Bridge jumper alerts

keep the current "price plays" or use the adjusted one?

  • current 11% 23% 36% 0.93

    Votes: 3 75.0%
  • adjusted 16% 31% 46% 0.99

    Votes: 1 25.0%

  • Total voters
    4
  • Poll closed .

blueline

EOG Master
I've started tinkering with and refining a mechanical play...finished in the plus ROI each of the last 3 years...last 12 months just 2 small losing months with a 1.54/1 ROI..wil post the plays here once I mess with it a little more
 

blueline

EOG Master
No guarantees it works going forward...I've had others fizzle out but this one has been steady over 3 years of data so......
 

trytrytry

All I do is trytrytry
they are interesting just in and of themselves.

do you have any Jacqueline Davis jJacqueline A. Davis jockey stats. how her past few years have gone. when if anything she makes a profit,

she used to be a bit under the radar I think in spots she hits well, years ago she used to run every race on a card. now its like 1 race at a track, a day, maybe 2, then skip days. etc etc. who is using her and when for $$$

[IMG2=JSON]{"data-align":"none","data-size":"full","src":"https:\/\/184cda7661b9609f94b0-f196c43f59505ef65734afae659eea38.ssl.cf2.rackcdn.com\/576962_10151232555735729_1668427854_n_640x570_thumb.jpg"}[/IMG2]
 

blueline

EOG Master
I only have about 60 days of data with me..small sample...
Her ROI is much higher on speed horses as opposed to closers
Her basic last 12 month stat which I have is
11%
0.81 ROI
 

blueline

EOG Master
Sunday Aug 19 2018

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Post TRK Pn Horse MLO
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12:00 WO-01 #1 Giant S *1/1
13:40 LRL-04 #2 Scout's *4/5
15:10 LRL-07 #4 Holiday *4/5
15:40 LRL-08 #5 Whyyoua *6/5
16:12 MTH-10 #4 Don't T *1/2
16:25 PID-01 #3 Stevedo *4/5
16:30 GPR-07 #1 Lady Am *1/1
16:55 GPR-08 #1 Chilcot *1/1
18:30 PID-06 #2 Stellar *6/5
20:56 MNR-09 #4 Can't C *6/5
22:01 LA-03 #5 Surfing *1/1
 

trytrytry

All I do is trytrytry
16:12 MTH-10 #4 Don't T *1/2

that huge jumper 150k out of 180K won for fun fun fun

and capped what might be the lowest paying pick 6 ever lets see
 

yisman

EOG Master
missed these. that r10 was an easy race, too bad. chalk won and the second and third options finished underneath making it ideal for my hedging strategy.

Let's see what's left.

btw the p6:

$0.50 Pick-4 (1,2,3,4,6,7/6/1,2,3,4,5,6/4) Paid $17.60 (4OF4)
$0.20 Pick-6 (1,3,4,7,8/3/1,2,3,4,6,7/6/1,2,3,4,5,6/4) Paid $98.00 (6OF6)
$0.50 Pick-5 (3/1,2,3,4,6,7/6/1,2,3,4,5,6/4) Paid $150.45 (5OF5)
$2 Double (3/4) Paid $4.80
$2 Exacta (4-2) Paid $9.80
 

trytrytry

All I do is trytrytry
this one pretty incredible 2 of the horses in this race are total non runners, mules, could not possible be in top 3. and its a 5 horse field
 

trytrytry

All I do is trytrytry
yisman;n7451794 said:
missed these. that r10 was an easy race, too bad. chalk won and the second and third options finished underneath making it ideal for my hedging strategy.

Let's see what's left.

btw the p6:

$0.50 Pick-4 (1,2,3,4,6,7/6/1,2,3,4,5,6/4) Paid $17.60 (4OF4)
$0.20 Pick-6 (1,3,4,7,8/3/1,2,3,4,6,7/6/1,2,3,4,5,6/4) Paid $98.00 (6OF6)
$0.50 Pick-5 (3/1,2,3,4,6,7/6/1,2,3,4,5,6/4) Paid $150.45 (5OF5)
$2 Double (3/4) Paid $4.80
$2 Exacta (4-2) Paid $9.80
$0.20 PK6 4/2,3,5/3/2-6/3,7/4 $6.00 $92.00
yes I had it. LOL my smallest investment in a pick 6 ticket ever and it wins , its not a real pick 6 its one of those stupid jackpot ones. not sure why I even punched in that ticket earlier. I think I thought I Was doing the pick 5 and just kept going..lol
 

trytrytry

All I do is trytrytry
yisman;n7451794 said:
missed these. that r10 was an easy race, too bad. chalk won and the second and third options finished underneath making it ideal for my hedging strategy.

Let's see what's left.

btw the p6:

$0.50 Pick-4 (1,2,3,4,6,7/6/1,2,3,4,5,6/4) Paid $17.60 (4OF4)
$0.20 Pick-6 (1,3,4,7,8/3/1,2,3,4,6,7/6/1,2,3,4,5,6/4) Paid $98.00 (6OF6)
$0.50 Pick-5 (3/1,2,3,4,6,7/6/1,2,3,4,5,6/4) Paid $150.45 (5OF5)
$2 Double (3/4) Paid $4.80
$2 Exacta (4-2) Paid $9.80

hmm pm me your show hedge strategy. not 100% sure on that being best case??

sounds interesting
 

trytrytry

All I do is trytrytry
damn a tight 3-6-2 there, no walk in the park there at all. she looked to hang for a bit in the lane with a couple coming also making the jumpers nervous... very tight but a winner
 

yisman

EOG Master
trytrytry;n7451798 said:
hmm pm me your show hedge strategy. not 100% sure on that being best case??

sounds interesting

it's impossible to be truly optimal due to horse racing having "secret" numbers but I loosely follow standard hedging practice, although more weighted towards the favorites than I should.

Say 200 on the chalk, 10 on the second choice, 5 on the third choice

depends on race and bankroll.
 

blueline

EOG Master
Monday Aug 20 2018

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Post TRK Pn Horse MLO
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16:25 PID-01 #1 Big Gam *4/5
19:06 MNR-04 #3 Tia Cel *4/5
 

blueline

EOG Master
Tuesday Aug 21 2018

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Post TRK Pn Horse MLO
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13:29 FP-02 #7 St. Lou *3/5
13:33 IND-02 #3 Huckleb 6/5
13:33 IND-02 #5 Shezagu *1/1
14:29 IND-04 #2 Willist *1/1
15:25 FP-06 #3 Isabell *3/5
15:48 FE-02 #6 Reimbur *6/5
15:54 FP-07 #6 Dandy R *4/5
19:06 MNR-04 #6 Ginger *1/2
20:56 MNR-09 #2 Celtic *6/5
 

blueline

EOG Master
heres a simple play that just wins... I messed around with it..cant do much more with it

ROI is 1.84/1.00 over year and a half...its been on a roll lately

here it is since late june...lets see what happens



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
05Aug 02EMD 8.0D 3up C02 3 Charmi 3g 10/1 17.0 WON Rosale/Lopez
30Jul 05FL 8.2D 3uF C08 1 Caribb 3f 4/1 4.9 2ND Buckle/Sone J
28Jul 07BTP 8.0D 3uF NW1 5 Outgoi 3f 3/1 5.7 4 Arnold/Sarvis
23Jul 08SAR 9.0W 3up STR 8 Indigo 3g 10/1 9.7 WON Wilkes/Ortiz
22Jul 03SAC 8.0D 3uF STR 4 Splash 3f 4/1 8.1 4 Offiel/Terrer
22Jul 06WO x10.0A 3up NW1 3 Strike 4g 3/1 *1.8 WON Cox Ga/Da Sil
18Jul 03WO 8.5A 3uF NW2 3 H. M. 3f 8/1 4.5 X Silver/Moreno
14Jul 07NP 8.5W 3yr STK 5 Apalac 3c 5/2 *1.7 WON Hall P/Sarmie
13Jul 04NP 8.0W 3up NW1 6 Gem Al 3g* 9*5 *1.2 WON Rycrof/Sarmie
09Jul 07PRX 8.3D 3uF NW1 5 Specia 3f 5/1 9.5 Martin/Haddoc
04Jul 06GP 8.0D 3uF C25 8 Violen 3f 5/1 5.2 WON Pilott/Jarami
30Jun 10CBY 8.0D 3uF C05 4 Una Br 3f 8/1 6.7 X Bravo /Butler
22Jun 04PLN 8.5D 3uF C08 1 Soul o 3f 9/2 4.8 WON McCann/Orozco
 

blueline

EOG Master
Wednesday Aug 22 2018
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Post TRK Pn Horse MLO
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12:33 SAR-02 #5 Promise *1/1
13:04 FL-03 #1 Princes *6/5
14:52 FL-07 #2 Passpor *1/1
16:40 SAR-09 #14 You're *6/5
17:45 WO-01 #1 Artilen *1/1
18:55 PID-07 #5 Rare In *6/5
19:06 MNR-04 #5 Shackle *4/5
19:12 RET-02 #6 Shark R *6/5
20:03 ASD-02 #4 Hot Rod *4/5
20:12 MNR-07 #2 Judge C *3/5
20:31 ASD-03 #3 Mr. Daz *3/5
20:59 ASD-04 #2 Pashito *6/5
 

yisman

EOG Master
blueline;n7452285 said:
Aug23
PEN race 5 number 5

Wow! Wire-to-wire winner. One of the easiest winners you'll see.

It wound up being a five horse race after the morning line favorite was scratched.


Back to Top

Race 5 [TABLE="cellpadding: 2, cellspacing: 2"]

# Horse Jockey Win Place Show


5

Heart Beat Away

Whitney D G

$4.40

$2.60

$2.20


3

Majestic Mac

Cora D

-

$3.00

$3.20


1

Main Line Philly

Jacqueline A. Davis

-

-

$4.80


4

So Who's Back

Bracho J A

-

-

-


[/TABLE]
Scratched: Courageous Lynne (6)



============

Keep 'em coming!
 

yisman

EOG Master
Heavy favorite at CT wasn't even close. Big payouts.

4 $9.20
2-$13.80
1--$33.20


The #6 had over 44,000 on it to show. Almost 81% of the pool.
 

blueline

EOG Master
Saturday Aug 25 2018

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Post TRK Pn Horse MLO
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12:15 GP-02 #3 Small F *6/5
12:45 GP-03 #4 Deep Fi *1/1
12:49 PRX-03 #1 Harpoon *1/1
12:49 PRX-03 #1A Dennis' *1/1
13:00 AP-01 #1 Shoeluv *1/1
13:05 TIM-03 #7 Vineyar *3/5
13:05 WO-03 #1 Silent *6/5
13:59 SAR-07 #1 Abel Ta *6/5
14:04 AP-03 #2 Jean El *2/5
14:36 AP-04 #7 Mister *3/5
15:08 AP-05 #3 P H Fac *6/5
16:00 DMR-01 #4 Honeyfr *6/5
16:15 GG-02 #1 Ruled b *6/5
17:05 IND-01 #8 Forerun *1/1
18:01 IND-03 #1 You Are *6/5
19:00 RP-01 #7 How Cre *4/5
19:25 CT-04 #1 King of *1/1
19:25 GPR-02 #1 Master' *1/1
19:59 FP-02 #7 Name Dr *6/5
20:03 ASD-02 #1 Hard Kn *1/1
20:31 ASD-03 #3 Bella N *6/5
20:49 CT-07 #6 Late Ni *1/1
20:59 ASD-04 #1 Cool Br *6/5
23:08 RP-09 #10 Lynah R *1/1
 
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