Westgate SuperContest Week 6
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  1. #1
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    Default Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    Lines for Week 6

    THURSDAY, OCTOBER 12, 2017
    1 PANTHERS* 5:25 PM 2 EAGLES +3.5
    SUNDAY, OCTOBER 15, 2017
    3 TEXANS* 10:00 AM 4 BROWNS +9.5
    5 PATRIOTS 10:00 AM 6 JETS* +9
    7 FALCONS* 10:00 AM 8 DOLPHINS +11.5
    9 SAINTS* 10:00 AM 10 LIONS +5
    11 PACKERS 10:00 AM 12 VIKINGS* +3
    13 RAVENS* 10:00 AM 14 BEARS +6.5
    15 REDSKINS* 10:00 AM 16 49ERS +10
    17 JAGUARS* 1:05 PM 18 RAMS +2.5
    19 BUCCANEERS 1:05 PM 20 CARDINALS* +2.5
    21 CHIEFS* 1:25 PM 22 STEELERS +4.5
    23 RAIDERS* 1:25 PM 24 CHARGERS +3.5
    25 BRONCOS* 5:30 PM 26 GIANTS +11.5
    MONDAY, OCTOBER 16, 2017
    27 TITANS* 5:30 PM 28 COLTS +6.5

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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    Overall selection record through Week 5:

    GOLD: 1173-1086-66, 51.93%

    Classic: 32636-34170-1634, 48.85%

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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    Never confuse price with value, consensus with wisdom, or conformity with courage.

  4. #4

    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    I resolved myself to never take the Thursday night game in this contest, but now after the sixth Thursday, I am somehow 6-0 on Thursday night. The best laid plans and such.

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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    Quote Originally Posted by IssaJet View Post
    I resolved myself to never take the Thursday night game in this contest, but now after the sixth Thursday, I am somehow 6-0 on Thursday night. The best laid plans and such.
    Pretty rare circumstance, I only have " LIFE IS GOOD" in addition to "COBYDUBOSE" as also winning TNF picks all 5 weeks.

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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    Kind of appropriate tasking by VSiN given Dave's leading role in Vegas football contest coverage, and of the SuperContest in particular, over the years . . .

    Dave Tuley‏Verified account @ViewFromVegas 4m4 minutes ago

    I'm heading down to @LVSuperBook to announce #SuperContest consensus at noon PT on "The Green Zone" on SiriusXM 204 & @VSiNLive site & app
    Never confuse price with value, consensus with wisdom, or conformity with courage.

  7. #7
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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    The “Pirate” stale line plays for the current week approaching the 11AM Sat contest close, in ranked order (with a last look onsite at about 10:35 a.m.):

    WSH -10
    PIT +4.5

    DET +5

    GB -3
    LAC +3.5 (fairly late addition, but had been OTB)

    Remaining “undercard” (in ranked order):

    ARI +2.5
    ATL -11.5
    CLE +9.5

    No necessity for Crick’s (2W2P2S) Pinny tiebreaker this week at the five-cut, but good to know that the man himself may be monitoring in case.

    For a brief explanation and a link to a longer one, see post #10 in this thread:

    http://forums.eog.com/showthread.php...Contest-Week-2

    Pirate prior plays YTD: 15-9-1, hypothetically tied at about 198

    All “raw unfiltered” stale line prior plays YTD: 17-25-2

    Yes, that means that the undercard has done only 2-16-1 YTD, which would be an even better fade TY than a follow of the Pirate plays (in terms of percentages, mechanically fading the undercard wouldn't always produce a full five play contest card).

    On the fly, I don’t recall there being such a marked divergence between the Pirate plays and the dregs (for a potentially viable follow and/or fade strategy either for the contest or at the windows, subject to the line variances as to the latter).

    But I’ll look back at my notes for the 2011-16 seasons once this season is over (plate is too full now) to see if I have enough of the real-time data preserved as to also the undercard to make a multi-year comparison.
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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    SuperContest Classic selection numbers, via VSiN:

    PIT 993
    GB 970
    DET 779
    DEN 716
    LAR 701

    ATL 644
    LAC 613
    NO 579
    KC 572
    ARI 558
    BAL 523
    NE 521
    SF 516
    JAX 493
    NYJ 493
    CLE 449
    TB 444
    HOU 415
    MIN 409
    CHI 383
    WAS 358
    PHI 298
    IND 263
    NYG 244
    CAR 206
    OAK 186
    MIA 181
    TEN 173

    CIN 0
    BUF 0
    DAL 0
    SEA 0
    Never confuse price with value, consensus with wisdom, or conformity with courage.

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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    SuperContest Gold selection numbers, via VSiN:

    PIT 48
    CLE 29
    ARI 27
    DET 27
    NYG 25

    LAC 20
    BAL 20
    JAX 19
    WAS 19
    MIN 19
    GB 18
    ATL 17
    IND 15
    LAR 15
    SF 14
    CHI 14
    NE 14
    DEN 12
    NO 12
    KC 11
    NYJ 11
    PHI 10
    TB 9
    OAK 9
    HOU 8
    CAR 7
    TEN 7
    MIA 4

    CIN 0
    BUF 0
    DAL 0
    SEA 0
    Never confuse price with value, consensus with wisdom, or conformity with courage.

  10. #10
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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    Classic & Gold Dual Consensus Plays: PIT DET

    Classic/Gold Divergence: DEN/NYG
    Never confuse price with value, consensus with wisdom, or conformity with courage.

  11. #11

    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    What does all mean.

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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    That has been the question since time immemorial, lol, maybe Dave's summary will provide a moment of clarity:

    Dave Tuley‏Verified account @ViewFromVegas 15m15 minutes ago

    #SuperContest Top 5 (1-4 Week 5, 10-15 overall), as released @VSiNLive: PIT +4.5, GB -3, DET +5, DEN -11.5, LAR +2.5 https://www.vsin.com/supercontest/


    Dave Tuley‏Verified account @ViewFromVegas 15m15 minutes ago

    Note: PIT +4.5 was also No. 1 choice in #SuperContestGold (Top 5 is 12-13 overall) along w/ CLE +9.5, AZ +2.5, DET +5, NYG +11.5 @VSiNLive
    Never confuse price with value, consensus with wisdom, or conformity with courage.

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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    Last word I heard from the NFL, LAC @ OAK will go as scheduled.

    However, if the scheduled setting goes up in smoke (they're still monitoring the fires), this rule may come into play:

    23. In the event of a game cancellation or postponement, the game must be played by Tuesday of that week to be applied toward contest standings or contestant will be awarded zero points for that game.

    Sort of like losing, well, no, exactly like losing, for both sides where used by contestants.
    Never confuse price with value, consensus with wisdom, or conformity with courage.

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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    Leaders , picks for week 6:

    Alias Wins Losses Pushes Points Pick 1 Pick 2 Pick 3 Pick 4 Pick 5

    CALI CAPPERS 20 5 0 20.0 SF TB PIT LAC IND

    SEOUL CYCLE 19 5 1 19.5 GB LAR PIT DEN IND

    TIMOTHY BILLOW 19 6 0 19.0 CLE CHI LAR ARI TEN
    ANGEL OF VENGEANCE 19 6 0 19.0 MIA NO MIN JAX PIT
    TUNNEL VISION 19 6 0 19.0 NO MIN SF LAR PIT
    CAPPERSMALL.COM 19 6 0 19.0 CLE DET ARI PIT OAK
    FLI 2 19 6 0 19.0 CLE MIN LAR PIT NYG
    PHD SPORTS 19 6 0 19.0 LAR ARI PIT OAK NYG
    CUBBIES79 19 6 0 19.0 PHI CLE MIN SF LAR
    SCHEMATIC ADVANTAGE 19 6 0 19.0 CLE ATL MIN SF LAR
    JACQUES TUZ 19 6 0 19.0 PHI NYJ DET GB JAX

    PROFESSOR PHILLY 18 6 1 18.5 HOU NYJ DET ARI PIT
    5HORSEMEN 18 6 1 18.5 ATL NO WAS PIT NYG
    PONYTAIL DAVE 18 6 1 18.5 MIN SF ARI LAC NYG
    SL2 ATX 18 6 1 18.5 NO MIN PIT LAC NYG
    K J E 18 6 1 18.5 CLE CHI ARI NYG IND
    MAMA RENDOS 18 6 1 18.5 NYJ SF LAC DEN IND
    JD3 18 6 1 18.5 ATL GB LAR PIT DEN
    PAPA SMURF 18 6 1 18.5 PHI CLE MIN SF ARI

    WINSTON PLATINUM 17 6 2 18.0 ATL DET ARI KC NYG
    BEAR DOWN 18 7 0 18.0 CAR DET GB CHI SF
    NITO ICHI 18 7 0 18.0 NYJ DET MIN WAS PIT
    KIVLEHAN 18 7 0 18.0 MIN SF JAX PIT NYG
    CAUTIONER 18 7 0 18.0 CLE NO WAS PIT LAC
    THE REAL KOBE BEEF 18 7 0 18.0 CLE NO SF PIT DEN

    GZAP911 17 7 1 17.5 NE ATL GB LAR TB
    DAVID BLANTON 17 7 1 17.5 CLE ATL NO LAR PIT
    GAMBLIN GOLFER 17 7 1 17.5 CLE NO JAX ARI PIT
    NORTHERN STUPOR 17 7 1 17.5 HOU ATL DET CHI PIT
    SHARON 17 7 1 17.5 CLE NE BAL WAS PIT
    SHUTDOWN CORNER 17 7 1 17.5 CLE NE DET TB PIT
    THE ROCK SAYS.. 17 7 1 17.5 ATL NO BAL LAR PIT
    ICE2 POSSYS 17 7 1 17.5 HOU DET WAS OAK NYG
    RICK F 17 7 1 17.5 CLE NE GB BAL NYG
    ROSEE 17 7 1 17.5 NO CHI LAR KC NYG
    TWF CO. 17 7 1 17.5 CLE ATL ARI PIT NYG
    LIFE IS GOOD 17 7 1 17.5 PHI DET BAL TB LAC
    PJDKLS 17 7 1 17.5 NYJ ATL NO WAS JAX
    JOHN 3:17 17 7 1 17.5 GB PIT LAC DEN IND
    DADSON 17 7 1 17.5 ATL NO MIN KC DEN
    HURRICANE DITKA 17 7 1 17.5 ATL DET MIN TB DEN
    OIL FIELD MONEY 17 7 1 17.5 CLE ATL CHI PIT DEN
    PROCESS TRUSTEES 17 7 1 17.5 CAR DET SF PIT DEN
    TRUEHITT 17 7 1 17.5 NO BAL LAR PIT DEN

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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    EOG and well-known cappers

    Place name Pick 1 2 3 4 5 W L T Pts
    45 SQUAREPANTS NYJ DET MIN WAS PIT 17 8 0 17

    121 VEGASPORTSLINE.COM NYJ DET WAS PIT LAC 16 9 0 16
    121 VSiN 2 CLE DET PIT OAK DEN 16 9 0 16

    202 3POINTDOG NO WAS LAR PIT DEN 15 9 1 15.5

    401 MAINEHTRAIN CLE GB CHI TB DEN 14 10 1 14.5
    716 JARHEAD MIN WAS ARI NYG TEN 13 11 1 13.5
    716 ROUGHRIDER39 CLE CHI JAX PIT LAC 13 11 1 13.5
    716 KELLYINVEGAS NYJ MIN SF PIT LAC 13 11 1 13.5
    716 COBYDUBOSE PHI NO MIN CHI LAR 13 11 1 13.5
    890 ERSPORTS CLE MIN LAR PIT TEN 12 11 2 13
    890 CH BALLERS CLE LAR ARI PIT NYG 13 12 0 13

    1327 SANS SOUCI NYJ DET MIN PIT DEN 12 13 0 12

    1762 EOG.COM CLE NE BAL JAX PIT 11 14 0 11

    2155 VSiN 1 CLE MIA GB PIT DEN 10 15 0 10

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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    GOLD leaders:
    Alias Wins Losses Pushes Points Pick 1 Pick 2 Pick 3 Pick 4 Pick 5

    BKSF 20 5 0 20.0 CLE MIN LAR PIT NYG

    BETTER ODDS 17 7 1 17.5 HOU MIN WAS ARI OAK
    BENSON 17 7 1 17.5 ATL MIN WAS PIT NYG

    EL CHINGON 16 7 2 17.0 CLE DET GB LAC DEN
    INSIDER TRADING #3 17 8 0 17.0 PHI ATL DET PIT NYG

    TRUSTED LINK SPORTS 16 8 1 16.5 NE ATL PIT LAC DEN

    BERT EMANUEL RULE 16 9 0 16.0 ATL CHI PIT NYG TEN
    ICED TEA TO 16 9 0 16.0 CAR CLE DET JAX PIT
    VEGASPORTSLINE2.COM 16 9 0 16.0 NYJ DET WAS PIT LAC
    MWBALL 16 9 0 16.0 NYJ MIA DET MIN JAX
    LORENZO 16 9 0 16.0 CLE NYJ NO MIN IND
    RX&DX 16 9 0 16.0 CLE MIN OAK DEN IND
    KJSPARTAN1 16 9 0 16.0 NE BAL WAS PIT DEN

    MASSIVE V 15 9 1 15.5 HOU NE ATL BAL PIT
    E3 SYSTEM 15 9 1 15.5 CLE JAX ARI PIT NYG

    BULLDOZER2 14 9 2 15.0 PHI HOU DET BAL WAS
    THE 3 CHUBBS 14 9 2 15.0 CLE LAR ARI PIT IND
    WET TIE 14 9 2 15.0 PHI GB BAL LAC IND
    MICHAEL PEFFERCORN 15 10 0 15.0 NYJ GB BAL SF TB
    BLUEHEN7 15 10 0 15.0 NE GB WAS LAR KC

    LIGHTNING 2 14 10 1 14.5 PHI HOU DET BAL WAS
    FISH INC 1 14 10 1 14.5 CLE NE DET BAL PIT
    INSUFFERABLE 14 10 1 14.5 NO BAL LAR ARI PIT
    THAGOODPLAYA17 14 10 1 14.5 CLE DET MIN SF PIT
    3DOG20 14 10 1 14.5 LAR ARI PIT LAC NYG
    STAG CAPITAL 14 10 1 14.5 WAS ARI PIT OAK NYG
    LVSPORTS 14 10 1 14.5 CAR CLE MIN ARI KC

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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    GOLD:

    Place EOG and well-known cappers Pts
    4 EL CHINGON CLE DET GB LAC DEN 16 7 1 16.5
    7 VEGASPORTSLINE2.COM NYJ DET WAS PIT LAC 16 9 1 16.5
    36 LW MCQUAID CLE CHI JAX PIT LAC 13 11 0 13
    43 MUCKED NUTS1 WAS ARI PIT LAC IND 13 12 1 13.5
    43 RIGHT ANGLE SPORTS ATL DET LAR KC OAK 12 11 0 12
    50 TOOFDOC1 CAR NO MIN SF ARI 12 12 0 12
    61 RICHARD STAND CLE NE ARI NYG TEN 12 13 0 12
    65 FRANK B DET JAX ARI PIT LAC 11 13 0 11
    70 WISKY HOU DET TB LAC DEN 11 14 0 11

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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    Leaders going into PM games:

    Alias Wins Losses Pushes Points Pick(s) W L T

    ANGEL OF VENGEANCE 22 6 0 22.0 JAX PIT 3 0 0
    TUNNEL VISION 22 6 0 22.0 LAR PIT 3 0 0
    CUBBIES79 22 7 0 22.0 LAR 3 1 0

    PAPA SMURF 21 7 1 21.5 ARI 3 1 0

    CALI CAPPERS 21 5 0 21.0 TB PIT LAC IND 1 0 0
    BETTORLIFE 21 8 0 21.0 PIT 4 0 0
    VEGASWEHAVEAPROBLEM3 21 8 0 21.0 PIT 4 0 0
    SCHEMATIC ADVANTAGE 21 8 0 21.0 LAR 2 2 0
    VEGASWEHAVEAPROBLEM4 21 8 0 21.0 LAR 4 0 0
    JACQUES TUZ 21 8 0 21.0 JAX 2 2 0
    MEAN MACHINE 2442 21 9 0 21.0 4 1 0

    PONYTAIL DAVE 20 6 1 20.5 ARI LAC NYG 2 0 0
    SL2 ATX 20 6 1 20.5 PIT LAC NYG 2 0 0
    MAMA RENDOS 20 6 1 20.5 LAC DEN IND 2 0 0
    PROFESSOR PHILLY 20 7 1 20.5 ARI PIT 2 1 0

    TIMOTHY BILLOW 20 7 0 20.0 LAR ARI TEN 1 1 0
    FLI 2 20 7 0 20.0 LAR PIT NYG 1 1 0
    KIVLEHAN 20 7 0 20.0 JAX PIT NYG 2 0 0
    ACCORSI 20 8 0 20.0 JAX NYG 3 0 0
    GABBY 20 8 0 20.0 LAC NYG 3 0 0
    THE ORACLE 20 8 0 20.0 PIT NYG 3 0 0
    THE REAL KOBE BEEF 20 8 0 20.0 PIT DEN 2 1 0

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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    GOLD leaders going into PM games:

    Alias Wins Losses Pushes Points Pick(s) W L T

    BKSF 21 6 0 21.0 LAR PIT NYG 1 1 0

    BETTER ODDS 19 8 1 19.5 ARI OAK 2 1 0

    MWBALL 19 10 0 19.0 JAX 3 1 0
    LORENZO 19 10 0 19.0 IND 3 1 0

    BENSON 18 9 1 18.5 PIT NYG 1 2 0

    INSIDER TRADING #3 18 10 0 18.0 PIT NYG 1 2 0

    BERT EMANUEL RULE 17 10 0 17.0 PIT NYG TEN 1 1 0
    RX&DX 17 10 0 17.0 OAK DEN IND 1 1 0
    EL CHINGON 16 10 2 17.0 LAC DEN 0 3 0
    VEGASPORTSLINE2.COM 17 11 0 17.0 PIT LAC 1 2 0
    MICHAEL PEFFERCORN 17 12 0 17.0 TB 2 2 0
    BULLDOZER2 16 12 2 17.0 2 3 0

    TRUSTED LINK SPORTS 16 10 1 16.5 PIT LAC DEN 0 2 0
    MASSIVE V 16 12 1 16.5 PIT 1 3 0
    THAGOODPLAYA17 16 12 1 16.5 PIT 2 2 0
    745 LOCAL G 16 12 1 16.5 OAK 4 0 0
    LIGHTNING 2 16 13 1 16.5 2 3 0

    COOL HAND LUKE 15 11 2 16.0 LAR PIT 2 1 0
    WET TIE 15 11 2 16.0 LAC IND 1 2 0
    ICED TEA TO 16 12 0 16.0 JAX PIT 0 3 0
    KJSPARTAN1 16 12 0 16.0 PIT DEN 0 3 0

    E3 SYSTEM 15 10 1 15.5 JAX ARI PIT NYG 0 1 0
    INSUFFERABLE 15 11 1 15.5 LAR ARI PIT 1 1 0
    BRETTFAVRE444 15 11 1 15.5 PIT LAC IND 2 0 0
    LVSPORTS 15 12 1 15.5 ARI KC 1 2 0
    REEZIL 1010 15 12 1 15.5 LAR KC 2 1 0
    TOOFDOC1 15 13 1 15.5 ARI 3 1 0
    THE 3 CHUBBS 14 10 2 15.0 LAR ARI PIT IND 0 1 0
    CALABASAS WISE GUY 15 11 0 15.0 LAR ARI PIT TEN 1 0 0
    JOHN DOE #69 15 12 0 15.0 ARI PIT NYG 1 1 0
    ERNIE MCCRACKEN 1 15 12 0 15.0 JAX LAC IND 1 1 0

  20. #20
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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    Westgate didn't put a number up on Raider game until yesterday. Did they project the number on Thursday with info on Carr?
    The art of learning is learning who to ignore ~LeAnn Rimes

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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    There's a Tom Petty musical reference in there somewhere . . . .
    Never confuse price with value, consensus with wisdom, or conformity with courage.

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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    Leaders going into SNF:

    Alias Wins Losses Pushes Points Pick(s) W L T
    TUNNEL VISION 24 6 0 24.0 5 0 0

    CALI CAPPERS 23 6 0 23.0 IND 3 1 0

    ANGEL OF VENGEANCE 23 7 0 23.0 4 1 0
    CUBBIES79 23 7 0 23.0 4 1 0

    PONYTAIL DAVE 22 6 1 22.5 NYG 4 0 0
    SL2 ATX 22 6 1 22.5 NYG 4 0 0
    PAPA SMURF 22 7 1 22.5 4 1 0
    PROFESSOR PHILLY 22 7 1 22.5 4 1 0

    TIMOTHY BILLOW 22 7 0 22.0 TEN 3 1 0
    FLI 2 22 7 0 22.0 NYG 3 1 0
    PHD SPORTS 22 7 0 22.0 NYG 3 1 0
    BETTORLIFE 22 8 0 22.0 5 0 0
    SCHEMATIC ADVANTAGE 22 8 0 22.0 3 2 0
    VEGASWEHAVEAPROBLEM3 22 8 0 22.0 5 0 0
    VEGASWEHAVEAPROBLEM4 22 8 0 22.0 5 0 0

    MAMA RENDOS 21 6 1 21.5 DEN IND 3 0 0
    SEOUL CYCLE 21 6 1 21.5 DEN IND 2 1 0

    GABBY 21 8 0 21.0 NYG 4 0 0
    KIVLEHAN 21 8 0 21.0 NYG 3 1 0
    THE ORACLE 21 8 0 21.0 NYG 4 0 0
    VEGASWEHAVEAPROBLEM2 21 8 0 21.0 NYG 4 0 0
    THE REAL KOBE BEEF 21 8 0 21.0 DEN 3 1 0

  23. #23
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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    GOLD leaders going into SNF:

    Alias Wins Losses Pushes Points Pick(s) W L T
    BKSF 23 6 0 23.0 NYG 3 1 0

    BETTER ODDS 20 9 1 20.5 3 2 0

    BENSON 19 9 1 19.5 NYG 2 2 0

    INSIDER TRADING #3 19 10 0 19.0 NYG 2 2 0
    LORENZO 19 10 0 19.0 IND 3 1 0
    MWBALL 19 11 0 19.0 3 2 0
    VEGASPORTSLINE2.COM 19 11 0 19.0 3 2 0

    3DOG20 18 10 1 18.5 NYG 4 0 0
    TRUSTED LINK SPORTS 18 10 1 18.5 DEN 2 2 0
    INSUFFERABLE 18 11 1 18.5 4 1 0

    BERT EMANUEL RULE 18 10 0 18.0 NYG TEN 2 1 0
    THE 3 CHUBBS 17 10 2 18.0 IND 3 1 0
    EL CHINGON 17 10 2 18.0 DEN 1 3 0
    CALABASAS WISE GUY 18 11 0 18.0 TEN 4 0 0
    COOL HAND LUKE 17 11 2 18.0 4 1 0

    E3 SYSTEM 17 11 1 17.5 NYG 2 2 0
    BRETTFAVRE444 17 11 1 17.5 IND 4 0 0
    MASSIVE V 17 12 1 17.5 2 3 0
    THAGOODPLAYA17 17 12 1 17.5 3 2 0

    RX&DX 17 11 0 17.0 DEN IND 1 2 0
    WET TIE 16 11 2 17.0 IND 2 2 0
    JOHN DOE #69 17 12 0 17.0 NYG 3 1 0
    TENNESSEE CHARLIE 2 17 12 0 17.0 NYG 3 1 0
    KJSPARTAN1 17 12 0 17.0 DEN 1 3 0

  24. #24
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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    Dave Tuley‏Verified account @ViewFromVegas 2m2 minutes ago

    #SuperContest Top 5 rebounded with LAR & PIT in afternoon, stands at 2-2 this week w/ DEN -11.5 pending; SC Gold Top 5 is 2-2 w/ NYG +11.5
    Never confuse price with value, consensus with wisdom, or conformity with courage.

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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    Pirate bogied the sixth hole with 2-3 on the week' stale lines plays, for 17-12-1 YTD.

    Undercard went 1-2, for 3-18-1 YTD.

    Total, unfiltered stale line plays went 3-5, for 20-30-2 YTD.
    Never confuse price with value, consensus with wisdom, or conformity with courage.

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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    Quote Originally Posted by codypo View Post
    What does all mean.
    I assume you're referring to the Westgate "Consensus" and pick distribution information. AFAIK, this data was first posted for the Hilton SuperContest by Andy Iskoe, www.logicalapproach.com , all the way back to 1998. He appears to have stopped in 2010.

    I think initially he did it on the vain hope that somehow the popular picks (consensus) would somehow outperform the overall selection W/L. Of course, just taking the Top 5 teams selected numerically occasionally gives obviously flawed results such as opposing teams both ending up in the Top 5.

    Now I think its disclosure, being hyped by VSiN and the Westgate, is as a superfluous curiosity. When you consider the consensus Top 5 is data-mined out of a pool of selections that overall go at a W/L of 50.5% (which is bloated slightly by stale lines), it has almost no statistical significance.

  27. #27

    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    How about EDDIE MONEY with 15.5 points

  28. #28
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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    Leaders after Week 6:

    Alias Wins Losses Pushes Points W L T
    TUNNEL VISION 24 6 0 24.0 5 0 0

    PONYTAIL DAVE 23 6 1 23.5 5 0 0
    SL2 ATX 23 6 1 23.5 5 0 0

    ANGEL OF VENGEANCE 23 7 0 23.0 4 1 0
    CALI CAPPERS 23 7 0 23.0 3 2 0
    CUBBIES79 23 7 0 23.0 4 1 0
    FLI 2 23 7 0 23.0 4 1 0
    PHD SPORTS 23 7 0 23.0 4 1 0
    TIMOTHY BILLOW 23 7 0 23.0 4 1 0

    PAPA SMURF 22 7 1 22.5 4 1 0
    PROFESSOR PHILLY 22 7 1 22.5 4 1 0

    BETTORLIFE 22 8 0 22.0 5 0 0
    GABBY 22 8 0 22.0 5 0 0
    KIVLEHAN 22 8 0 22.0 4 1 0
    SCHEMATIC ADVANTAGE 22 8 0 22.0 3 2 0
    THE ORACLE 22 8 0 22.0 5 0 0
    VEGASWEHAVEAPROBLEM2 22 8 0 22.0 5 0 0
    VEGASWEHAVEAPROBLEM3 22 8 0 22.0 5 0 0
    VEGASWEHAVEAPROBLEM4 22 8 0 22.0 5 0 0

    5HORSEMEN 21 8 1 21.5 3 2 0
    BIOSOFT SPORTS 21 8 1 21.5 5 0 0
    K J E 21 8 1 21.5 3 2 0
    MAMA RENDOS 21 8 1 21.5 3 2 0
    ROSEE 21 8 1 21.5 4 1 0
    SEOUL CYCLE 21 8 1 21.5 2 3 0

    CROWNIN ME V2.0 20 8 2 21.0 5 0 0
    ACCORSI 21 9 0 21.0 4 1 0
    ALCO328 21 9 0 21.0 5 0 0
    BAD TEAMS BIG POINTS 21 9 0 21.0 4 1 0
    BIOSOFT GLOBAL 21 9 0 21.0 5 0 0
    BRUDUS27 21 9 0 21.0 4 1 0
    CAPPERSMALL.COM 21 9 0 21.0 2 3 0
    CAPPERSMALL/ASC 21 9 0 21.0 4 1 0
    CAUTIONER 21 9 0 21.0 3 2 0
    FIRST AND THIRD 21 9 0 21.0 5 0 0
    JACQUES TUZ 21 9 0 21.0 2 3 0
    JEFFFISHERS MUSTACHE 21 9 0 21.0 4 1 0
    LOU ALL 21 9 0 21.0 5 0 0
    MEAN MACHINE 2442 21 9 0 21.0 4 1 0
    MY NAME IS DR MUDD 21 9 0 21.0 4 1 0
    NITO ICHI 21 9 0 21.0 3 2 0
    ONO 21 9 0 21.0 5 0 0
    PSYCHOLOGY 21 9 0 21.0 5 0 0
    SRB379 21 9 0 21.0 5 0 0
    THE REAL KOBE BEEF 21 9 0 21.0 3 2 0
    THEBIGMOVES.COM 21 9 0 21.0 4 1 0
    TY SCHALTER 21 9 0 21.0 5 0 0
    VEGASWEHAVEAPROBLEM1 21 9 0 21.0 4 1 0

  29. #29

    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    After a 5-0 week, I'm finally feeling like I'm in this contest. Up to 18.5 points and trending the right direction. A long season ahead, but if you told me I'd be sitting 18-11-1 at this point, I think I'd take it. Curious to see whether this cash line stays so crazy high.

  30. #30
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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    GOLD leaders after Week 6:

    Alias Wins Losses Pushes Points W L T

    BKSF 24 6 0 24.0 4 1 0

    BENSON 20 9 1 20.5 3 2 0
    BETTER ODDS 20 9 1 20.5 3 2 0

    BERT EMANUEL RULE 20 10 0 20.0 4 1 0
    INSIDER TRADING #3 20 10 0 20.0 3 2 0

    3DOG20 19 10 1 19.5 5 0 0

    CALABASAS WISE GUY 19 11 0 19.0 5 0 0
    LORENZO 19 11 0 19.0 3 2 0
    MWBALL 19 11 0 19.0 3 2 0
    VEGASPORTSLINE2.COM 19 11 0 19.0 3 2 0

    E3 SYSTEM 18 11 1 18.5 3 2 0
    INSUFFERABLE 18 11 1 18.5 4 1 0
    TRUSTED LINK SPORTS 18 11 1 18.5 2 3 0

    COOL HAND LUKE 17 11 2 18.0 4 1 0
    EL CHINGON 17 11 2 18.0 1 4 0
    THE 3 CHUBBS 17 11 2 18.0 3 2 0
    JOHN DOE #69 18 12 0 18.0 4 1 0
    TENNESSEE CHARLIE 2 18 12 0 18.0 4 1 0

    BRETTFAVRE444 17 12 1 17.5 4 1 0
    MASSIVE V 17 12 1 17.5 2 3 0
    STAG CAPITAL 17 12 1 17.5 3 2 0
    THAGOODPLAYA17 17 12 1 17.5 3 2 0

  31. #31
    www.gabewins.com Baseball Zealot's Avatar
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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6


  32. #32
    www.gabewins.com Baseball Zealot's Avatar
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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    Our very own Big Bad Leroy Brown is 18-12 64% thus far.

    Not sure why he hasn't been mentioned once.

  33. #33
    Just Drawn This Way Squarepants's Avatar
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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    Quote Originally Posted by IssaJet View Post
    After a 5-0 week, I'm finally feeling like I'm in this contest. Up to 18.5 points and trending the right direction. A long season ahead, but if you told me I'd be sitting 18-11-1 at this point, I think I'd take it. Curious to see whether this cash line stays so crazy high.
    It perhaps was atypically low, but the eventual winner's two entries last year were back at 17 and 16 points after Week 6, as against a 24.5 leader.

    It's as much a matter of the early leader group falling back behind you as you catching them.

    It's a virtual lock that the Week 17 final winner won't be at 80%. And that the Week 17 final money cut won't be at 69%.
    Never confuse price with value, consensus with wisdom, or conformity with courage.

  34. #34
    Just Drawn This Way Squarepants's Avatar
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    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    The past two years with the 50 place payouts have paid down to 50.5 (2016) and 52.0 (2015) points.
    Never confuse price with value, consensus with wisdom, or conformity with courage.

  35. #35

    Default Re: Westgate SuperContest Week 6

    Quote Originally Posted by Squarepants View Post
    It perhaps was atypically low, but the eventual winner's two entries last year were back at 17 and 16 points after Week 6, as against a 24.5 leader.

    It's as much a matter of the early leader group falling back behind you as you catching them.

    It's a virtual lock that the Week 17 final winner won't be at 80%. And that the Week 17 final money cut won't be at 69%.
    Indeed. I'm not sure it's early enough to start rooting against the picks at the top because there isn't clear enough separation yet. But that will add a nice element to all of it. Must keep plodding along with winning weeks and hope for a few spiked 5-0s on the way home.

    Lots of fun, this Super Contest.

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