EOG's Best Bet thread for Sunday, July 4

Dell Dude

Dell Dude

EOG Master
Manic Monday setup, JK. Bookmaker between rounds. Not enough to win with the Ladies. Need to KO 15 dimes rollover.

UPDATE #2 - ROCKET MORTGAGE CLASSIC - WINNER
Risk: 125.00 - Win: 2625.00
STRAIGHT BET
Rocket Mortgage Classic 2021
[80356] Kevin Kisner +2100
 
John Kelly

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
winkyduck said:
WA

Starts soon

Dodgers/Nats NO 1st inning run +105

I told JK why in the email I sent him last night.
Click to expand...


No line yet but unless the juice is outrageous I'll be on

NO 1st Inning run

Game starts at 11A in DC. The 2 teams were at the park very late Saturday Night because of rain delaying the game. Gonna be some tired players for the game. But not the pitchers. They were home (at the hotel) getting a good night's sleep. They will come to the game as the most rested people there. I think we see some tired batters Sunday facing well-rested pitchers. Dodgers are gonna have a bullpen game meaning things could get dicey later on. I don't care about later on. All I care about is 6 outs.

If I can get the Nats at plus money for F5 (and I think I can) I will also be on them. Not often I can say Joe Ross will be the best pitcher going F5 but here he might be

I'll add one more thing to look for. I can see a low scoring game for the first few innings and then when subpar pitchers come into the game scoring might increase. Live play betting and playing OVER once a few innings go by might not be a bad thing to do, too
 
Dell Dude

Dell Dude

EOG Master
Dell Dude said:
Manic Monday setup, JK. Bookmaker between rounds. Not enough to win with the Ladies. Need to KO 15 dimes rollover.

UPDATE #2 - ROCKET MORTGAGE CLASSIC - WINNER
Risk: 125.00 - Win: 2625.00
STRAIGHT BET
Rocket Mortgage Classic 2021
[80356] Kevin Kisner +2100
Click to expand...
Tied for the lead after 8.

 
winkyduck

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
winkyduck said:
WA

Starts soon

Dodgers/Nats NO 1st inning run +105

I told JK why in the email I sent him last night.
Click to expand...

Gonna fire away with some NBA Draft Props - from Bovada

2nd pick: Green +120
3rd pick: Mobley _160
4th pick: Suggs -105

Winkyduck 802-1120-64 -30.57 UNITS (NBA Draft: 2nd pick: Green +120, 3rd pick: Mobley +160, 4th pick: Suggs -105; Djokovic to WIN -130; UNDER Gold Medals Won: USA 45.5 -120 AND Japan 27.5 -160; Ben Simmons team in 2022: GSW +2000; Anderson Cooper to be the new permanent Jeopardy host +500; First non-extradition country Trump enters: Russia +200 AND Der Fuhrer to be Indicted in 2021: YES -130; Rockies Win % UNDER 40 -126; Tim Tebow Ov0.5 Rec TDs +400; NFL CoY: Kyle Shanahan +1800; Texans Un4 RSW +100 AND Make the Playoffs: NO -650; Najee Harris: Over: 949.5 Rush Yards AND 8.5 Rush/Rec TD.....Both -110; Ball State Ov8 RSW -105)
 
Dell Dude

Dell Dude

EOG Master
I may be asleep when the next be best thread is posted and may not wake up in time so posting it now. 159-1 rounded off. All 7 of my Wimbledon ladies. Bookmaker.

MU - [8733] Krejcikova, Barbora +228
(Krejcikova, Barbora vrs Barty, Ashleigh)
Game start 07/05/2021 08:00 AM
MU - [8735] Tomljanovic, Ajla -135
(Tomljanovic, Ajla vrs Raducanu, Emma)
Game start 07/05/2021 11:15 AM
MU - [8738] Badosa, Paula +131
(Muchova, Karolina vrs Badosa, Paula)
Game start 07/05/2021 09:15 AM
MU - [8742] Pliskova, Karolina -111
(Samsonova, Liudmila vrs Pliskova, Karolina)
Game start 07/05/2021 08:00 AM
MU - [8744] Keys, Madison -204
(Golubic, Viktorija vrs Keys, Madison)
Game start 07/05/2021 08:00 AM
MU - [8746] Swiatek, Iga -141
(Jabeur, Ons vrs Swiatek, Iga)
Game start 07/05/2021 06:00 AM
MU - [8748] Rybakina, Elena +153
(Sabalenka, Aryna vrs Rybakina, Elena)
Game start 07/05/2021 06:00 AM
 
John Kelly

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
ComptrBob said:
Live Bet Seattle ML +149 vs LA Sparks (Bookmaker) WNBA Current score 48-56
Click to expand...


Money never sleeps.

Brilliant market timing by ComptrBob.

Final score: Seattle 84 Los Angeles 74.

Where's Dell Dude after Bob cashes with an underdog selection?

Oh, that's right, he's sleeping.

Reading a book now in Bob's honor.

The title: How Not To Be Wrong, The Power of Mathematical Thinking.
 
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Dell Dude

Dell Dude

EOG Master
Camila Georgi $5041
Barbora Krejcikova $12,209
Elena Rybakina $6350
Sofia Kenin $8050
Pinky $10,958
Garbine Muguruza $2200
Iga Swiatek $2200
Karolina Pliskova $4200
Elina Svitolina $6800
Madison Keys $4200
Coco $10,200
Paula Badosa $5100
Ajla Tomljanovic $5100
Simona Halep $100 refund?
 
C

ComptrBob

EOG Master
John Kelly said:
Money never sleeps.
Brilliant market timing by ComptrBob.

Final score: Seattle 84 Los Angeles 74.

Reading a book now in Bob's honor.
The title: How Not To Be Wrong, The Power of Mathematical Thinking.
Click to expand...

For the obscure basketball (WNBA included) games that I look at during tis time of the year, I'll give Bookmaker credit for rapidly posting in-game money lines, but once a game gets too lopsided they quit. They also understandably usually quit when under about 2 minutes to go in the game. OTOH, Pinnacle MLs for in-game can be large, but are sporadic and not refreshed correctly, leaving stale lines posted. Occasionally WH has good lines. For games in progress, its difficult to manually check more than two or three at a time. The Seattle ML I posted turned out to be the best line I saw after a long Sparks run that wiped out the Storm's first half lead (they were around a -1100 favorite pregame.)

I looked at the Mathematical Thinking book as described by Amazon, seems to be pretty interesting even though its written by a numbers theory/algebraist guy . I'll look forward to JK's review.
 
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