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  • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

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    • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

      Second at Belmont in 10 minutes. Place allowed with a coupled entry

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      • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

        belmont race 2 6 min

        probably have a 1 to 5 entry tiny field 4 entries 5 total with the entry PLACe only bu they are Place jumping 85% right now with the entry

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        • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

          want 1 1A head apart then 6 lengths to the others. place jumpers very very safe in a freebie

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          • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

            Missed that one. Those are my favorite kinds. Very rare nowadays.
            Originally posted by railbird
            Satan time is short

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            • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

              Belmont lucky that both parts of the entry got in there.

              Would've been even worse for them if only one got there.


              r3 has a 4/5 M/L and show betting, but may not be any jumping

              r8 another possibility
              Originally posted by railbird
              Satan time is short

              Comment


              • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                Originally posted by yisman View Post
                Belmont lucky that both parts of the entry got in there.

                Would've been even worse for them if only one got there.
                very true the ADWs caught a minor break. Plus factor in most ADWs offering some rebates on action have long since banned show wagering from the value bridge jumpers. but very rare to ban or limit place wagering. thought this place pool would get much larger actually.

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                • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                  I posted previously that with entries the track/ADWs obviously root hardest for both ends to miss, but second best outcome for them is both make it.

                  They really take a bath if one part of the entry gets there and the other doesn't.
                  Originally posted by railbird
                  Satan time is short

                  Comment


                  • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                    Originally posted by yisman View Post
                    I posted previously that with entries the track/ADWs obviously root hardest for both ends to miss, but second best outcome for them is both make it.

                    They really take a bath if one part of the entry gets there and the other doesn't.
                    they do better with the entry actually

                    if the second choice got 2nd or 1st wtih the FAV

                    7/2 29,400 18% 7,252 (Call it $7000 for easy math) they have about 3500 tickets to pay approx 0.60 plus give back the $7000 ($2.60 place) like in race 3


                    the way it happened in race 2 they kept or did not have to pay out the $7000 ie better for the ADWs and tracks

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                    • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                      as it happened, they took 135,841 of place bets and paid $124,725 in winnings, so an $11,116 profit, which means they had an effective takeout of 8.2%


                      What I posted was correct. That was the second best scenario (both ends of entry run in top 2) for the track.

                      The best scenario is both ends of the entry miss and they get full takeout+breakage.


                      So basically they got half the profits they could've had. Had both ends missed, they would've gotten over 16% of the pool.
                      Originally posted by railbird
                      Satan time is short

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                      • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                        yes your correct, i read it with respect to the players. but you stated belmont. correct.

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                        • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                          two scratches in Mountaineer r1 13 minutes before the race.

                          #1 will likely be lopsided in show pool as a result (not that the scratches were top contenders, but it helps concentrate the betting)

                          Down to 6 horses, from 8.
                          Originally posted by railbird
                          Satan time is short

                          Comment


                          • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                            [QUOTE=yisman;5041462]two scratches in Mountaineer r1 13 minutes before the race.

                            #1 will likely be lopsided in show pool as a result (not that the scratches were top contenders, but it helps concentrate the betting)

                            Down to 6 horses, from 8.[/QUOTE


                            too late for the jumpers to mobilize

                            2/5 6,954 59% 1,841 46%
                            8 994 8% 666 16%
                            43 218 2% 85 2%
                            9 969 8% 324 8%
                            5 1,455 12% 617 15%
                            SCR - - - -
                            7 1,188 10% 511 13%
                            SCR - - - -
                            11,777 4,043
                            ]

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                            • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                              It was not too late.

                              Those were not the final numbers.

                              Horse had about 11k in the show pool out of about 13,400

                              Strangely enough, r9 got a lot more action

                              Over 27,000 on the #4 horse in a 10 horse field!

                              I did not want to bet this one but when the numbers kept growing I felt I had to go for it.


                              Lost about $700 on exotics and place/show wagers.


                              r9 horse had 74% of show pool

                              r1 horse had 82%
                              Originally posted by railbird
                              Satan time is short

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                              • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                                Try or Yis can you post the final pools of the last race at Mnr last night? Curious at the amount on that $128 show horse.

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                                • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                                  race 1 AP has one

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                                  • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                                    who wins in hand at 1/9

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                                    • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                                      the return of ET to AP

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                                      • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                                        jumping race 8

                                        Mountaineer Park
                                        8
                                        09:34 pm
                                        1
                                        Utana
                                        Oliveros C
                                        7/5
                                        To Show

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                                        • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                                          bottom of bridges are clear

                                          1 Utana 1 2.60 2.20 2.20

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                                          • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                                            Originally posted by trytrytry View Post
                                            bottom of bridges are clear

                                            1 Utana 1 2.60 2.20 2.20

                                            2018 Mountaineer stats:

                                            Pick 5: Risk $1286.50, ret $90.50
                                            Pick 4: Risk $191, ret 0
                                            Win: Risk $400, ret $564
                                            Exacta: Risk $78, ret $0
                                            Tri: Risk $8, ret $0
                                            Super: Risk $12, ret 0
                                            Show: Risk $50, ret $80

                                            Total: Risk: 2025.50, ret $734.50

                                            Not very good

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                                            • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                                              Mountaineer r7 and r8 tonight
                                              Originally posted by railbird
                                              Satan time is short

                                              Comment


                                              • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                                                r7

                                                over 76,000 bet on the #7 to show
                                                Originally posted by railbird
                                                Satan time is short

                                                Comment


                                                • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                                                  horse was paying 2.2 when the race started

                                                  somehow ended up 4/5


                                                  Race 7

                                                  7 Bluegrass Candy Cruz A M $3.80 $2.20 $2.20
                                                  4 Francisca Spell
                                                  Originally posted by railbird
                                                  Satan time is short

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                                                  • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                                                    some carnage at the bottom of the bridges just now. Charleston #8 race 10 off the board...39k out of 50k

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                                                    • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                                                      This one at Del Mar survived. Over 66.000 to show on the #7

                                                      Race 1

                                                      7 Chasing Yesterday Smith M E $2.60 $2.60 $2.10
                                                      1 Honeyfromthesouth Garcia M - $6.00 $4.00
                                                      2 Culver Miss Stevens G L - - $4.20
                                                      5 Scarlet Prat F
                                                      Originally posted by railbird
                                                      Satan time is short

                                                      Comment


                                                      • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                                                        crazy amount of late show money in the Haskell.

                                                        Good Magic wound up with over 155,000 to show and the total pool was over 257,000

                                                        not even close to a negative pool, but a surprising amount of show money
                                                        Originally posted by railbird
                                                        Satan time is short

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                                                        • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                                                          unique bella at delmar 5 horse field expect massive bridge jumping 2-5 in line

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                                                          • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                                                            yes, I meant to mention that one
                                                            Originally posted by railbird
                                                            Satan time is short

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                                                            • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                                                              Originally posted by mr.inpak View Post
                                                              unique bella at delmar 5 horse field expect massive bridge jumping 2-5 in line
                                                              dont be a stranger mr.inpak with info! thanks.

                                                              161 posts since 2010! yikes thats a limited schedule.

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                                                              • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                                                                Mountaineer r7 in less than 3 hours will be a jumper unless they scratch a horse
                                                                Originally posted by railbird
                                                                Satan time is short

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                                                                • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                                                                  Originally posted by yisman View Post
                                                                  Mountaineer r7 in less than 3 hours will be a jumper unless they scratch a horse
                                                                  track scratches for the card not out yet and as you and I both know you can just about guarantee a mystery scratch in that race... hopefully not.

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                                                                  • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                                                                    already over 500k on Unique Bella to show
                                                                    Originally posted by railbird
                                                                    Satan time is short

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                                                                    • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                                                                      Unique Bella 742k out of 813k in the show pool.


                                                                      Over 91%. You never see it get that high...
                                                                      Originally posted by railbird
                                                                      Satan time is short

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                                                                      • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                                                                        Smith got to work too late on Unique Bella and it almost cost him the race.

                                                                        Barely hung on. Surprisingly close finish but I really think that was Smith's fault.

                                                                        Race 5

                                                                        2 Unique Bella Smith M E $2.20 $2.10 $2.10
                                                                        3 La Force (GER) Van Dyke D - $2.80 $2.40
                                                                        1 Bernina Star Desormeaux K J - - $2.60
                                                                        6 Yuvetsi Baze T - - -

                                                                        Replay
                                                                        Scratched: Turkish Tabby (4)
                                                                        Winning Trainer: Jerry Hollendorfer – Owner: Don Alberto Stable
                                                                        $2 Double (1/2) Paid $7.00
                                                                        $2 Quinella (2-3) Paid $4.80
                                                                        $2 Exacta (2-3) Paid $6.00
                                                                        $0.50 Trifecta (2-3-1) Paid $4.35
                                                                        Originally posted by railbird
                                                                        Satan time is short

                                                                        Comment


                                                                        • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                                                                          Originally posted by trytrytry View Post
                                                                          track scratches for the card not out yet and as you and I both know you can just about guarantee a mystery scratch in that race... hopefully not.
                                                                          scratches came in 20 minutes before first post and we still have the 6 horses in that race.

                                                                          Now we wait and see if there's a late scratch.
                                                                          Originally posted by railbird
                                                                          Satan time is short

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                                                                          • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                                                                            late scratch is coming, apparently

                                                                            someone at Mountaineer finally noticed
                                                                            Originally posted by railbird
                                                                            Satan time is short

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                                                                            • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                                                                              just officially announced

                                                                              very shady as usual


                                                                              Race 7

                                                                              Runner 1 (SCRATCHED)
                                                                              Name: Freudian Talk
                                                                              Overweight: 2
                                                                              Date Entered: July 29 2018, 7:48:00 PM ET*

                                                                              there goes my pick for the best bet thread today. Held off Unique Bella for Mountaineer...

                                                                              Originally posted by railbird
                                                                              Satan time is short

                                                                              Comment


                                                                              • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                                                                                3RD RACE AT LOS ALAMITOS. 3 HORSE FIELD AND CAN ONLY BET TO WIN. 13,753 TOTAL BET WITH 5 AND 6 TAKEN 12,753 OF WIN ACTION. BOTH RAN OUT OF THE MONEY

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                                                                                • Re: Bridge jumper alerts

                                                                                  yeah I checked Los Al tonight looking for anything interesting

                                                                                  I saw that race but I ignored it because no place betting.

                                                                                  The scumbags at Los Al did have exactas and trifectas for whatever reason.

                                                                                  3 10 963 0 0 963
                                                                                  4 - 0 0
                                                                                  5 1/5 8,953 0 0 8,953
                                                                                  6 9/5 3,800 0 0 3,800
                                                                                  13,716


                                                                                  Race 3

                                                                                  3 Annitasheaven Ramirez M $23.40 - -
                                                                                  5 Valley Boy Allen J A - - -
                                                                                  6 Machete McDaid K M - - -

                                                                                  Replay
                                                                                  Scratched: Little Joe M. (1), Golden Gladiator (2), Raw Diamond (4)
                                                                                  Winning Trainer: Antonio Gonzalez – Owner: Antonio Gonzalez
                                                                                  $1 Trifecta Box Paid $8.00
                                                                                  $2 Exacta (3-5) Paid $34.60
                                                                                  $2 Trifecta (3-5-6) Paid $16.00
                                                                                  Originally posted by railbird
                                                                                  Satan time is short

                                                                                  Comment

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