Soccer picks by Juliano

[Juliano]

Hi I know that soccer betting isn't too popular here, anyway it doesn't matter on what kind of bets you bet, the most important is "value"

Poland 1st Division

Lech Poznan - Polonia Bytom

Very interesting bet and IMO this bet will be very popular in this week that's why I won't wait and take it just now.

Lech Poznan is one of the most offensive team in Poland in 13 matches of this season they scored 27 goals that's mean a little bit over than 2 goals per match and only Wisla have better result. Anyway they are also the team with one of the weakest defence 19 goals conceded is also one of the worse performance in the league and there are only 5 teams which conceded more goals. If we take only home matches this statistic looks even better 3,33 goals scored and 1,17 conceded per match, that's mean average 4,5 goals in matches at home!

The most important information is that 2 more defenders are out, that's mean Lech will have to play without 6 defensive players now !

Polonia Bytom isn't the best team, they also don't score too much, just 8 goals in 13 matches what isn't the best result, anyway 6 of 8 goals were scored in last 6 matches.

We should also add that 2 weeks ago Polonia at home won against Lech 3:2 in the cup.


All in all I'm expecting very open match, where Lech will play another time very offensive football, while Polonia Bytom will have big chance in counter-attack and they should be able to score at least one goal against so weakened Lech defence.


my price:
goal line - 2,75
odds - 1,75

Predicted score:
3-1, 4-1

8/10 on Over 2.75 at 1.95 with Canbet

GL

[Reload]

Thanks, Juliano. Welcome to EOG - we all need help with soccer!

[Juliano]

Football - International EURO 2008 Qual.

21.11.2007 - 16.00 CET

Armenia - Kazakhstan

Home factor is decisive in this match IMO. Armenia are very
strong when they are playing at home and in this qualification they were able to get point/points against such opponents like Portugal, Poland, Serbia, Finland, definitely teams much better than Kazakhstan.
The situation with Kazakhstan is very similar, their home matches are much better than away, in this qualification they were able to collect 2 points away from home, one against Belgium and it was big surprise, the second point was against Azerbaijan (IMO the weakest team in this group).
After watching matches of both teams I have to also admit, that Armenia looks as a team more experienced and I will rate their way of playing one class above Kazakhstan. I see some value to back home team in this match.

Prediction: 1:0 / 2:0
GL

8/10 on Armenia -0.75 at 2.03 with Planet Pinnacle

[The General]

Thanks

[Juliano]

Football - International EURO 2008 Qual.

21.11.2007 - 20.45 CET

Serbia - Poland

The pitch isn't in the best condition and that convince me
to take under in this match. As everyone know Poland are going to play in this match without their stars, really hard to see someone who will be able to score goals for Poland in this match. For Serbia this match is still important (I don't know for how long it depends on Portugal game) so IMO they will be under pressure and will play very carefully at the beginning. Personally I'm against betting on Serbia, just because I'm not sure about their form and Polish replacements will want to show good football, because they have big chance to go to EURO2008. Odds dropped but still good IMO.

6/10 on Under 2.25 at 1.94 with Planet Pinnacle
2/10 on Under 1.50 at 3.10 with Unibet

GL