Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

Collapse
X
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

    Seven wins: Tor, KC, LAD, Tex, ChiC, NYM, Hou.

    Wed, Apr 6: Stl L

    Thu, Apr 7: No Bets

    Comment


    • Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

      This game will determine the profitability of this year's chase:

      Fri, Apr 8: Bet Stl -155 13.74u

      Comment


      • Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

        Stl with a nice comeback from being down 4-0. Fri, Apr 8: Stl W

        Chase is 8-0 this year. 32.83u risked to win 8.00u.

        All of the out-of-sample data put together: 85-3, net +2.78u. This is the statistically significant result of the system up to the 2016 season.

        This chase bet will win most years with an occasional big loss (from -20u to -40u), will probably produce a small profit over the next 5 to 10 years.

        Comment


        • Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

          Summary of picks for the 2017 season chase. Using 2016 playoff teams, ignoring the play-in game losers. Using Ned's strategy of betting both sides of Clev/Tex series.

          Lines from CRIS. First round bets placed to win $100.

          Date Bet-Size ML Result

          April 2: 127 ChiC -127 L, 147 SF -147 L
          April 3: 96 Clev +104 W, 114 Tex -114 L, 105 Tor -105 L, 164 Bos -164 W, 370 LAD -370 W, 210 Was -210 W
          April 4: 142 Tex +151 L, 327 Chic -144 W, 373 SF -151 W
          April 5: 359 Tex -101 L, 193 Tor 106 L
          April 6: 538 Tor -135 W
          April 7: 1087 Tex -152 W

          Chase is 8-0 this year. 43.52u risked to win 8.00u. Texas went to the edge, losing 3 games before winning game 4.

          Comment


          • Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

            All of the out-of-sample data put together: 93-3, net +10.78u. This is the statistically significant result of the system up to the 2017 season.

            Comment


            • Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM

              Summary of picks for the 2018 season chase. Using 2017 playoff teams, ignoring the play-in game losers. No requirement this year to bet both sides of any series.

              Lines from CRIS. First round bets placed to win 1 unit.

              Date Bet-Size ML Result

              March 29: 200 ChiC -200 W, 175 Clev -175 L, 300 LAD -300 L, 156 Hou -156 W, 165 Bos -165 L, 162 NYY -162 W, 105 Ari -105 W
              March 30: 193 Was -193 W, 382 Bos -144 W, 660 LAD -165 L
              March 31: 311 Clev W -113, 2067 LAD -195 W

              Chase is 8-0 this year. 48.75u risked to win 8.00u. LA Dodgers went to the 3rd game laying over 20 units to win a net 1u.

              Comment

              Working...
              X