DIRTY AND MO; WEEK #16. under .500 vs above .500 34-17-1 ATS

[Cannon]

All plays graded by wagerline closing line ATS. All plays posted at the EOG.

Week #9
6-4

Week #10
7-0

Week #11
4-2

Week #12
4-2-1

Week #13
5-4

Week #14
3-2

Week #15
5-3

Total ATS 34-17-1 67%

The Lines I bet I am 35-16-1 69%

Seven winning weeks in a row with a system that starts every year with week #9 to the next to the last week of the season. System does not win usually the last week.

I bet each play for $500 and moneyline if the dog is +120 for $125. I also bet the first halfs for $100 and the second halfs for $100 no matter what the score was the first half.

The moneylines are on fire. This week 3-4 but the San Fran and Wash paid almost 5-1 and Tenn paid +165. Tampa lost in OT and would have paid +740.

If anyone knows of a better NFL system let me know 67% is really strong.

Week #16 has just 3 plays

Detroit
Houston
Miami

I am betting Detroit and Houston for $750 ATS and $250 ML
Miami $750 this week because of so few plays and it is the last week. I try to bet late because the line usually goes your way. Points have not mattered much, no matter if you bet them early or at gametime but the ML odds get better late.

Sometimes it is hard to bet these trash teams but the only ones that will have them are you and every book on the planet.

I have been winning with this system that some friends of mine who are large books for about 10 years. All it does is make money each year. Now if I could just win the first 8 weeks.

It takes 5 min each week to make your plays. You don't worry about weather,injuries,linemoves none of that matters on this system.

If I am not on this site next year as sometimes I am on post review with my ongoing war with Chuck Luck and don't expect to make it till the Super Bowl as I will be on post review and under house arrest in the dump formally known as Mo's Place very soon.

So if I don't return next year to this site someone carry the torch for me to help those who need NFL winners.

Hope I can finish with a 3-0 or 2-1 for everyone. I think I will play a $100 ML round robin with (2 and a 3 team parlay) on Houston,Detroit and Miami and try to finish with a bang. All 3 teams are at home and I feel lucky. I bet the 3 team might pay around $2500. Indy if they win on Monday might be flat against Houston. Detroit sucks but Chicago might not care they almost lost today and they have been sloppy lately. The media is touting the Jets so expect them to choke in Miami. They have Miami favored so Jets may be in trouble. Hell might have a shot.

[CHALKbreaker]

So the system is simply taking a below .500 team, playing a team that is over .500?


Sounds like a pretty solid contrarian system.

[rN'33zy]

Originally Posted by Cannon

Now if I could just win the first 8 weeks.

Have you tried going back and looking at the ML and spread and seeing if you would've won if you had picked the teams that you'd pick with your system?

I might use this system next season. Well at least from week 9 and beyond.

[PTPlayer]

gl cannon

[Piks]

Cannon

Do you know how the favorites have done this year using your over 500 vs. under 500 system??????? Thinking the dogs might have a higher win % than the favorites. Of course on the favorites there wouldn't be many samples.

Yesterday for example Minn was the only favorite using your system. Would have to think you get more line value betting the dogs.

Thanks for sharing the system.

GL
Piks

[Cannon]

In past years favorites were gold in this system when you have a bad team favored over a good team perhaps 10% better than the dogs. I would guess they might be one or two more losses than wins this year. It has not been doing very well I would say out of the 52 games I bet 12 were favorites and probably 5-7. I will go back and check and let you know as I have all my bets I made in a folder. I am really scared of Miami now that you mentioned it. Screw it I have to play Miami not going to cherry pick.

[rooster16]

is this an up n down system varying from year to year? i did a check on last years numbers and they look really bad.. how long have u been using this system?

[Cannon]

I have been betting this system each and every year forabout 10 years along with my other systems.

make sure you play Detroit,Houston and Miami. ATS, ML, first half and second half.

Round Robin Parlays ATS and ML. 2 and 3 team.

[Cannon]

The smaller system plays as posted at the end of last weeks thread for this week are

Minn (WINNER)
OAK
ATL
TENN
CLEV
JACKS
GIANTS
PITT
ST.LOUIS
SAN FRAN
CINN
SEA
PHILLY

I bet these small $100 each.

[BigIgg]

Cannon,
why are you taking Oakand? I thought your system was if one team is .500 playing a team with a losing record, you take the team with the better record? K.C. is 7-7.

[Cannon]

Yes you are right KC was the play $100 plays 6-6 with Philly out.


Big Plays for $750 each
Detroit (WINNER)
HOUSTON (WINNER)

$250 Moneyline dog plays.
Detroit (LOSER almost won)
Houston (HUGE WINNER)

My big system 36-17-1 with one game out.

Playing Miami $1000 on the money line to finsih out the season.

Merry Christmas

[Cannon]

I finish the second half of the season with 8 straight winning weeks on my big system. Not many plays this week just Houston, Miami, Detroit. 2-0 and hope I get the last one for a great week. 36-17-1 using the closing line at wagerline to grade plays. With my lines I bet I got 37-16-1. I might not be back next year to this site please post this system for me. Thanks.

[VINROY]

Great System Cannon! Thanks for the good work. You are very "lucky".

[Cannon]

Miami looks bad.

[LLXC]

Glad you got the late line on Detroit. Do you play these right before game time?

[Hoganknows]

Great system--best i've seen on this site--thanks for the cash

[tc1134]

What did you go posting in Chucks thread for Cannon?

Ahhh........- I guess that would be appropriate?

[VINROY]

Originally Posted by tc1134

What did you go posting in Chucks thread for Cannon?

Ahhh........- I guess that would be appropriate?

Looks like Chuck's butt-buddy tc1134 will be on post review. Too bad, cause Chucky will need to use more ghost posing.

[dirty]

Vinroy you are pretty close to going on Post Review as well

[Cannon]

Chuck has more ghosts than a haunted house.