 years. Would've preferred NYC again, but the situation was too good to pass up. And plus rent is a lot cheaper (though still too high).

  16. #16

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    What part of town are you staying in? Gold Coast, parts of Wrigleyville and parts of Lincoln Park give NY a run for their money rent wise. I paid over $1000, a guy, a month to live across from Wrigley.

    Chicago > NY anyway.

  17. #17

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    cool, have fun!

  18. #18

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Quote Originally Posted by IrishTim View Post

    Nothing amuses me more than the guys like HT or Winky who have arbitrary cut-off points like "nothing over -150" for lines they won't play. "Who cares if the fair line is -500, if it's -180 I won't bet it."
    How often do you see a -180 that you think should be a -500? I'm more in tune with HT when he says "To each his own" I think it's always the math guys that wont bend when it comes to their way of thinking....Like a Cristian and a Muslum fighting over which retard believes in a God when they are both wrong, here you MIGHT have a case of both being right
    It's ok Mrs Crabtree, I like shit on my shoe....Brokebraker after Texas lost 41-7

  19. #19

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Quote Originally Posted by Timely Hero View Post
    What part of town are you staying in? Gold Coast, parts of Wrigleyville and parts of Lincoln Park give NY a run for their money rent wise. I paid over $1000, a guy, a month to live across from Wrigley.

    Chicago > NY anyway.
    Chicago is awesome, but it's not NY. I looked at Gold Coast, but went for something in the Loop because it was a bit cheaper and only a couple blocks from work. Wrigleyville and Lincoln Park too far from work for me. I like to sleep until the last possible second and then scoot off to work.

    Quote Originally Posted by Teddy kgb View Post
    How often do you see a -180 that you think should be a -500? I'm more in tune with HT when he says "To each his own" I think it's always the math guys that wont bend when it comes to their way of thinking....Like a Cristian and a Muslum fighting over which retard believes in a God when they are both wrong, here you MIGHT have a case of both being right
    Rarely see that, but it's making a point that there are high chalk plays with value. How often do you see a -180 that should be -300? Rare, but they do exist. What about a -180 that should -250? Probably a few a week. What about a -180 that should be -220? Once a day, etc.

  20. #20

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    NY dirty, too big and too crowded. Best city in the US, during the summer that is, is Chicago IMO. Winters can be tough, but there's not a better city in the US during the summer. Just stay away from the South Side when it gets warm... they get a little trigger happy.

    I run a restaurant in Glenview, which is on the North Side. If you ever wanna come out here with a girl or a few of your buddies let me know - I'll give you some price breaks.

  21. #21

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    So Tim what should the -365 be?

  22. #22

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Might take you up on that some point this summer Timely. We also still need to have our 1 on 1 hoops game.

    Luca, I have it priced at close to -600 but I had the pre-series price higher than the market as well. Just very bearish on this Orlando lineup minus Howard.

  23. #23

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    I'm in a flat off Newport right now. About 3 blocks from Wrigley. Smart choice staying in the loop - wish I was there the majority of the time so I could scoot off to work. And being a cards fan is hell on the north side.
    Listen up you beautiful bitch Im about to fuck you up with some truth. - Kenny Powers

  24. #24

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    8 vs 5 in Lakers Denver game today. Ill trust another Tim, Tim Donaghay

  25. #25

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Quote Originally Posted by IrishTim View Post
    Might take you up on that some point this summer Timely. We also still need to have our 1 on 1 hoops game.

    Luca, I have it priced at close to -600 but I had the pre-series price higher than the market as well. Just very bearish on this Orlando lineup minus Howard.
    I work every day but Monday-Tuesday. I'll shoot you the name of the place in a PM sometime in the next couple weeks.

  26. #26

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Quote Originally Posted by IrishTim View Post

    Luca, I have it priced at close to -600 but I had the pre-series price higher than the market as well. Just very bearish on this Orlando lineup minus Howard.
    what do you make the price right now? Would you bet more?

  27. #27

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Quote Originally Posted by Ray Luca View Post
    what do you make the price right now? Would you bet more?

    good question, he must really love it now

  28. #28

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Do neither of you guys bet? That is the current price.

  29. #29

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Quote Originally Posted by IrishTim View Post
    Might take you up on that some point this summer Timely. We also still need to have our 1 on 1 hoops game.

    Luca, I have it priced at close to -600 but I had the pre-series price higher than the market as well. Just very bearish on this Orlando lineup minus Howard.
    give me a decent heads up and i would fly out to watch this in person

  30. #30

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Ha we can definitely make it happen. Preferably late summer/early fall once I get settled in with work and shit.

  31. #31

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Quote Originally Posted by railbird View Post
    good question, he must really love it now
    Thanks. I thought it was a good question. Tim is smart but young. His best education will be going broke a couple of times. After that, he'll be successful

  32. #32

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Quote Originally Posted by IrishTim View Post
    Do neither of you guys bet? That is the current price.

    Hahahaha.......I honestly think Luca is a Kinger ghost
    It's ok Mrs Crabtree, I like shit on my shoe....Brokebraker after Texas lost 41-7

  33. #33

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Would Kinger donate a nickel?

  34. #34

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Quote Originally Posted by IrishTim View Post
    Do neither of you guys bet? That is the current price.

    What is YOUR current price on the series at this moment?

  35. #35

    Default Re: IrishTim NBA Playoff Series plays

    Quote Originally Posted by Ray Luca View Post
    Thanks. I thought it was a good question. Tim is smart but young. His best education will be going broke a couple of times. After that, he'll be successful
    How was it a good question?

    I posted the bet Indiana -365. A few hours later, when the line is -370 and no new information, you ask me if I still like it and if I'll be betting more. That makes no sense. Then the downie railbird chimes in with "good question".

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