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Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

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  • Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    Yes.


    Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato

  • #2
    Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

    No. I like +100 on the No for sure. He was 50 yds from getting run down today.

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

      Yes, Mike did not see the 8 coming so the winning margin was deceiving. Bob will have him loaded with every drug that one could imagine for the Belmont, there are ZERO good horses to compete with him, he is a mortal lock. If you bet him Meatman, maybe then you could afford some decent food to eat.

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

        Originally posted by raycabino View Post
        No. I like +100 on the No for sure. He was 50 yds from getting run down today.
        I am surprised that a guy who grew up as close to the Fair Grounds as you did knows so little about the ponies?

        Maybe Justify would run a different race had it been fifty(50) yards longer??

        You don't run your "Kentucky Derby" race in the Preakness.


        Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

          I like RAYCABINO's thoughts on everything except horse racing.

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

            Originally posted by The Meatman View Post
            I am surprised that a guy who grew up as close to the Fair Grounds as you did knows so little about the ponies?

            Maybe Justify would run a different race had it been fifty(50) yards longer??

            You don't run your "Kentucky Derby" race in the Preakness.


            Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato
            I just know that the mile and a half is a mother fucker. Tons go in fav to win the Belmont after winning the 1st 2, not many get the chedda.

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

              Originally posted by raycabino View Post
              I just know that the mile and a half is a mother fucker. Tons go in fav to win the Belmont after winning the 1st 2, not many get the chedda.

              But it's a different game now.

              These big-money owners are pooling their money and getting out of the way of a Triple Crown candidate.

              Additionally, Baffert and Pletcher have barns that are loaded with Derby candidates.

              Once a horse wins the Derby, it seems the path is cleared for the winner to compete in the Preakness and Belmont.

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                34 have tried 12 have succeeded and only 1 since 1978.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                  I failed to fire when I saw Justify at odds of 40/1 and 60/1 at Wynn Las Vegas to win the Triple Crown.

                  EOG contributor BLUELINE pulled the trigger at 16/1 (Heritage) a few weeks before the Derby.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                    Originally posted by raycabino View Post
                    34 have tried 12 have succeeded and only 1 since 1978.

                    But we're likely to have two in the past four years.

                    Different game now.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                      Ray, I'm sweating my Boston-Cleveland total through your in-game number at CRIS.

                      Easier than adding the two scores and looking at the time remaining.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                        Originally posted by John Kelly View Post
                        But we're likely to have two in the past four years.

                        Different game now.
                        Ray still thinks the favorite never wins the Kentucky Derby.


                        Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                          Originally posted by John Kelly View Post
                          But we're likely to have two in the past four years.

                          Different game now.
                          The Belmont is still a mile and a half. That xtra quarter mile has proven to take out some really big time horses in the past. I'm betting it happens again.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                            Originally posted by The Meatman View Post
                            Ray still thinks the favorite never wins the Kentucky Derby.


                            Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato
                            Lol not true.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                              Originally posted by The Meatman View Post
                              Ray still thinks the favorite never wins the Kentucky Derby.


                              Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato

                              A winning streak of six straight years, mostly in 20-horse fields.

                              Amazing.

                              Comment


                              • #16
                                Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                                Originally posted by raycabino View Post
                                The Belmont is still a mile and a half. That xtra quarter mile has proven to take out some really big time horses in the past. I'm betting it happens again.

                                Don't bet at even-money.

                                Comment


                                • #17
                                  Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                                  Originally posted by John Kelly View Post
                                  Ray, I'm sweating my Boston-Cleveland total through your in-game number at CRIS.

                                  Easier than adding the two scores and looking at the time remaining.
                                  Lol ain't that the truth. Sweating over or under?

                                  Comment


                                  • #18
                                    Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                                    Originally posted by John Kelly View Post
                                    A winning streak of six straight years, mostly in 20-horse fields.

                                    Amazing.
                                    After none winning for twenty(20) years.


                                    Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato

                                    Comment


                                    • #19
                                      Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                                      Originally posted by John Kelly View Post
                                      Don't bet at even-money.
                                      Won't have to. Would take even money if gun to head though. Won't take worse lol. I'm gonna go with the 22-12 side of this coin. You just never know which horses can handler the xtra .25 mile until they run it.

                                      Comment


                                      • #20
                                        Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                                        Originally posted by John Kelly View Post
                                        Don't bet at even-money.
                                        Even money?

                                        The bettors who bet Justify to win the Preakness would salivate to get even money in the Belmont.


                                        Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato

                                        Comment


                                        • #21
                                          Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                                          Originally posted by raycabino View Post
                                          Lol ain't that the truth. Sweating over or under?

                                          I need over 205.

                                          Beat the number, now comes the hard part.

                                          Just had a quiet two-minute run and the final two or three minutes of the fourth quarter could turn into a sloppy scrimmage with no whistes and very little scoring from unpolished players.

                                          Comment


                                          • #22
                                            Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                                            Many horses will have extra rest.
                                            The real women sport expert

                                            Comment


                                            • #23
                                              Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                                              Originally posted by Sleepy View Post
                                              Many horses will have extra rest.
                                              The only horse that I can see giving Justify any trouble in the Belmont based on having "extra rest" is Mendelssohn.

                                              And that's a longshot at best.


                                              Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato

                                              Comment


                                              • #24
                                                Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                                                1-13 are the last 14 that have tried to win the triple crown after winning the 1st 2 legs. I'm going with the 13 and if he wins I'll just pay up.

                                                Comment


                                                • #25
                                                  Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                                                  Originally posted by raycabino View Post
                                                  1-13 are the last 14 that have tried to win the triple crown after winning the 1st 2 legs. I'm going with the 13 and if he wins I'll just pay up.

                                                  Understood.

                                                  I think Justify is more likely to be scratched than participate and lose.

                                                  Comment


                                                  • #26
                                                    Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                                                    Originally posted by The Meatman View Post
                                                    The only horse that I can see giving Justify any trouble in the Belmont based on having "extra rest" is Mendelssohn.

                                                    And that's a longshot at best.


                                                    Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato
                                                    Not sure if he has a chance or not but I'm guessing Bravazo's stock rises a good bit after that race today.

                                                    Comment


                                                    • #27
                                                      Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                                                      Let me re-think my position for a moment.

                                                      Would Baffert scratch a horse on the doorstep of racing immortality?

                                                      Comment


                                                      • #28
                                                        Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                                                        Originally posted by raycabino View Post
                                                        1-13 are the last 14 that have tried to win the triple crown after winning the 1st 2 legs. I'm going with the 13 and if he wins I'll just pay up.
                                                        Some say one(1) of thirteen(13).

                                                        Others say one(1) of one(1).

                                                        It all depends on how you look at it, Cap.


                                                        Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato

                                                        Comment


                                                        • #29
                                                          Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                                                          Hey Meat, congrats on the win today.

                                                          Comment


                                                          • #30
                                                            Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                                                            Justify was 40 cents on the dollar today.

                                                            Good Magic closed at 3.90-1.

                                                            Third choice was Quip who finished dead last at 12/1.

                                                            Comment


                                                            • #31
                                                              Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                                                              Audible or Vino Rossi would beat the Justify we saw today at 1.5 miles.

                                                              Comment


                                                              • #32
                                                                Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                                                                Originally posted by John Kelly View Post
                                                                Let me re-think my position for a moment.

                                                                Would Baffert scratch a horse on the doorstep of racing immortality?
                                                                100% yes.

                                                                You ever hear of I'll Have Another?


                                                                Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato

                                                                Comment


                                                                • #33
                                                                  Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                                                                  Originally posted by ChiTownJoe View Post
                                                                  Audible or Vino Rossi would beat the Justify we saw today at 1.5 miles.
                                                                  Never.

                                                                  Vino Roso's win in the Wood was the PERFECT setup for him.

                                                                  He is VERY overrated.


                                                                  Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato

                                                                  Comment


                                                                  • #34
                                                                    Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                                                                    Originally posted by ChiTownJoe View Post
                                                                    Audible or Vino Rossi would beat the Justify we saw today at 1.5 miles.

                                                                    Justify and Audible with common ownership.

                                                                    Comment


                                                                    • #35
                                                                      Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                                                                      Originally posted by The Meatman View Post
                                                                      100% yes.

                                                                      You ever hear of I'll Have Another?


                                                                      Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato
                                                                      1-12 counting this scratch lol.

                                                                      Comment


                                                                      • #36
                                                                        Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                                                                        I am predicting right now that Justify will go off at 9 to 10 and win the Belmont by three(3).

                                                                        Elliott Walden(now working WITH Bob Baffert) will give Mike Smith the much needed advice as to what to do this time around to make sure he is not nipped at the wire.

                                                                        Remember where you heard it from first!


                                                                        Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato

                                                                        Comment


                                                                        • #37
                                                                          Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                                                                          Originally posted by John Kelly View Post
                                                                          Justify and Audible with common ownership.
                                                                          yep that is going to be interesting, Moss was talking about that at end of telecast. Winstar probably wants to keep Audible out, while other partners (China Horse Club) leaned to running him.

                                                                          Comment


                                                                          • #38
                                                                            Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                                                                            I can't imagine he goes off that short in an unknown like the Belmont but I certainly admit that horse racing isn't in my wheel house.

                                                                            Comment


                                                                            • #39
                                                                              Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                                                                              Originally posted by raycabino View Post
                                                                              I can't imagine he goes off that short in an unknown like the Belmont but I certainly that horse racing isn't in my wheel house.
                                                                              You need to take into consideration the millions of dollars that will be bet on Justify for souvenir tickets that will NEVER be cashed.


                                                                              Dave "The MeatMan" Scandaliato

                                                                              Comment


                                                                              • #40
                                                                                Re: Will Justify win the Triple Crown? (YES or NO)

                                                                                5 dimes has a price up for Belmont.

                                                                                Justify +110
                                                                                Field -140

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