ejd_5277 bases 2017
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Thread: ejd_5277 bases 2017

  1. #1

    Default ejd_5277 bases 2017

    A very ugly 23-36-2, -14.55 units last year. Will try and clean some of that up.

    All plays are -xxx to win one unit or one unit to win +xxx.

    All numbers will be available at the posted price or better at at least three major (listed on VI) B&M Nevada books at the time of post.

  2. #2

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    Appreciate the documentation from last season, EJD.

    Good luck here in 2017.

  3. #3

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    Bol EJD

  4. #4

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    Thanks JK and nut.

    Saturday, April 29 (early)

    968 TAM/TOR OVER 8 -110 Andriese/Liriano
    970 CWS/DET OVER 8 -105
    Holland/Fulmer

  5. #5

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    Afternoon/Late:

    955 Pittsburgh +121 Nova/Straily
    958 ATL/MIL OVER 9 -110 Garcia/Nelson
    962 San Francisco -125 Chacin/Cain
    980 Boston +108 Lackey/Wright

  6. #6
    EOG Addicted
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    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    It's a new year, Good Luck!

  7. #7

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    Thanks, LA.

    Got very lucky to only lose juice on the early games, especially given the shit the market took on my winner at close.

  8. #8

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    3-3, -0.14u

  9. #9

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    Good luck, ejd. I hope u bang the shit out of the book 2day!

  10. #10

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    Thanks Chuck!

    Sunday, April 30, 2017

    903 Atlanta -110 (First Five) Foltynewicz/Garza
    906 St. Louis (-1.5) +120 Arroyo/Leake
    910 ARI/COL OVER 10 -120 Marquez/Corbin
    916 SEA/CLE OVER 9.5 -105 De Jong/Tomlin
    918 BAL/NYY OVER 8 -110 Miley/Montgomery
    921 White Sox +109 Gonzalez/Zimmerman

  11. #11
    EOG Addicted
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    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    Cardinals 8-2 & Reds 2-8 in last 10 games.

  12. #12

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    Adding:

    930 CHC/BOS OVER 8.5 -120 Hendricks/Rodriguez

  13. #13

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    2-4-1, -2.4u
    YTD: 5-7-1, -2.54u

  14. #14

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    Hang in there, EJD.

  15. #15

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    Monday, May 1 2017

    952 Atlanta -105 Gsellman/Teheran
    956 PHI/CHC OVER 10 -110 Velasquez/Anderson
    966 CLE/DET OVER 8.5 -110 Bauer/Norris
    969 White Sox +175 Covey/Vargas
    971 Tampa Bay +135 Odorizzi/Chen

  16. #16

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    Five pieces on an 11-game card.

    Good luck EJD.

  17. #17

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    Dude,

    You gotta learn to bet the unders. I know a lot of guys won't, but unders tend to be more predictive than overs. At least in MLB and the NBA. Used to also be so in the NFL until they ruined the rules.

  18. #18

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    I know... too many.
    I'll learn to be more selective one of these days.

  19. #19

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    Quote Originally Posted by Valuist View Post
    Dude,

    You gotta learn to bet the unders. I know a lot of guys won't, but unders tend to be more predictive than overs. At least in MLB and the NBA. Used to also be so in the NFL until they ruined the rules.
    As a general rule, of course you're correct.

    I think we're still on an upswing in overall runs scored in MLB though, after bottoming out in 2014. Yes, the strikeout rate continues to go up, but it's starting to look like 2000 again as far as power hitting goes and I think we have a big enough sample size to say conclusively that it's not a fluke.

    Three other observations on this current baseball season: (all anecdotal, but I watch a *lot* of baseball.)

    1.) overall bullpen quality is the worst I've seen in years
    2.) Ditto for defense
    3.) I'm seeing more hitters improve pitch selectivity. (Read: more walks.)

    I'll try and dig for some data to back all this up when I have more time.

    Bottom line: I don't think the market has caught up yet. You'll almost certainly see a lot more unders from me in July and August.

  20. #20

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    Don't be afraid of volume

  21. #21
    Eventus stultorum magister NowshesmyRuca's Avatar
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    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    Quote Originally Posted by nut6 View Post
    Don't be afraid of volume
    Clowns make me laugh! :+textinb3

  22. #22

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    Quote Originally Posted by ejd_5277 View Post
    Monday, May 1 2017

    952 Atlanta -105 Gsellman/Teheran
    956 PHI/CHC OVER 10 -110 Velasquez/Anderson
    966 CLE/DET OVER 8.5 -110 Bauer/Norris
    969 White Sox +175 Covey/Vargas
    971 Tampa Bay +135 Odorizzi/Chen
    2-3, -0.85u
    YTD: 7-10-1, -3.39u

  23. #23

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    Tuesday, May 2, 2017

    904 ARI/WAS OVER 8.5 -105 Walker/Roark
    906 PIT/CIN OVER 8.5 -115 Glasnow/Feldman
    916 TOR/NYY UNDER 9 -110 Latos/Tanaka
    920 CLE/DET OVER 7.5 -110 Kluber/Verlander
    929 Tampa Bay +120 Cobb/Volquez

  24. #24

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    Beware very favorable hitting conditions here in nyc...gl

  25. #25

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    Quote Originally Posted by ejd_5277 View Post
    As a general rule, of course you're correct.

    I think we're still on an upswing in overall runs scored in MLB though, after bottoming out in 2014. Yes, the strikeout rate continues to go up, but it's starting to look like 2000 again as far as power hitting goes and I think we have a big enough sample size to say conclusively that it's not a fluke.

    Three other observations on this current baseball season: (all anecdotal, but I watch a *lot* of baseball.)

    1.) overall bullpen quality is the worst I've seen in years
    2.) Ditto for defense
    3.) I'm seeing more hitters improve pitch selectivity. (Read: more walks.)

    I'll try and dig for some data to back all this up when I have more time.

    Bottom line: I don't think the market has caught up yet. You'll almost certainly see a lot more unders from me in July and August.
    I think there will be an upswing in runs, but not until its warm everywhere. Still plenty of games in sub 50 degree weather. The time to lean toward overs is June and July. By August, markets fully caught up, batters start to tire a bit. But in general, overs are just less predictive.

  26. #26

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    GL ejd,keep grinding buddy

  27. #27

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    3-2, +1u
    YTD: 10-12-1, -2.39u

  28. #28

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    Tribe/Tigers...

    Need 1 run with 4 innings to go yesterday, can't get there...

    Need 2 runs with 6 innings to go and 1 run with 3 1/2 innings to go today, can't get there.

    We move on.

  29. #29

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    Wednesday, May 3, 2017

    952 ARI/WAS OVER 8 -105 Ray/Gonzalez
    953 Pittsburgh (-1.5) +125 Taillon/Davis
    964 COL/SD UNDER 8 -105 Senzetela/Weaver
    966 Yankees -105 Stroman/Sabathia
    968 BAL/BOS OVER 9 EV Gausman/Pomeranz
    971 White Sox +135 Pelfrey/Karns

  30. #30

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    1-5, -4.1u
    YTD: 11-17-1, -6.49u

  31. #31

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    Thursday, May 4, 2017

    912 NYM/ATL UNDER 8.5 +105 Wheeler/Garcia.

    This is strictly a weather play. Some real nasty stuff 2 1/2 to 3 hours out. I think a game time under 3:00, they get all 9 in. Anything over that much less likely.

  32. #32

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    Friday, May 5, 2017

    974 Oakland -115 Fulmer/Triggs

  33. #33

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    YTD: 11-18-1, -7.64u

    Sunday, May 7, 2017

    953 St. Louis -107 Wacha/Dickey
    956 MIL/PIT OVER 8 -115 Davies/Glasnow
    958 WAS/PHI OVER 8.5 -115 Roark/Hellickson
    962 SFG/CIN OVER 8.5 -110 Cueto/Feldman
    978 TEX/SEA OVER 8.5 -110 Cashner/Overton
    979 NY Yankees +122 Severino/Lester

  34. #34

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    Bol today

  35. #35

    Default Re: ejd_5277 bases 2017

    Same to you sir.

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