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| Moderator "Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak" Join Date: Aug 19, 2005 Location: Orlando, Florida
Posts: 62,385
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Updated: Aug. 8, 2006, 9:55 AM ET ESPN.com's Intelligence Report: August 8 ![]() ![]()
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| Moderator "Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak" Join Date: Aug 19, 2005 Location: Orlando, Florida
Posts: 62,385
| USA survives Brazil scare posted: Tuesday, August 8, 2006 | Print Entry filed under: NBA, Olympics Let's call this one the 10 a.m. wakeup call. That's the time it was on the East Coast of the United States when Team USA got it's first major scare of its pre-World Championship tour, defeating Brazil 90-86 in a game that should hammer home the notion that winning this tournament isn't going to be the cakewalk too many folks in the States expect it to be. I've been trying to hit that point hard in my coverage of this team thus far, to such a degree that truehoop.com has started calling me "The Doubter" and one e-mailer has gone so far as to call me a traitor for daring to suggest that Coach K, LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Carmelo Anthony should be prepared to run into a speed bump or two between now and Sept. 3. But speed bump No. 1 was hit Tuesday, and the U.S. looked pretty vulnerable after losing Carmelo Anthony to a hyperextended knee (he was injured diving for a loose ball. "It's a little bit sore right now, but a couple of days of rest and I'll be back," Anthony said) and Dwyane Wade to his fifth and final foul early in the third quarter. Wade's fourth foul was an offensive foul, and when he argued, he got a technical, which under international rules counted as his fifth. And since you only get five fouls (in the NBA it's six), Wade was done. With two of Team USA's best players suddenly sidelined, the game was back and forth throughout the fourth quarter before the Americans were on the receiving end of one of those hugely beneficial and highly controversial whistles that international refs specialize in. This also backs up one of my main tenets: When it comes to international basketball, expect the unexpected, and expect it to such a degree that you might see something you've never even dreamed of seeing before. With the Americans down by one, Elton Brand absorbed a hard foul under the basket, and the referees whistled a technical foul for reasons that were not made clear by the NBA-TV broadcasters. Kirk Hinrich hit both technicals, Brand made one of two from the line, and the Americans got the ball back, too. Had they made all their free throws and a 3-pointer, it would have been a seven-point possession. Ever see a seven-point possession opportunity in the NBA? "You have to give a lot of credit to Brazil. They are an experienced team," coach Mike Krzyzewski said of the a team widely seen as the third best in the Western Hemisphere behind the U.S. and Argentina. "Welcome to international basketball. That's the way it is. "I'm not sure you are going to blow out people. That's the thing we have to understand," Coach K said. "I think playing in a game like that helps us immensely. Joe Johnson's late steal against Marcelo Machado kept Brazil from getting off a tying 3-point attempt, but for the most part Brazil had the speed and ballhandling skills to withstand the Americans' defensive pressure better than Puerto Rico and China had in the first two exhibition games. Brazil also had some size that kept them in the game on the boards, and the Americans still had trouble shooting over a zone. They'll see more zone in their next tune-up Sunday in Seoul against Lithuania, an exceptionally well-drilled team that is big and can hit the 3. Lithuania is coming off a fourth-place finish in Athens after going bronze, bronze, bronze in their previous three tournaments, so they're after some redemption, too. It'll be a good tune-up for the Americans, a chance to test Anthony's knee and test themselves collectively against a team they'll see in Sapporo in the opening round. This near-miss against Brazil, this should break them out of any slumber they developed by handling Puerto Rico and China so easily, and I think today's result will make a few more people in America realize this isn't going to be easy. The players are now realizing as much. "We're not going to just blow every team out even though we want to," James said. |
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| Moderator "Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak" Join Date: Aug 19, 2005 Location: Orlando, Florida
Posts: 62,385
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Updated: Aug. 8, 2006, 12:18 PM ET Next summer's free-agent crop has difference makers ![]() ![]() By John Hollinger ESPN Insider Archive ![]()
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| Moderator "Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak" Join Date: Aug 19, 2005 Location: Orlando, Florida
Posts: 62,385
| Bleak outlook for '07 free agents | Feedback | Print Entry Wait until next year! That's the mantra of a number of poor NBA teams that struck out in the free-agent market this summer. As loyal fans howl about the lack of improvement from their teams this offseason, promises of cap room and a much improved free-agent class are intermingled with a call for patience. After yawning our way through this year's lackluster free-agency period, the big question is: Will things be much better next year? The answer isn't going to be a popular one. The bottom line is that very few teams will have the cash to make major upgrades to their rosters via free agency next summer. As John Hollinger has laid out, the free-agent class of 2007 is better than this year's weak crop. There will be some solid unrestricted free agents (assuming they opt out of their current deals) such as Rashard Lewis, Mike Bibby and Vince Carter who may decide to try to finish their careers elsewhere. The group of restricted free agents will be headlined by Boris Diaw, Josh Howard, Kirk Hinrich and, believe it or not, Darko Milicic. But as we've seen in almost every free-agent period, there aren't many decent restricted free agents you can wrest from the grasp of the teams that hold their rights. That leads to a decent group of players such as Gerald Wallace, Desmond Mason, Jamaal Magloire, Mo Williams, Morris Peterson and Primoz Brezec who will be unrestricted and will look to go to the highest bidder. But the question you really have to ask about members of any free-agent class is: Who's going to pay them? If current cap positions hold true next summer, only one team, the Charlotte Bobcats, will have max cap room. As it stands right now, assuming a modest $2 million increase in the salary cap next season, the Bobcats could be staring at a whopping $27 million in cap room. The nice thing for Charlotte (assuming owner Bob Johnson, who's getting a rep for being cheap, spends it) is that it will have virtually no competition for the top talent in the class. Several other teams will have some room, but not enough to lure the top free agents. Of the other teams with cap room, the Grizzlies appear to be in the best shape. Eddie Jones' big contract comes off the books next summer, giving them some real cap flexibility for the first time in Jerry West's tenure. They could have roughly $10 million to $11 million in cap room. That's not enough for the Grizzlies to sign a player to a max contract, but it can get them close. Then again, Grizzlies owner Michael Heisley has been pushing West to cut payroll, so there's no guarantee he's going to hand out another huge contract next summer. The Bulls, believe it or not, could be a whopping $20 million under the cap again next year despite the fact they inked Ben Wallace to a huge $60 million deal this summer. However, don't throw a big party just yet Bulls fans. Add in a high draft pick (the Bulls have the ability to swap their first-round pick with the Knicks next year) and new contracts for Kirk Hinrich and Andres Nocioni and the Bulls probably will have a little under $5 million in actual room. The Sonics could also have around $20 million in cap room if they let all of their free agents walk away. But that seems pretty unlikely. Rashard Lewis is likely to opt out of his contract and Nick Collison and Luke Ridnour are both restricted free agents next summer. And none of that takes into account the status of Chris Wilcox. If he signs a long-term deal this summer, Seattle will have to subtract his salary from the cap room. If Wilcox takes the Sonics' one-year tender, he's an unrestricted free agent next summer. If the Sonics sign all of their free agents, their cap room is totally gone. The key will be Lewis. There are already rumblings out of Seattle that he's looking for a new home. As we've documented, there aren't many teams that have the room to get him without working out some sort of sign-and-trade with the Sonics. Still, I'd watch this one closely. He could be trade bait in February if the Sonics think they'll lose him for nothing. The Magic could have up to $15 million in room next summer once Grant Hill's huge contract finally comes off the books. That could make them a major player in the free-agent market with one pretty large caveat -- Darko Milicic becomes a restricted free agent next summer. It's just too early to predict what Milicic's asking price will be next year. If he has only moderate improvement he's still likely to garner an offer of at least the mid-level exception in the open market. Seven-footers have a way of doing that. If he shows rapid improvement, he could cost the Magic a lot of money. Nene Hilario got a $60 million deal for waving a towel last year. You can imagine what a 21-year-old, 7-foot-2 big guy could get if he has a big season. All of that means it's still too early to tell whether the Magic will be big players in the open market. Two top free agents, Vince Carter and Rashard Lewis, have both expressed interest in playing there. But will the Magic have the cash to pay them? Right now it looks doubtful unless the Magic will be willing to let Darko walk away. The Hornets have roughly $12 million to $13 million in cap room next year, but they too have several significant free agents to re-sign. Starting power forward David West will be a restricted free agent but could command a deal starting at $6 million to $7 million on the open market. Desmond Mason will be an unrestricted free agent, though he probably has mid-level value in next year's market. The Bucks will also have between $12 million to $13 million in cap room, but they also have a significant free agent to re-sign -- Mo Williams. However, Williams is unlikely to command a starting salary of much more than $5 million to $6 million, giving the Bucks enough cap room to offer a free agent more than the mid-level exception. The Hawks are looking at around $8 million to $10 million in cap room next summer. That's not enough money to lure a top free agent, let alone the elite point guard and center the team still lacks. The Raptors are also eyeing around $8 million to $10 million next year, but they'll likely use much of it to re-sign unrestricted free agent Morris Peterson and restricted free agent T.J. Ford. The bottom line is that for top free agents like Chauncey Billups, Bibby, Lewis and Carter to cash in, they have to get a team to offer them a huge chunk of cash the way the Bulls did to Ben Wallace and the Hornets did to Peja Stojakovic this summer. When you examine the situation of each NBA team, however, the Bobcats and possibly the Grizzlies are the only two teams that will have the flexibility to do this without some sort of sign-and-trade. Given the budget-conscious philosophy of the Bobcats and where they are in the developmental cycle, it's hard to see them throwing $12 million to $14 million a year at Billups or Carter. The Grizzlies may be more willing to pull the trigger on a veteran big name, but they'll have money for only one guy. The news isn't much better for the mid-level players. One thing that hasn't received much mention is the precarious cap situation of most teams in the league next year. A stunning 21 teams will have payrolls exceeding $60 million next season. That means a full mid-level offer to a player would likely put those teams above the luxury tax threshold. A few teams, such as the Knicks, 76ers, Mavericks and Blazers, have shown a willingness to pay the tax. But most avoid it like the plague. That could lead to very stagnant market of mid-level players in next year's free-agent market. I don't want to be the one to rain on next year's free-agent parade, but unless some teams make major moves this summer to clear some cap space, it could be another blue, blue summer for teams looking to make a major jump in the standings next season. |
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| | #5 | |
| Moderator "Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak" Join Date: Aug 19, 2005 Location: Orlando, Florida
Posts: 62,385
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Updated: Aug. 8, 2006, 12:18 PM ET No family and friends on trip -- except for one 'Uncle'? ![]() ![]() By Chris Sheridan ESPN Insider Archive ![]()
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