Baseball totals

ebemiss

EOG Addicted
I've been messing with baseball totals to get a projected number for each game. I've had sucess the last few days, including all numbers 10-5 against the numbers yesterday overall. Here are today's numbers with projected total, actual total,probable starters, then starts for each pitcher.

I played 5 games: under 10 NY/Cleve, under 9 NYM/Pit, OV 9.5 Fla/Mil, under 8 Sd/phil, under 8.5 Cin/stl.

2 games were too close to the number and the dodgers/arz game had 3 starts between the two pitchers.

I'm interested in anyone else that does projected numbers, I know winbet follows them closely. I used starters, bullpens and park effect numbers. I'm going to try these and bet the games I that fit the numbers and see how it goes.

J. Chamberlain (R) 9
8.6 10 J. Sowers (L) 2



L. Hernandez (R) 9
8.2 9 I. Snell (R) 10



J. Suppan (R) 10
11.6 9.5 A. Miller (L) 5



A. Cook (R) 10
8.4 8.5 R. Oswalt (R) 11



E. Volquez (R) 8
7.7 8.5 T. Wellemeyer (R) 10



J. Blanton (R) 9
7.0 8 K. Correia (R) 9



R. Hill (L) 3
8.4 8.5 J. Washburn (L) 9



B. Buckner (R) 2
8.3 9 H. Kuroda (R) 1
<TABLE id=post90922 class=tborder border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=6 width="100%" align=center><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d1d1e1 1px solid" id=td_post_90922 class=alt1>I've been messing with baseball totals to get a projected number for each game. I've had sucess the last few days, including all numbers 10-5 against the numbers yesterday overall. Here are today's numbers with projected total, actual total,probable starters, then starts for each pitcher.

I played 5 games: under 10 NY/Cleve, under 9 NYM/Pit, OV 9.5 Fla/Mil, under 8 Sd/phil, under 8.5 Cin/stl.

2 games were too close to the number and the dodgers/arz game had 3 starts between the two pitchers.

I'm interested in anyone else that does projected numbers. I used starters, bullpens and park effect numbers. I'm going to try these and bet the games I that fit the numbers and see how it goes.

J. Chamberlain (R) 9
8.6 10 J. Sowers (L) 2



L. Hernandez (R) 9
8.2 9 I. Snell (R) 10



J. Suppan (R) 10
11.6 9.5 A. Miller (L) 5



A. Cook (R) 10
8.4 8.5 R. Oswalt (R) 11



E. Volquez (R) 8
7.7 8.5 T. Wellemeyer (R) 10



J. Blanton (R) 9
7.0 8 K. Correia (R) 9



R. Hill (L) 3
8.4 8.5 J. Washburn (L) 9



B. Buckner (R) 2
8.3 9 H. Kuroda (R) 1
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ebemiss

EOG Addicted
Re: Baseball totals

16-6 on all games last 2 days, just taking my projected number and playing it above or below the actual. Numbers are bound to even out a bit, but maybe watching line movement's and following recent performance can help eliminate certain games and confirm others. I'm still a little hesitant on playing games that don't have a pitcher with a decent amount of starts so far this season. We'll see, I'll take it for sure to start.

3-1 tonight (+1.9)

posted baseball plays on eog

season 3-2 (+.9)
 

diogee

Verly isnt going anywhere
Re: Baseball totals

Nice day ebe...good info. Hope it continues to be a success for you.
 

ebemiss

EOG Addicted
Re: Baseball totals

I added a 5 inning total to the projected numbers today per a request from another site. I haven't tracked them as they are brand new, so tread lightly. I won't be playing any and wouldn't recommend any, I'm still trying to digest the game totals. Maybe they work or maybe they're shit, I don't know, but they're listed as the last number.

Here's today's numbers, I'll try and post the plays I'm going with within the hour. Looks like a lot of public totals today as my numbers are agreeing with some of the line adjustments, that's not usually a good thing. I'll try to pick a couple out that I like.


My Actual Probables Starts 5 inning

R. Wells (R) 4
7.0 9 K. Kawakami (R) 9 (3.5)



D. Matsuzaka (R) 4
11.2 9.5 R. Porcello (R) 9 (7.4)



V. Padilla (R) 8
10.7 10.5 A. Burnett (R) 10 (5.9)



T. Lincecum (R) 10
8.3 8 C. Stammen (R) 2 (4.4)



J. Santana (L) 10
5.1 7.5 Z. Duke (L) 10 (2.4)



J. Saunders (L) 10
6.4 8 R. Halladay (R) 11 (3.0)



K. Davies (R) 10
11.8 10 A. Sonnanstine (R) 10 (7.6)



M. Parra (L) 10
12.5 9.5 A. Sanchez (R) 6 (8.0)



U. Jimenez (R) 10
9.2 9 F. Paulino (R) 6 (5.3)



D. Huff (L) 3
12.9 9.5 K. Slowey (R) 10 (9.5)



V. Mazzaro (R) 0
0.0 B. Colon (R) 9 ERR



B. Arroyo (R) 10
7.9 9 B. Thompson (R) 0 (4.9)



A. Bastardo (L) 0
0.0 J. Peavy (R) 11 ERR



D. Hernandez (R) 1
5.2 7.5 E. Bedard (L) 9 (2.0)



D. Haren (R) 10
5.9 7.5 R. Wolf (L) 11 (2.8)
 

ebemiss

EOG Addicted
Re: Baseball totals

I played so far tonight all for 1 unit. Some of the unders that seem like they'd be plays are scaring me off a bit due to high pitch counts last out by:

Santana -120
Duke -105

Haren 113
wolf 109

Saunders 114
Halladay 102

Wells for cubs 111

This means these guys may not be as sharp as normal which would exceed my numbers.

I don't know if these will matter tonight, but until I see more from the numbers I'm a bit hesitant to go play a game just because it's projected over or under the posted total.

tonights plays so far

Over 10.5 NY/Tex
Over 9.5 Det/Bos
Over 9.5 KC/TB

sides
Detroit -127
Atlanta -110
KC +145
 
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