I was involved in an auto accident thursday evening but feeling better today.. Thought i would share a look inside my NHL program and offer a little as to how it works.. I have not abandoned the other thread.. I will pick it back up..
Lets look at the entire board..
This is how my program views todays games..
% chance to win contest..
Montreal 69%
Boston 68%
Pitt 64%
Tor 64%
Stl 64%
SJ 62%
Ott 55%
Nash 55%
Minn 54%
NJ 54%
Isles 50%
Ana 50%
We then must apply the betting line to each selection... In doing this i can determine a Value Rating for each team..
Isles (22.5)
Mont (19.4)
Ana (14.75)
Minn (10.7)
Bos (8.8)
Ott (7.75)
Pitt (4.6)
SJ (3.1)
NJ (1.1)
Stl (1.0)
Tor (-2.6)
Nash (-14.75)
Now one must determine whether to be a Value player or a player who simply wants the best % chance to win... One would lead to a higher volume of plays and the other, perhaps a simply best play to win today..
I consider Montreal (-160) the best play on the board today... The Islanders may offer the best Value once the line is considered but they only have a 50% chance to win the game today.. and today is what we should consider over any other factors.. The Islanders and TB are not going to play 100 or 1000 times today, they are going to play just once.. Now dont get me wrong, Value players should be on the Isles as well as the other higher listed Value plays..
In saying all this my Play for today will be Montreal (-160) based solely off my work..
You can see how i view each game as for "who should win" and the value placed on each...
Have a good day..
Falcon
Lets look at the entire board..
This is how my program views todays games..
% chance to win contest..
Montreal 69%
Boston 68%
Pitt 64%
Tor 64%
Stl 64%
SJ 62%
Ott 55%
Nash 55%
Minn 54%
NJ 54%
Isles 50%
Ana 50%
We then must apply the betting line to each selection... In doing this i can determine a Value Rating for each team..
Isles (22.5)
Mont (19.4)
Ana (14.75)
Minn (10.7)
Bos (8.8)
Ott (7.75)
Pitt (4.6)
SJ (3.1)
NJ (1.1)
Stl (1.0)
Tor (-2.6)
Nash (-14.75)
Now one must determine whether to be a Value player or a player who simply wants the best % chance to win... One would lead to a higher volume of plays and the other, perhaps a simply best play to win today..
I consider Montreal (-160) the best play on the board today... The Islanders may offer the best Value once the line is considered but they only have a 50% chance to win the game today.. and today is what we should consider over any other factors.. The Islanders and TB are not going to play 100 or 1000 times today, they are going to play just once.. Now dont get me wrong, Value players should be on the Isles as well as the other higher listed Value plays..
In saying all this my Play for today will be Montreal (-160) based solely off my work..
You can see how i view each game as for "who should win" and the value placed on each...
Have a good day..
Falcon