EOG's Best Bet thread for Friday, January 17

KevinStott11

EOG Veteran
>Posting on Friday for Sunday spot for Sunday morning match with plus money still available...
Sunday, January 19, 2020 A.D.—200038 Liverpool -1 +104 (Intertops)

11:30 am EST/8:30 am PST—(NBCSN, NBCSports.com, NBC Sports App, Telemundo Deportes En Vivo, Telemundo)—When we were younger than we are today although it’s always today, there were maybe 3 total analysts of things worth giving a fuck about—one for Sports Gambling (Jimmy the Greek, CBS), one for Weather (Tom Skilling, WGN Chicago) and one for Business (Louis Rukeyser). Now there are more analysts than there are Kims in the Seoul phonebook with video cameras exposing us to every Tom, Dick and Harry who has an opinion on a game, politician or vagina-smelling candle in these weird days where Mother Earth cries and Chief Yellow Hair lies at paces we can’t adjust to.

Presidents used to lie maybe once a week and the waterline used to creep up much slower, but no Odometer or Abacus could now calculate the constant BS coming out our Commander in Cheese’s mouth or how quickly Venice is becoming Atlantis. So unemployment will be at 0% as we will all be forced to be water-diggers or BS-riggers. It’s no wonder we try to somehow hide in Sports Gambling where 7½ is always 7½ and that makes sense. 7½ was 7½ in 1958 and will still be 7½ in 2158. And people will still (figuratively and literally) tease 7½ because she is not 7.


Nothing demands an exclamation mark like being impeached, although if I added up all of the exclamation marks I have ever seen by all writers from 1960 to now, they would still be about 24% of the exclamation points used by El Presidente. To me, this is lazy and forced emotion and something Roy Cohn wouldn't have taught Donald J. Trump before he took hostage of our precious little Lives. Liverpool (20-1-0, 50 GF-14 GA) welcomes 5th-place Manchester United (9-7-6, 36 GF-25 GA) to Anfield on Sunday for what seems like a big EPL showdown, but what will essentially be a test of the Reds record long Home Win Streak (38 games) and the Red Devils hopes of climbing up to that #4 spot and securing a UEFA Champions League berth for the 2020/21 season.

Visitors winning at Merseyside has become impossible, with a loaded front line and two capable GKs and the deepest Roster in all pro sports along with the best manager. It is no coincidence that Liverpool are defending European champions, will win the EPL this year and will be the club to beat for at least the next half-decade.
The series Trends show that maybe nobody has played Liverpool tougher at Home than the Red Devils who are 1-2-1 the L4 trips with David DeGea and he MYFC GK’s posting three Clean Sheets and allowing just 3 goals, all in the last meeting between the two Euro-icons last season (LIV 3-1 MUFC ). But LFC (WWWWW) is stronger and more Confident now and MUFC (WLWWL) has had stability and managerial issues with Paul Pogba the poster boy for the current malaise in Red Mancunia. LFC is 38-21-25 lifetime vs MUFC at Home in EPL play, outscoring them 130-93 over the years.

Marcus Rashford (Back) injured his back in MUFC’s FA Cup match vs Wolves and is a question mark here while James Milner and Naby Keita will miss for Liverpool. Expect United to start off gallantly, maybe even grabbing a 1-0 lead, but for the host Reds to score 3 with F’s Sadio Mané, Roberto Firminho and Mo Salah all possibly scoring for the happy hosts. Even though they’ve locked up the silverware, expect the Reds to be up for his rivalry and to protect the Home turf and that record streak.

Liverpool 3 Manchester United 1

 
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KevinStott11

EOG Veteran
>Posting on Friday afternoon for Saturday spot for early Saturday game...
Saturday, January 18, 2020 A.D.—631 Cal State Bakersfield -16 -110 (BetOnline)

1:05 pm EST/10:05 am PST—Hey, rise and shine yous guys, as the early bird gets the proverbial Worm and this Cal State Bakersfield pick against Chicago State (4-14 SU, 6-9 ATS, L10 SU) on Saturday may be a bassaball blowout served up by the visitors and a pick Railbird may like. [The upcoming Cal-Baptist-Chicago State game on Jan. 22 will be a BE$T BET$ pick the real olde fashioned way, and not that newfangled daily, Daily Wager (ESPN2, 6 pm EST/3 pm PST) way with “BE$T” coming every day and with parameters. Since I’ve never offered up a Chicago State Pick taking points, you know.] The Truth-Truth smells like (Creamy) Peanut Butter.

I’ve never heard my so fade-worthy boys Chicago State (19-31 ATS since 2017) mentioned on Daily Wager nor FOX’s Lock It In, although I hear the weird one in the latter show’s middle box—who asked if he could parlay a Point Spread and a Moneyline for the same team—bash (betting) Soccer, NHL and lower-level NCAAB schools like a bittersweet drunk parrot with obligatory facial hair. Money doesn’t care where you wager it, but the amount of Pain from some Sports will evolve you through years of Stress. Soccer and Hockey are cool. Winky and Dink know. KenPom.com ranks Bakersfield #226 and the Cougars #353, still dead last of Division I teams with perennial WAC champs New Mexico State (13-6 SU, 7-10 ATS) top Aggies at #94. So now you know. Don't forget to remember to bet the First Half in this game.

Chicago State hosted fellow WAC-sters Grand Canyon on Thursday and the Antelopes ran past the Cougars, 78-64, easily covering the First Half ATS (GCU -9½) but giving up the Green Ghost for the Full Game as the last-place team in the conference outscored the Lopes in the 2H after closing 16½- to 17-point Favorites in Chicago, a great city with elite Pizza named after the Indian word for “wild Garlic” or “wild Onion” in its Miami-Illinois language/dialect. The Cougars scored the game’s L5 points at the Jones Convocation Center and went from 19 down to a (basically) game-low 14 with the Final Score, the only thing that really matters. That last fucking Soul-sucking minute is why betting on Hoops is the worst, even when/if you should win. Don’t cry for me Argentina.


The series Trends show CSUB—who have played both Notre Dame de Namur and top-ranked Gonzaga—has beaten Chicago State 12 straight SU, winning by an average of 16 points with the Cougars last Win in the series on Feb 22, 2014 (CSU 73 CSUB 68). The Roadrunners have improved much on O, averaging 87.2 ppg after scoring 66.2 ppg last year with G’s Taze Moore (11.6 ppg), De’Monte Buckingham (11.0 ppg) and Czar Perry (8.8 ppg) leading the way in a balanced a pacey attack. This should go Over the Total (141½ open, BetOnline) as should the Southland Conference game between Sam Houston State and Houston Baptist (3-10-1 ATS, Overs 12-2) on Saturday (8 pm ET/5 pm PT, #131) here in 2020 A.D., Chinese Year of the Rat.

Chicago State has L5 SU at Home, being outscored by an average of 25 ppg over that span and with CSUB the #4 team in Offensive Rebounding (38.4%) and the Cougars #290 (24.6%), there’s no doubt who’ll win the battle in the Paint and Chicago State, who have seen 26% of their scoring come from Freshmen (Ke’Sean Davis, Rajeir Jones, Amir Gholizadeh), will have to be dead on from the outside, something they seldom are. Hybrids demand Art and Science. When Xavier Johnson (17.3 ppg), Andrew Lewis (11.3 ppg) and the Cougars score 74 points or more they’re 4-1 SU, but when Chicago State puts up less than 74 points, they mushroom to 0-15 SU.

Despite playing an impressive 2H on Thursday vs GCU, Chicago State is 0-6 ATS in its L6 games in the First Half market and should be overmatched here vs CSUB (8-10 SU, 5-10-0 ATS) who will be heading in off of an OT Win at UMKC on Thursday, 74-64 as Justin Edler-Davis popped three 3-pointers and scored 13 points in OT to lead the Roadrunners (3-0 WAC) to the win vs the Kangaroos. Like sands through the hourglass, so are the days of our lives...

Cal-State Bakersfield 93 Chicago State 65

 
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puckhandler

EOG Dedicated
live wager

taking a stab...lots of hockey to be played

Winnipeg Jers ml +1425 bet365

Winnipeg trails Tampa Bay 3-0 end of 1st period
 

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Pinny

7A on Saturday

West Ham/Everton U2.5 -102


Winkyduck 607-826-48 +4.15 UNITS (Sat. Jan. 18: Crystal Palace TT Ov0.5 +123 AND Crystal Palace +2.5 +110 AND West Ham/Everton U2.5 -102; Thursday Jan. 23: Wolves +1 -114; Brighton to be Relegated +185; Chase Young to be the #1 Overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft +200; Vegas Knights to win the West +550; (t)RUMP to NOT be the 2020 RepubliCON POTUS Nominee +500)
 
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