Nice day yesterday going 7-4. Here are my early plays. I will be back later with some later ones.
Providence +8.5 (-105)- To me this is just too many points to give a Friar team that can play with just about anyone especially considering how poorly Notre Dame is playing right now. The Irish has lost two straight games and their offense has been very poor in their last five games with the exception of their big road win at Syracuse. When Notre Dame wins by DD it simply outscores their opponents and Providence can score. They rank 41st in OE and I really think Herbert Hill could be force inside tonight against the undersized Irish. Providence has covered their last three road games and I just don't think Notre Dame is in good enough to form to beat Providence by DD.
Purdue -2 (-110)- The Hoosiers have dominated this rivalry winning the last five meetings and don't think that Landry and Teague don't want to end that before they set off into the sunset. The Boilers are a very tough team to beat on their home floor going 13-1 SU on the season and they are playing quality ball right now really pushing Ohio State in their last game. Indiana is a different team when they hit the road going just 2-5 SU and I really don't think this team is all that talented and I respect what Sampson has been able to get out of them this year. The one day delay I think only helps the home team and this is real tough spot for the Hoosiers to go in and get a win.
Samford PK (-110)- Samford is riding a two-game losing streak right now and this is a team that has a lot of experience and I don't see them making it three tonight. Morehead State was the story of the OVC, starting 6-2, but they have now lost 9 games in a row and now they have to face a hungry Bulldog squad that has beaten them in the last five meetings. What makes Samford so effective outside of their very slow pace of play is they are very efficient at scoring ranking 124th in OE. Morehead State hasn't beaten a team with a winning record all season and I don't expect that to change tonight agianst a solid Samford squad.
Manhattan +10 (-110)- Mahattan has also given the Red Foxes of Marist a hard time and I think that will continue tonight as this is too many points for Marist to have to give in this game. One of the major reasons is that the Jaspers play quality defense by MAAC standards ranking 140th in DE and that is big when playing Marist because if their offense gets going they are really tough to contend with. Manhattan is a great road team going 9-3 ATS, while Marist mostly because of inflated value because of Jared Jordan and their early season successes have an inflated value they carry. The Jaspers have won 3 of the last 5 meetings SU and they want to play spoiler to Marist's conference champiionship aspirations and they won't die quietly tonight.
YTD- 225-196 +12.75 units
Providence +8.5 (-105)- To me this is just too many points to give a Friar team that can play with just about anyone especially considering how poorly Notre Dame is playing right now. The Irish has lost two straight games and their offense has been very poor in their last five games with the exception of their big road win at Syracuse. When Notre Dame wins by DD it simply outscores their opponents and Providence can score. They rank 41st in OE and I really think Herbert Hill could be force inside tonight against the undersized Irish. Providence has covered their last three road games and I just don't think Notre Dame is in good enough to form to beat Providence by DD.
Purdue -2 (-110)- The Hoosiers have dominated this rivalry winning the last five meetings and don't think that Landry and Teague don't want to end that before they set off into the sunset. The Boilers are a very tough team to beat on their home floor going 13-1 SU on the season and they are playing quality ball right now really pushing Ohio State in their last game. Indiana is a different team when they hit the road going just 2-5 SU and I really don't think this team is all that talented and I respect what Sampson has been able to get out of them this year. The one day delay I think only helps the home team and this is real tough spot for the Hoosiers to go in and get a win.
Samford PK (-110)- Samford is riding a two-game losing streak right now and this is a team that has a lot of experience and I don't see them making it three tonight. Morehead State was the story of the OVC, starting 6-2, but they have now lost 9 games in a row and now they have to face a hungry Bulldog squad that has beaten them in the last five meetings. What makes Samford so effective outside of their very slow pace of play is they are very efficient at scoring ranking 124th in OE. Morehead State hasn't beaten a team with a winning record all season and I don't expect that to change tonight agianst a solid Samford squad.
Manhattan +10 (-110)- Mahattan has also given the Red Foxes of Marist a hard time and I think that will continue tonight as this is too many points for Marist to have to give in this game. One of the major reasons is that the Jaspers play quality defense by MAAC standards ranking 140th in DE and that is big when playing Marist because if their offense gets going they are really tough to contend with. Manhattan is a great road team going 9-3 ATS, while Marist mostly because of inflated value because of Jared Jordan and their early season successes have an inflated value they carry. The Jaspers have won 3 of the last 5 meetings SU and they want to play spoiler to Marist's conference champiionship aspirations and they won't die quietly tonight.
YTD- 225-196 +12.75 units
