Daytona 500

heartman

EOG Senior Member
Re: Daytona 500

Just in the last 2 hours Earnhardts odds for the 500 went from +950 to +1000 to +800 and we still have 13 days till the race.

If he runs good at the shootout and the thurday duals he'll be the favorite in the +700 range.

If he doesn't run up front in shootout or the duals he could end up in the +1100 range for the Daytona 500.
 

heartman

EOG Senior Member
Re: Daytona 500

Must have some early Nascar money coming in at 5dimes for the line to move like that.

The Sprint Unlimited is saturday and the odds to win should be posted soon. Would love to see about 20+ matchups also.

I've seen 5dimes post 100 matchups and props for the DAYTONA 500 before. We want as many wagering options as we can get.
 

heartman

EOG Senior Member
Re: Daytona 500

This will be my 11th season gambling offshore on Nascar. I've posted picks every year, about 3000 total, at several different gambling forums since 2003. I've won money in 7 out of 10 years.

I'm coming off a losing season in 2012. Just wasn't my year.

I have no fucking clue how I'll do this year.

If I'm winning I'll keep posting picks. If I'm getting my ass kicked I'll stop posting picks.

Good Luck!!!
 

heartman

EOG Senior Member
Re: Daytona 500

Sprint Unlimited

Kurt Busch -120 over Logano
33 to win 27.50

Stewart -110 ov Kenseth
33 tw 30

Earnhardt Jr +975 to win Unlimited
20 to win 195

5dimes
 

heartman

EOG Senior Member
Re: Daytona 500

It's going to be a guessing game this year with a brand new car.

Got to pay attention to any team or manufacturers advantage that may happen early in the season.
 

heartman

EOG Senior Member
Re: Daytona 500

Deal with it already posting locks for the 2013 season.

All 3 of those plays could end up losing.
 

heartman

EOG Senior Member
Re: Daytona 500

Just 10 minutes into practice and we have our first crash.

Kurt Busch
MarkMartin
Carl Edwards

All 3 going to back-up cars.

Pull your belts down tight boys.

Crashes in testing and practice already.

I can hear the doggies barking.
 

heartman

EOG Senior Member
Re: Daytona 500

The 3 drivers with back-ups absolutely do not want to crash another car tonight. Towards the end of the race I can see these guys playing it safe. It's a gamble I'm willing to take. Hope it works out!
 

heartman

EOG Senior Member
Re: Daytona 500

I think most of the teams brought 3 cars for the speedweeks.

One car for the shootout and 2 cars for the 500.

The guys who crashed will probably be driving their back-up car for the 500.
 

heartman

EOG Senior Member
Re: Daytona 500

Fading the back-up car doesn't always work but it did saturday. All 3 back-up cars lost their matchups.

The next possible fade will be Danica and Gordon.

With the front row locked up, what will be their strategy for the thursday races? I think they back off in the last few laps.

This situation occurs every year and I've seen it play out both ways.
 

heartman

EOG Senior Member
Re: Daytona 500

Daytona Truck Race

Kyle Busch +265 to win race
60 tw 159

As long as he doesn't crash in practice or qualifying, this number should be dropping.

I've seen Kyle at -110 or -120 to win truck races before.

Has a huge talent advantage over the rest of the field.

Betting the favorite at plate tracks can be very risky but I'm willing to gamble.
 

heartman

EOG Senior Member
Re: Daytona 500

Daytona Truck Race

Coulter +1600 to win race
7 tw 112

He's driving Kyles 18 truck this year.


Daytona Nationwide Race

Vickers +1500 to win race
5 tw 75

Sadler +1750 to win race
5 tw 87.50

R.Smith +2200 to win race
5 tw 110

The nationwide race is stacked with talent. Should be a great race!

Hoping 1 of these longshots pulls off the upset.
 

heartman

EOG Senior Member
Re: Daytona 500

Daytona Truck Race matchups

Truex -115 over Blaney
20 tw 17.39

Hornaday +110 ov Gaughan
20 tw 22

Buescher +110 ov Peters
20 tw 22
 

heartman

EOG Senior Member
Re: Daytona 500

Thursday Duel Race 1

Stewart +500 to win race
20 tw 100


Nationwide Race matchup

R.Smith -115 ov Hornish
20 tw 17.39
 

heartman

EOG Senior Member
Re: Daytona 500

Thursday Duel 1

Hamlin -110 ov Brad Keselowski
33 tw 30

Hamlin +850 to win race
10 tw 85

Duel 2

Newman+100 ov Burton
33 tw 33

Kahne -115 ov Bowyer
33 tw 28.70
 

heartman

EOG Senior Member
Re: Daytona 500

Nationwide Race

Vickers +125 ov Dillon
33 tw 41.25


Truck Race

Paludo +130 ov Coulter
20 tw 26
 

heartman

EOG Senior Member
Re: Daytona 500

Newman-105 ov Martin
33 tw 31.43

Bayne +100 ov Patrick
33 tw 33

Gordon -105 ov Kahne
33 tw 31.43

Kenseth -110 finishes over 10 1/2
33 tw 30

Waltrip +10000 to win race
5 tw 500
 

heartman

EOG Senior Member
Re: Daytona 500

Not the start I was looking for but it's a long season.

I placed 18 win-bets on 6 races and ended up -$287. Some bad luck, some bad picks.

I placed 28 matchups winning 15 and losing 13 for +$55.77.

Grand total -$231.23

I usually win money at Daytona speedweeks but not this time.

On to the next race in Phoenix Arizona!

Sunshine, mexican hotties in bikinis, Tequila.

Uno cerveza por favor!
 

heartman

EOG Senior Member
Re: Daytona 500

I also post picks at Peeps and the total there is different because I added a win-bet here that wasn't posted there.
 
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