Bridge jumper alerts

Re: Bridge jumper alerts

wild day

mixed in some other action including TB Downs (no good), Hastings, (ground out a profit), and Lone Star (hit early p4 but lost a close one in the finale costing me the final double and some other bets).

twinspires

Total (accepted wagers): [TABLE="class: toteboard"]

[TD="class: total alignR"][/TD]
[TD="class: total amount"]$963.00[/TD]
[TD="class: total amount"]$1,303.05[/TD]
[TD="class: total amount"]+ $340.05[/TD]


[TD="class: total open alignR, colspan: 5"] [/TD]
[TD="class: total alignR"]Pending Wagers:[/TD]
[TD="class: total amount"]$0.00[/TD]

 
[/TABLE]

xpressbet

Wagers [TABLE]

[TH="colspan: 3"][/TH]


[TD="class: wide"]Wagers[/TD]

430

$3,530.50


[TD="class: wide"]Cancels[/TD]

5

$5.00


[TD="class: wide"]Winnings[/TD]

354

$3,557.00


[TD="class: wide"]Refunds[/TD]

4

$6.00


[/TABLE]
 
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

yeah but they did it before

last year


I asked last time what to do and they said to make other kinds of wagers, so I've been making plenty of win/place/exacta/trifecta/double/p3/p4

didn't matter. Oh well.
 
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

strange occurrence at Mount r6

#5 had a 2/5 M/L and attracted over 300k in show bets


but it went off 6/5 somehow


a different horse (5/2 M/L) with very little in the show pool went off 1/2 and won
 

trytrytry

All I do is trytrytry
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

strange occurrence at Mount r6

#5 had a 2/5 M/L and attracted over 300k in show bets


but it went off 6/5 somehow


a different horse (5/2 M/L) with very little in the show pool went off 1/2 and won
that was strange. ive seen it with Entries before big big bridge jumping show pool for the entry but not quite the post time fav... but just a plain horse 300,000 to show and not the actual favorite not sure Ive ever seen that.
 
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

the 5 horse at 6/5 was great value even though it didn't win


problem was, it was the usual nonsense of money being added in after the race so if you bet at post time, the #5 was odds on (as mentioned, it was showing 1/9 close to post time).

Everyone so focused on betting it to show rather than to win that its odds drifted up.

Very, very unusual for a jumper not to go off at odds on.
 
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

I actually lost money on exactas betting 5-3 and 3-5 because the 3-5 only paid 5. I weighted it the other way figuring the 5-3 would pay clearly less.
 
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

Race 1 Double Probables

Pool Total: $399,081


[TABLE="class: fixed"]

[TH="class: with"]

With

[/TH]


[TD="class: with"]

1

[/TD]


[TD="class: with"]

2

[/TD]


[TD="class: with"]

3

[/TD]


[TD="class: with"]

4

[/TD]


[TD="class: with"]

5

[/TD]


[TD="class: with"]

6

[/TD]


[TD="class: with"]

7

[/TD]


[TD="class: with"]

8

[/TD]


[TD="class: with"]

9

[/TD]


[TD="class: with"]

10

[/TD]


[TD="class: with"]11
[/TD]


[/TABLE]

[TABLE="class: prob"]

[TH="class: runn"]1[/TH]
[TH="class: runn"]2[/TH]
[TH="class: runn"]3[/TH]
[TH="class: runn"]4[/TH]
[TH="class: runn"]5[/TH]
[TH="class: runn"]6[/TH]
[TH="class: runn"]7[/TH]
[TH="class: runn"]8[/TH]
[TH="class: runn"]9[/TH]
[TH="class: runn"]10[/TH]


[TD="class: runn"]259.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]199.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]305.60[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]31.00[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]38.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]164.80[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]1267.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]923.60[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]194.00[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]177.00[/TD]


[TD="class: runn"]500.20[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]311.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]501.60[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]64.00[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]70.00[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]251.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]2390.80[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]1330.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]330.80[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]315.60[/TD]


[TD="class: runn"]602.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]304.60[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]356.80[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]60.00[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]66.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]229.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]1559.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]1564.80[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]359.20[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]327.80[/TD]


[TD="class: runn"]902.80[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]426.60[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]601.20[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]82.20[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]111.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]356.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]2197.00[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]2000.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]421.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]446.80[/TD]


[TD="class: runn"]360.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]261.80[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]440.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]37.20[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]53.60[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]173.00[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]1416.20[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]1411.00[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]260.80[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]240.20[/TD]


[TD="class: runn"]885.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]495.60[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]922.00[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]124.20[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]137.80[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]403.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]3168.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]2187.80[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]590.60[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]761.20[/TD]


[TD="class: runn"]275.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]184.00[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]297.00[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]19.80[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]33.20[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]138.80[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]860.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]867.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]164.60[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]170.80[/TD]


[TD="class: runn"]1126.20[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]670.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]704.60[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]114.20[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]141.60[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]509.00[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]2729.60[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]1915.80[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]611.20[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]652.60[/TD]


[TD="class: runn"]301.00[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]140.60[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]250.20[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]28.80[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]29.20[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]117.60[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]1112.60[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]844.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]140.60[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]145.20[/TD]


[TD="class: runn"]519.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]396.20[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]650.00[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]77.80[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]91.00[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]332.00[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]2726.00[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]1934.60[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]437.20[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]352.80[/TD]


[TD="class: runn"]1029.60[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]539.00[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]829.20[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]108.40[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]124.20[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]425.60[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]3289.80[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]2522.80[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]568.00[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"]422.20[/TD]


[/TABLE]
 
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

something is up at Arlington


I checked a minute to post and less than 1 grand was listed as being bet to show on the chalk


race starts and it says over 44 grand was bet
 
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

couple of bets at Emerald = nothing...par for the course I rarely cash there
Pimlico...pick 4 pick 3 and doubles all involving Preakness = nothing
 
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

just as i say no cashing at EMD make an action bet in race 8 tag the longest shot in a short field

final fractions in past performances going into the race....certainly worth a bet as the longest shot in the field...she walked right by down the lane

85 Little Dancer
83 Camano Comet
82 Gazing
80 Targa
79 Paddy's Secret
74 Myladysabitshady


 
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

Fairmount race 1
four of the 5 entrants are sired by US Ranger...and no show wagering on the race
hope the card is on TVG...a little more money in the pools
 
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

line of reasoning there is the "obvious" ones are slow...really slow..it doesnt take much for something else to jump up and win...but when none of the others jump up the race ends up finishing like it did in race 3....horse like those get beat more often than not at lower quality tracks....on to next time...
 

trytrytry

All I do is trytrytry
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

line of reasoning there is the "obvious" ones are slow...really slow..it doesnt take much for something else to jump up and win...but when none of the others jump up the race ends up finishing like it did in race 3....horse like those get beat more often than not at lower quality tracks....on to next time...
thanks, lets find some more value spots
 
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

one of the reason I go fishing in the small ponds and try to extract some money.....using a beyer type number as an example...you will have some races where the chalks are running something in the mid 40s----the "off form " horses are running in the teens maybe a number in the 20s.....it isnt that big of a jump for a horse to make to a number that would win...you can take shots with various angles etc on horses that are prices.......at the "higher quality tracks " the number needed to win is much higher and thus requires a much more significant jump up number-wise from the "off form" horses
 
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

the track in Elko...not great pictures had to deal with a high fence ...I think they race a couple of weeks in September...looks like it would be fun...may have to come back




 
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

final fractions for Fairmount 5th on Tuesday...see what happens

69P R Kipling's Gold
59Sassy and Regal
58Lucky in Life
56Rainyinbetween
54Duchess La La
46Star Magna
36Sea Mist
NAConcord Revolution
NALil Puddi
 
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