On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

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EveryGamblersDream

EOG Dedicated
Keeping everything in one thread for the tournament like past years. I pretty much bet this tournament exclusively & ignore the men's game other than a play here or there. The wagering options are not what they once were so I doubt I'll get 800+ wagers down & kill them like I did a few years ago. Either way it will be another profitable tournament! Anyhow...........

Texas -5 2nd H

u72.5 Lehigh-Auburn 2nd H
 
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EveryGamblersDream

EOG Dedicated
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

VCU +12.5 -107
o114 VCU-Rutgers
VCU +725
VCU +6.5 1st H
VCU +3.5 1st 10mins 1st H -105

Charlotte +8 -105
o125 Charlotte-Notre Dame -105
Charlotte +327
Charlotte +4.5 1st H
Charlotte +2 +100 1st 10 mins

Sacred Heart +23
u132 Sacred Heart-Ohio State
Sacred Heart +2300
Sacred Heart +12.5
Sacred Heart +7 1st 10mins 1st H

Florida State -15.5
o144 North Carolina A&T-Florida State
Florida State -8.5 1st H -115
Florida State -5 1st 10mins 1st H
 
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EveryGamblersDream

EOG Dedicated
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

Sacred Heart +5 1st 10mins 2nd H -115

They took OSU's big punches & hung around after starting out well. If they do end up losing by 20+, it will be from wearing down in the 2nd part of the 2nd H. I think they can keep this within 15 easily for the 1st 10 mins.

I am not completely giving up on the outright but they will have to stay within 5-10 at the halfway point to really have a strong chance.

No plays on the other 2nd halves.
 
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EveryGamblersDream

EOG Dedicated
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

Vanderbilt -18.5 -105
o137 Western Carolina-Vanderbilt -105
Vanderbilt -10 1st H
o64 Western Carolina-Vanderbilt 1st H
Vanderbilt -5.5 1st 10mins 1st H -115
o31.5 Western Carolina-Vanderbilt 1st 10mins 1st H

California -12.5 -105
o122 Fresno State-California -105
California -6.5 1st H
California -3.5 1st 10mins 1st H

Depaul -3.5 -105
Depaul -2 1st H -105
Depaul -1 1st 10mins 1st H -115

Montana +12.5 -105
o127 Montana-Pittsburgh -105
Montana +610
Montana +7 1st H
o58.5 Montana-Pittsburgh 1st H
Montana +3.5 1st 10mins 1st H

Marist +125 (wrong team favored, should be laying 6)
 
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EveryGamblersDream

EOG Dedicated
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

Montana +7.5 2nd H

Montana +350 2nd H

Montana +4 1st 10mins 2nd H -115

I see this as a good time to take a stand on a good opportunity. Over the years one of the biggest sucker bets in basketball is betting on a big favorite in the 2nd H at a # that lets you win without them having to cover the full game #.

This is the case as at -7.5, Pittsburgh is asked to win by 9 when the spread is 3.5 points higher. I have seen many get taken in by it. I've made nice bank over the years jumping on the opposite side here. It is not a lock by any means but I have won much more than I have lost.

Plus the fact that Montana is not the least bit intimidated by Pitt, have not played their best, & still only down 1. They were very live to me going into the game & still are as I expect them to win outright.

Nothing on the other 2nd H's.
 
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EveryGamblersDream

EOG Dedicated
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

Kansas State -9.5 -105
o112 Drexel-Kansas State -105
Kansas State -500
Kansas State -5.5 1st H
Kansas State -3.5 1st 10mins 1st H

UC Santa Barbara +23
UC Santa Barbara +12.5 1st H
UC Santa Barbara +6.5 1at 10mins 1st H

Gonzaga +5
o129 Gonzaga-Xavier -105
Gonzaga +186
Gonzaga +2.5 1st H -105
o60 Gonzaga-Xavier 1st H

I apologize about Montana, I did not see an almost 30-3 type run coming on. As far as Kansas State goes, laying -500 might sound risky but in this case it is not. Drexel has played nobody & will get exposed for that by a battle tested Big 12 team in Kansas State. The Big 12 is arguably the toughest conference from top to bottom in terms of the tough games to be had especially on the road. They have more talent across all 5 positions than Drexel is used to seeing. This should be a wire to wire win for the Wildcats. If this game is even remotely close at HT, I will probably go heavy on Kansas State in the 2nd H.
 
diogee

diogee

Verly isnt going anywhere
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

Best of luck in the ncaaw tourney.
 
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EveryGamblersDream

EOG Dedicated
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

Kansas State -240 2nd H

Gonzaga +160 2nd H

Shady line on Xavier as the 5 point favorite just has to win by 1 to push & 2 to cover. Besides that, I think Gonzaga is the better team & is playing much closer to home. They are playing at their tempo & keeping the Musketeers in check. I think they pull away & win by 10-12.

I am looking to go heavy on Marist in the 2nd H. They are not nearly playing as good as they could & are still up by 5 as I type this. Virginia already came into the game with depth issues due to their Senior PG being suspended. Now they are dealing with foul troubles as well.

While they have the size advantage over Marist at most spots, they do not have the bodies to take advantage. Marist will win this game by double digits unless they totally tank. They should have been laying at least 6 as I said prior.

TY diogee & good luck to you as well!
 
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EveryGamblersDream

EOG Dedicated
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

Marist +155 2nd H

Yet another shady line as the small favorite in Virginia does not even have to win to cover. Those types of lines usually do not pan out for the favorite. I will pass on the +3 & just take the ML as I think they win by double digits as I just mentioned.
 
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EveryGamblersDream

EOG Dedicated
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

UC Santa Barbara +7 2nd H -105

UC Santa Barbara +350 2nd H

Strict principal wagers here for the most part. UC Santa Barbara could not have played any worse in the 1st H shooting an abysmal 19.4%. The books are making the 22 point dog +35 for the game with this #.

Stanford tends to coast after getting big leads. They have proven their point as UCSB is not winning this game. They will take it easy in the 2nd H & be comfortable with a 18-20 point win here. So of course I am loving the +350.
 
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EveryGamblersDream

EOG Dedicated
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

Villanova +2.5
o106 Utah-Villanova -105
Villanova +1.5 1st H
Villanova +.5 1st 10mins 1st H -105

Middle Tennessee State +5.5 -105 (should be laying points)
Middle Tennessee State +210
Middle Tennessee State +2.5 1st H
Middle Tennessee State +1.5 1st 10mins 1st H

Vermont +47.5 -105
Vermont +27.5 1st H
o134 Vermont-Connecticut -105
Vermont +14.5 1st 10mins 1st H

Evansville +29
Evansville +15.5 1st H
 
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EveryGamblersDream

EOG Dedicated
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

Florida -3.5 +102
Florida -2 1st H
Florida -1 1st 10mins 1st H

Austin Peay +31.5
Austin Peay +17 1st H
Austin Peay +9.5 1st 10mins 1st H

Minnesota +7.5 -105
Minnesota +310
Minnesota +3.5 1st H
Minnesota +2 1st 10mins 1st H -115
 
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EveryGamblersDream

EOG Dedicated
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

Wisconsin Green Bay +7 +100
o109 Wisconsin Green Bay-LSU -105
Wisconsin Green Bay +270
Wisconsin Green Bay +3.5 1st H -105
Wisconsin Green Bay +2 1st 10mins 1st H

Liberty +21
o122 Liberty-Louisville -105
Liberty +2250
Liberty +12 1st H
Liberty +6.5 1st 10mins 1st H

East Tennessee State +21 -105
u132.5 East Tennessee State-Iowa State -105
East Tennessee State +2250
East Tennessee State +11.5 1st H
East Tennessee State +6.5 1st 10mins 1st H

Oklahoma -31 -108
o135 Prairie View-Oklahoma
Oklahoma -17 1st H
Oklahoma -9 1st 10mins 1st H

South Dakota State -240
 
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EveryGamblersDream

EOG Dedicated
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

East Tennessee State +7.5 2nd H
East Tennessee State +3.5 1st 10mins 2nd H -115
East Tennessee State +360 2nd H

TCU -2.5 2nd H
TCU -1 1st 10mins 2nd H -115

Both teams being blown out due to turnovers & shooting a low percentage. I think both teams make a game of it in the 2nd H, especially TCU who will not lose by more than 25 in this game. I think it will end within 15-18 points when all is said & done.
 
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EveryGamblersDream

EOG Dedicated
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

Wisconsin Green Bay +2.5 2nd H
Wisconsin Green Bay +145 2nd H
Wisconsin Green Bay +1.5 1st 10mins 2nd H -115

LSU is shooting 50% in the 1st H mainly due to Allison Hightower who has 20 of their 35 points on 6-10 shooting. As is usual with LSU, they are lacking a second scorer. This team is built on their defense which is key as they always go through some sort of scoring drought during a game.

Wisconsin Green Bay can still win this game as they are the better shooting team across the board especially from behing the arc as practically the whole team has that range. I think they will take advantage of LSU's lack of scoring & make their way back into this game. If they don't win outright which I think they can, they should be pretty set to cover the game especially at this ridiculous 2nd H # which makes it +12.5 for the game.


Oklahoma -14 2nd H
Oklahoma -7.5 1st 10mins 2nd H -120

They are clearly playig down to their competition which is what I was afraid of. Sometimes t hey have a tendency to do this more than any other team in the country. They are not taking advantahe of their superior talent from 1-5. Prairie View did have a good non conference schedule but that is not reason for them to be competitive against Oklahoma here. The complete superiority should show itself in the 2nd H where they should cover the 2nd H # easily & cover the game # as well.

I usually do not like these situations as this # makes the game # -24 when it was -31 before tip. However this game is a complete mismatch & I can't ignore that in this case.
 
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EveryGamblersDream

EOG Dedicated
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

Tennessee -15.5
Tennessee -8.5 1st H
Tennessee -4.5 1st 10mins 1st H

Georgia Tech +6.5 -104 (Fucking comical!)
Georgia Tech +270
Georgia Tech +3.5 1st H -115
Georgia Tech +2 1st 10mins 1st H

Baylor -23 -105
o125.5 Texas San Antonio-Baylor
Baylor -13 1st H
Baylor -7 1st 10mins 1st H

The Georgia Tech line is fucking comical. The ONLY reason Iowa is laying points is because of the location. Georgia Tech even playing in Iowa should be laying a minimum of 5 here. They come from the better conference, played a superior schedule (don't care what the RPI says) & have better quality wins.

This is the same team that beat North Carolina, played competitively against top conference foes in Duke, & Maryland, along with playing very well against Texas. They also whipped up on one of the Big 10 powers in Michigan State, a team Iowa could not handle. They are also one of the few teams who played Connecticut tough all year & at Stoors no less.

They have superior talent from 1-5 & will beat Iowa by double digits. If they do not win this game outright, I would be shocked. I'm so close to just adding even more on this one as it is close to a GOTY type for me.

The other games are just mismatches through & through. If the games are competitive, it will be up to HT at most. If the game is remotely close at HT, you can probably jump on at a reasonable # in the 2nd H & cover that & the game as well.
 
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EveryGamblersDream

EOG Dedicated
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

Georgia Tech +5 2nd H

Georgia Tech +2.5 1st 10mins 2nd H +100

Georgia Tech +240 2nd H

Sucker line here imo as 6.5 point favorite just has to win by 1 to cover. Plus I still think Georgia Tech extends this lead & wins by double digits. My only concern is the hometown foul advantage for Iowa as they have a +5 advantage in terms of PF's.
 
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EveryGamblersDream

EOG Dedicated
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

Kansas State +111 (wrong team favored)

North Carolina -4 (tremendous line value)
North Carolina -200
o138 Purdue-North Carolina -105
North Carolina -2 1st H -115
North Carolina -1.5 1st 10mins 1st H

Mississippi State +7
o123.5 Mississippi State-Ohio State -105
Mississippi State +265
Mississippi State +3.5 1st H
Mississippi State +2 1st 10mins 1st H

Florida State +3.5 -101 (should be laying 3-5 here)
Florida State +156
Florida State +2 1st H -115
Florida State +1 1st 10mins 1st H

California -7.5 -107
California -330
California -4.5 1st H
California -2.5 1st 10mins 1st H -105

Auburn +100 (Should be laying -5-7 at Rutgers)

Stanford -14.5 -105 (rout from start to finish, could double this)
Stanford -8.5 1st H
Stanford -5 1st 10mins 1st H -115

Gonzaga +7 -105
Gonzaga +255
Gonzaga +4 1st H
Gonzaga +2 1st 10mins 1st H -115

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I have some stuff to get to but I will quickly touch on a couple of the games.

I think the world of Purdue as they are one of the handful of teams I feel would have a great chance of beating UConn. However this is a bad matchup for them as they do not have the talent from 1-5 to matchup with North Carolina & the type of game they want to play.

The Tar Heels have underachieved at times this year as they have not played to the best of their abilities. This was quite evident in their 1st round game in which they played around with UCF in what was in a reality a 10-12 game & not the 5 point final margin.

This performance has created exceptional line value here as a Tar Heel team performing the way they should have has this line at worst double what it is now. Purdue will give them a game but in the end I think the Tar Heels win by 10-15 points.

Florida State is a team in which I have favored in my ratings. I respect the job Charli Turner Thorne does with the Sun Devils year in & year out. When you play a C.T.T. coached team, you can expect a hard fought battle especially on the defensive side of the ball.

However there is one recipe to beating them & that is athleticism. Over the years, they have always had trouble with teams who were more athletic especially on the perimeter. Florida State has the athletes to give the Sun Devils trouble. However this is not the only concern for them.

While they still have arguably the best defender in the West Coast in G Brianna January & is second on the team in scoring, I still feel the loss of their leading scorer Dymond Simon will hurt them. Even with the two of them playing, Arizona State was not known for their offensive prowess.

They play a defensive oriented system & are good for 1-2 scoring droughts in a typical game. They are able to survive because their defense is usually top notch. However I don't think they can get away with that against a Seminoles squad featuring 3 double digit scorers (a 4th is just .3 away from averaging double digits) who are all ACC & helped lead them to a tie for the conference championship.

I just think Florida State is too much for Arizona State as they have better athletes, play just as good of defense, & are quite superior offensively. The pick your poison will be in full effect as the Seminoles pull away to a 8-12 point outright win.

Stanford: Complete mismatch here even playing at San Diego State. The precision of Stanford's offense along with their star Jane Appel will be too much for the Aztecs. Look for Appel to go off for 30pts & 10-15 boards tonight. They should be able to double up that #.

I am not a parlay person but I know some of you are If you want throw in Stanford on those goofy ML parlays as you are not losing. If you want to add value to it throw in Florida State as well.

Auburn should be laying almost double digits in this spot. I love Rutgers but they are a 2 woman team in Prince & Vaughn. They are another team like Arizona State who focuses more on defense than offense. If they had a legitimate scoring offense, they would have won multiple WNCAA titles by now as their defense when on is that good.

Auburn's will win this game by double digits as they will have too much offensive firepower for a very young Rutgers team to handle. The only chance Rutgers has if Prince & Vaughn both have monster games as 1 out of 2 won't get it done.
 
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EveryGamblersDream

EOG Dedicated
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

Florida State +145 2nd H

Auburn -3 2nd H
Auburn -170 2nd H
Auburn -2 1st 10mins 2nd H -105

Rutgers shot lights out in the 1st H. The usual ammo for them when this happens is to cool off badly. Past results will show you this regardless of who the players were.

Auburn is still in this game & I feel could still win outright if they get it together. At such a cheap number, I will jump on.

Florida State line is a sucker one in my opinion. I am not biting on the Sun Devils as I stand by my statements on their chances of winning.
 
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EveryGamblersDream

EOG Dedicated
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

Louisville -3.5 -105
o118 Louisville-LSU -105
Louisville -160
Louisville -2 1st H -105
Louisville -1 1st 10mins 1st H

Iowa State -13 -105
Iowa State -7 1st H
Iowa State -4 1st 10mins 1st H -105

Maryland -13.5
o139 Utah-Maryland -105
Maryland -7.5 1st H
Maryland -4 1st 10mins 1st H

Duke -6 -105 (should be at least 10)
Duke -275
Duke -3 1st H
Duke -1.5 1st10mins 1st H -115

Georgia Tech +11.5 -105
o132.5 Georgia Tech-Oklahoma -105
Georgia Tech +700
Georgia Tech +6.5 1st H
Georgia Tech +3.5 1st10mins 1st H -105

Baylor -3.5 -105 (way too low, should be at least -8)
Baylor -180
Baylor -2 1st H
Baylor -1.5 1st 10mins 1st H

Minnesota +13 -103
Minnesota +810
Minnesota +7 1st H
Minnesota +4 1st 10mins 1st H -115

Florida +31 (got to be kidding me with this #)
o143 Florida-Connecticut -105
Florida +25000
Florida +17 1st H
Florida +9.5 1st 10mins 1st H
 
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EveryGamblersDream

EOG Dedicated
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

Utah +5 2nd H

Duke -6 (shady line but I still believe they win easily)
Duke -3.5 1st 10mins 2nd H -115

Minnesota +4.5 2nd h

Florida +10.5 2nd H
Florida +5.5 1st 10mins 2nd H -105
 
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EveryGamblersDream

EOG Dedicated
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

Baylor -3 2nd H
Baylor -2 1st 10mins 1st H -105

RIP South Dakota State:

The Lady Jack Rabbits run in this tournament is over. You had a chance to blow Baylor out & put the nail in their coffin. You had them shooting 0% for part of the 1st H & a double digit lead without hitting your 3's.

Now the Lady Bears got their feet under them, have continued to shutdown your one trick pony 3 point scoring & are only down 1. This all happened even though they go into HT shooting 23%. Baylor will cover this game with relative ease in the 2nd H & win comfortably by 12+.
 
diogee

diogee

Verly isnt going anywhere
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

Good luck...I'm on the lady Bears for the game and 2h.
 
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EveryGamblersDream

EOG Dedicated
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

Baylor +1.5 2nd H
Baylor -.5 1st 10mins 2nd H +100

Maryland -4 -114
o145.5 Vanderbilt-Maryland -105
Maryland -182
Maryland -2.5 1st H -120
o68.5 Vanderbilt-Maryland 1st H
Maryland -1.5 1st 10mins 1st H -115
o34 Vanderbilt-Maryland 1st 10mins 1st H -105

Stanford -12.5 -103
Stanford -7 1st H
Stanford -3.5 1st 10mins 1st H -105

o114.5 Michigan State-Iowa State -105
 
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EveryGamblersDream

EOG Dedicated
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

Maryland -3.5 1st 10mins 2nd H -115
o34.5 Vanderbilt-Iowa State 1st 10mins 2nd H

--------

Sunday:

California +19 -105
California +11.5 1st H

Texas A&M -3.5
Texas A&M -1.5 1st H -115

Pittsburgh +11.5 -105
Pittsburgh +6.5 1st H

I like Purdue to win over Rutgers. However I am waiting for a ML as no need to get +1. They should win by 8-12 easily.
 
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EveryGamblersDream

EOG Dedicated
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

California +22
California +2500
California +7 1st 10mins 1st H -115

Texas A&M -1.5 1st 10mins 1st H -115

Purdue PK 1st H
Purdue PK 1st 10mins 1st H

Pittsburgh +3.5 1st 10mins 1st H
 
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EveryGamblersDream

EOG Dedicated
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

Maryland +112 (Fuck the points, this should be -10 at least)
Maryland +100 1st H

Stanford -12.5 -105
o126.5 Iowa State-Stanford -105
Stanford -7 1st H
Stanford -440 1st H
Stanford -4 1st 10mins 1st H -105
 
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EveryGamblersDream

EOG Dedicated
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

Stanford +11

Stanford +680

Stanford o65

Stanford +6.5 1st H

Stanford +320 1st H

Stanford o30.5 -105

Connecticut u37

Stanford +3 1st 10mins 1st H -105

Stanford +170 1st 10mins 1st H

Stanford o15 1st 10mins 1st H
 
winkyduck

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Re: On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

looks like a rotten day - fading UConn ain't the smartest thing to be doing
 
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