Re: So, OSU...would the buy a 3 at -170 for....
the duke game be worthy?
Lines moved 3 points already, take on another 3 and have 16.5, that is, if it is done moving, which i think it may have leveled out by now
If you feel you have a +EV bet at the current market level then buying the 3 points for -170 would make the +EV bet even stronger. (Up to around the 20 point mark. The samples get smaller from there and the data may not be as strong.)
That being said, if you do not have an indication on where the market may close from here on this particular game then you are risking losing some, if not all, of your expected ROI if the market closes against your position.
People whom can really take advantage of this are people who have a working knowledge of what direction the market will end up. That is when it gets really fun. :+waving-5
Good luck with whatever you decide to do. :cheers