I guess this is a Dear John letter.
What I'm going to say will not make sense to you right off the bat, but please think about it.
Glisan's picks are more successful because he isn't looking for a needle in a haystack. He keeps it simple. However, John, most of the time (if you replay the radio picks section) your analysis is digging, almost with a flashlight and Scotland Yard cap, peering in the dark looking for something no one else can see.
Good results will keep it simple. Don't make it so difficult. I recognize this habit of yours because whenever I flip into this super-sleuth method of handicapping, the results are disasterous.
Think about this now......this method is very, very close to "guessing" or "hunching" a winner. Glisan backs his picks with a solid foundation........for example, "if it aint broke, dont fix it"......"the team is on a hot run".....etc. I hardly ever hear one of your picks taking this route, but rather jumping around with your plaid, inspector cap, in the dark. And that's where too many of your selections need to be, in the dark, locked up and hidden from view.