Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)
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Thread: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

  1. #1
    EOG Dedicated The Meatman's Avatar
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    Default Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Yes.


    Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato

  2. #2

    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    No. I like +100 on the No for sure. He was 50 yds from getting run down today.

  3. #3
    EOG Dedicated michael777's Avatar
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    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Yes, Mike did not see the 8 coming so the winning margin was deceiving. Bob will have him loaded with every drug that one could imagine for the Belmont, there are ZERO good horses to compete with him, he is a mortal lock. If you bet him Meatman, maybe then you could afford some decent food to eat.

  4. #4
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    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Quote Originally Posted by raycabino View Post
    No. I like +100 on the No for sure. He was 50 yds from getting run down today.
    I am surprised that a guy who grew up as close to the Fair Grounds as you did knows so little about the ponies?

    Maybe Justify would run a different race had it been fifty(50) yards longer??

    You don't run your "Kentucky Derby" race in the Preakness.


    Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato

  5. #5

    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    I like RAYCABINO's thoughts on everything except horse racing.


  6. #6

    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Quote Originally Posted by The Meatman View Post
    I am surprised that a guy who grew up as close to the Fair Grounds as you did knows so little about the ponies?

    Maybe Justify would run a different race had it been fifty(50) yards longer??

    You don't run your "Kentucky Derby" race in the Preakness.


    Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato
    I just know that the mile and a half is a mother fucker. Tons go in fav to win the Belmont after winning the 1st 2, not many get the chedda.

  7. #7

    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Quote Originally Posted by raycabino View Post
    I just know that the mile and a half is a mother fucker. Tons go in fav to win the Belmont after winning the 1st 2, not many get the chedda.

    But it's a different game now.

    These big-money owners are pooling their money and getting out of the way of a Triple Crown candidate.

    Additionally, Baffert and Pletcher have barns that are loaded with Derby candidates.

    Once a horse wins the Derby, it seems the path is cleared for the winner to compete in the Preakness and Belmont.

  8. #8

    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    34 have tried 12 have succeeded and only 1 since 1978.

  9. #9

    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    I failed to fire when I saw Justify at odds of 40/1 and 60/1 at Wynn Las Vegas to win the Triple Crown.

    EOG contributor BLUELINE pulled the trigger at 16/1 (Heritage) a few weeks before the Derby.

  10. #10

    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Quote Originally Posted by raycabino View Post
    34 have tried 12 have succeeded and only 1 since 1978.

    But we're likely to have two in the past four years.

    Different game now.

  11. #11

    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Ray, I'm sweating my Boston-Cleveland total through your in-game number at CRIS.

    Easier than adding the two scores and looking at the time remaining.

  12. #12
    EOG Dedicated The Meatman's Avatar
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    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Quote Originally Posted by John Kelly View Post
    But we're likely to have two in the past four years.

    Different game now.
    Ray still thinks the favorite never wins the Kentucky Derby.


    Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato

  13. #13

    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Quote Originally Posted by John Kelly View Post
    But we're likely to have two in the past four years.

    Different game now.
    The Belmont is still a mile and a half. That xtra quarter mile has proven to take out some really big time horses in the past. I'm betting it happens again.

  14. #14

    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Quote Originally Posted by The Meatman View Post
    Ray still thinks the favorite never wins the Kentucky Derby.


    Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato
    Lol not true.

  15. #15

    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Quote Originally Posted by The Meatman View Post
    Ray still thinks the favorite never wins the Kentucky Derby.


    Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato

    A winning streak of six straight years, mostly in 20-horse fields.

    Amazing.

  16. #16

    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Quote Originally Posted by raycabino View Post
    The Belmont is still a mile and a half. That xtra quarter mile has proven to take out some really big time horses in the past. I'm betting it happens again.

    Don't bet at even-money.

  17. #17

    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Quote Originally Posted by John Kelly View Post
    Ray, I'm sweating my Boston-Cleveland total through your in-game number at CRIS.

    Easier than adding the two scores and looking at the time remaining.
    Lol ain't that the truth. Sweating over or under?

  18. #18
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    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Quote Originally Posted by John Kelly View Post
    A winning streak of six straight years, mostly in 20-horse fields.

    Amazing.
    After none winning for twenty(20) years.


    Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato

  19. #19

    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Quote Originally Posted by John Kelly View Post
    Don't bet at even-money.
    Won't have to. Would take even money if gun to head though. Won't take worse lol. I'm gonna go with the 22-12 side of this coin. You just never know which horses can handler the xtra .25 mile until they run it.

  20. #20
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    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Quote Originally Posted by John Kelly View Post
    Don't bet at even-money.
    Even money?

    The bettors who bet Justify to win the Preakness would salivate to get even money in the Belmont.


    Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato

  21. #21

    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Quote Originally Posted by raycabino View Post
    Lol ain't that the truth. Sweating over or under?

    I need over 205.

    Beat the number, now comes the hard part.

    Just had a quiet two-minute run and the final two or three minutes of the fourth quarter could turn into a sloppy scrimmage with no whistes and very little scoring from unpolished players.

  22. #22
    EOG Dedicated Sleepy's Avatar
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    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Many horses will have extra rest.

  23. #23
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    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Quote Originally Posted by Sleepy View Post
    Many horses will have extra rest.
    The only horse that I can see giving Justify any trouble in the Belmont based on having "extra rest" is Mendelssohn.

    And that's a longshot at best.


    Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato

  24. #24

    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    1-13 are the last 14 that have tried to win the triple crown after winning the 1st 2 legs. I'm going with the 13 and if he wins I'll just pay up.

  25. #25

    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Quote Originally Posted by raycabino View Post
    1-13 are the last 14 that have tried to win the triple crown after winning the 1st 2 legs. I'm going with the 13 and if he wins I'll just pay up.

    Understood.

    I think Justify is more likely to be scratched than participate and lose.

  26. #26

    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Quote Originally Posted by The Meatman View Post
    The only horse that I can see giving Justify any trouble in the Belmont based on having "extra rest" is Mendelssohn.

    And that's a longshot at best.


    Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato
    Not sure if he has a chance or not but I'm guessing Bravazo's stock rises a good bit after that race today.

  27. #27

    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Let me re-think my position for a moment.

    Would Baffert scratch a horse on the doorstep of racing immortality?

  28. #28
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    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Quote Originally Posted by raycabino View Post
    1-13 are the last 14 that have tried to win the triple crown after winning the 1st 2 legs. I'm going with the 13 and if he wins I'll just pay up.
    Some say one(1) of thirteen(13).

    Others say one(1) of one(1).

    It all depends on how you look at it, Cap.


    Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato

  29. #29

    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Hey Meat, congrats on the win today.

  30. #30

    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Justify was 40 cents on the dollar today.

    Good Magic closed at 3.90-1.

    Third choice was Quip who finished dead last at 12/1.

  31. #31

    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Audible or Vino Rossi would beat the Justify we saw today at 1.5 miles.

  32. #32
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    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Quote Originally Posted by John Kelly View Post
    Let me re-think my position for a moment.

    Would Baffert scratch a horse on the doorstep of racing immortality?
    100% yes.

    You ever hear of I'll Have Another?


    Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato

  33. #33
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    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Quote Originally Posted by ChiTownJoe View Post
    Audible or Vino Rossi would beat the Justify we saw today at 1.5 miles.
    Never.

    Vino Roso's win in the Wood was the PERFECT setup for him.

    He is VERY overrated.


    Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato

  34. #34

    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Quote Originally Posted by ChiTownJoe View Post
    Audible or Vino Rossi would beat the Justify we saw today at 1.5 miles.

    Justify and Audible with common ownership.

  35. #35

    Default Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Quote Originally Posted by The Meatman View Post
    100% yes.

    You ever hear of I'll Have Another?


    Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato
    1-12 counting this scratch lol.

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