Re: If the goal of a linesmaker is to garner even action...
If an amateur doesn't understand a line he has to come to one of two conclusions:
1) He has no idea what he's doing handicapping and betting sports.
2) The line for this particular game is an inticate, devious trap set by all the intricate, devious bookmakers who stay up together all night on a secret conference phone call thinking up ways to put up numbers that are incorrect by several points in order to confuse the $50 bettors of the world. Of the hundreds of sports books in the world, not one of them puts up the "right" number because that would ruin the "trap".
Invariably, the ignorant will chose number 2.
Any bettor who uses the word "trap" is identifying themselves as a complete fool.
I don't know how you can say that with any conviction at all. If you define the word "Trap", it means basically that you're sucking someone into a situation where the person thinks that they have the best of it when they really don't. If money is pouring in on one side of the game because the bettors feel they have the best of it, how can you not call it a "Trap"?
I used to hear Larry Ness spew out this BS on his radio program back in the 80's. Saying there is no such thing as a trap is like saying the bookies want all the games to have equal money. Bookies don't make money with equal money on both sides. The line psychologically sways bettors to one side or the other. When I was booking, I maybe had two games in all those years that came out within $100 of each other.
And bookmakers don't have to stay up all night conspiring as they have their line service for that. You're not going to tell me there's anyone out there that's independent and put out their own lines are you? Everything in Vegas is so vanilla now that a book manager really doens't have to know what he/she are doing!