JIMMY THE GREEK SAYS

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
Syracuse -28 over Connecticut (bought half):
Perhaps years ago in basketball that this rivalry was popular in the Big East, but certainly times and conditions have changed decades later. Now a part of the ACC, the Syracuse Orangemen (3-0) look to continue their undefeated season when they host the Connecticut (1-2) Huskies out of the AAC from the Carrier Dome. Last week the Orange got off to a positive start in conference play by knocking off Florida St 30-7. Tommy Devito filled in for injured starter Eric Dempsey and completed 11/16 passes for 144 yards and a TD. Dontae Strickland (13-36 2.7 1 TD) added a 13 yard scoring run, as did Devito from 3 yards out to open the second half. Ravian Pierce caught 3 passes for 34 yards including Devito’s 3 yard scoring toss, and Andre Szmyt was successful on 3 chip shot field goals. Syracuse tallied 25 first downs and outgained the Seminoles 441-240. It was a rough afternoon for Deondre Francois (18/36 178 1 INT) who was sacked 5 times by the 'Cuse defense. Francois did account for the only Seminoles TD with a 2 yard scamper midway through the 4th quarter but still recorded negative rushing yardage overall. Meanwhile Connecticut picked up their first win of the season albeit against FCS Rhode Island 56-49. David Pindell (20/27 308 4 TD 1 INT) also ran for 137 yards on 26 carries (5.3) including scoring runs of 6 and 17 yards, the latter getting the Huskies on the board. Heron Maurisseau caught a 74 yard bomb from Pindell but it was Kevin Mensah (25-1445.8 2 TD) who broke a 49 all tie with :57 remaining scampering 22 yards to paydirt for the game winner. JaJuan Lawson (23/34 351 4 TD 1 INT) kept things interesting throughout and found Tyler Burke on a 6 yard scoring pass, Burke’s only reception leading UConn back from a 14 point deficit. Isaiah Coulter (10-156 1 TD) and Aaron Parker (7-128 1 TD) also caught TD passes and combined for 17 catches and 284 receiving yards overall. Lawson (13-85 6.5 2 TD) also ran for 2 scores and was responsible for 6 of the Rams 7 TD’s overall. Both teams combined for 1,123 total yards but also committed 7 turnovers.

Dungey (37/64 477 7 TD 1 INT) left the win against FSU in the second quarter after getting poked in the eye but should be starting this Saturday. If not it will be Devito getting the start. The 6’4" 225 senior in Dungey has great field vision and better than average height sporting a cannon which has gotten him off to a flying start at the helm for the Cuse. Jamal Custis (15-265 3 TD) is his top target and will look to better his 4 catch 56 yard performance against a much more vulnerable pass defense and secondary in UConn. Sean Riley (10-81 1 TD) also had 4 catches last Saturday and possesses blistering speed along the sidelines and corners to make up for his 5’8" frame. The real bulk of the offense comes from a one-two punch in the running game led by Dungey (35-277 7.9 1 TD) who will not waste time in calling his own number in the option, or feeding it off to Moe Neal (57-230 4.0 2 TD) who gained 75 yards in the win over the Seminoles. Strickland (33-109 3.3 5 TD) is more of a red zone short yardage go to specialist as evident of his 5 scores thus far. Syracuse has a top 20 rushing offense in the country averaging 257 ground yards per contest. That does not bode well for a Huskies defense which has allowed nearly 300 yards per game defensing the run, or near the bottom in the nation. Their pass defense is not much better yielding another 375 yards on average, and in their first 3 games the team allows nearly 56 points per contest overall. Billy Crocker, Connecticut’s defensive coordinator hasn’t done much to exemplify the lack of success of a 4 man front as UConn has let opponents control the line of scrimmage as well as operate fast catching personnel off guard. Tajh Herring Wilson and Keyshawn Paul are going to have to do a better job at the corners needing the ability to make plays against opposing offenses.

There never seems to be a lack of confidence for Pindell (58/89 656 6 TD 3 INT) even if last week’s first win came against FCS Rhode Island. The problem is that in his other 2 FBS starts, he puts up points and gains yardage in bunches with the contest seemingly out of reach. Connecticut isn’t going to try and beat the opposition looking to air the game out and playing at a break neck pace, but make no mistake they do have some weapons. They have a balanced receiving core led by Kyle Buss (8-129), Aaron McLean (10-102 2 TD) and Hergy Mayala (11-99 2 TD). This trio could be a mild test for Syuracuse pass defense, which hasn’t exactly stopped the opposition yielding 270 such yards per contest. Pindell, like Dungey is not shy calling his own number with 334 yards, a 5.4 average rush per carry and 3 scores thus far. Plus Pindell also has Mensah (55-285 5.2 2 TD) to carry the bulk of the load as well as provide protection. What will be a huge test is finding similar success against the Orange’s run defense which gives up only 115 yards on the ground per game. The combination of leading tacklers Kielan Winter and Evan Foster, who each had 11 last week could make things rougher for Pindell, who will also have to avoid the quickness and agility of Kendall Coleman who recorded 2 sacks against FSU.

Syracuse may not have reached its peak yet due to a lack of action within the ACC, but that may change once they complete their breeze through the non-conference campaign. Whether it’s Dungey or Devito at the helm, either of the tandem could have a big day exposing UConn’s inability to stop both the run and pass. Connecticut cannot afford to fall behind early, as their tempo does not exemplify run and gun. Syracuse isn’t exactly totally up tempo either, but their presence against the run could create turnovers by the opposition leading to short fields and a smorgasbord of points. While we’re laying a bunch here, all the Orange need to do is avoid any letdown factor, which after last weeks’ confidence building win, will likely not kick in.

I’ll have a second play coming up on Saturday later.
 

scrimmage

What you contemplate you imitate
railbird;n7456580 said:
nice writeup Jimmy, is this yours or somebody else?
Picks are Jimmy's,but the same cookie cutter style week in and week out suggests a writing program is being used.
 

Gabe

Horse racing expert
scrimmage, railbird is plus 51 units and you are minus 91 units. You should show him some respect man.
 

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
scrimmage;n7456584 said:
Picks are Jimmy's,but the same cookie cutter style week in and week out suggests a writing program is being used.

It's hysterical and sad simultaneously that co-cappers after all this time viewing my picks and write-ups still think this way,
 

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
Utah St -10 over Air Force (bought half):
The Aggies (2-1) open up Mountain West Conference play by hosting the Falcons (1-1) at Maverik Stadium tomorrow night. Last week USU crushed FCS Tennessee Tech 73-12 as Jordan Love (21/26 236 2 TD) helped lead an offense that scored back to back games with at least 60 points for the first time in school history. The Aggies rushed for 7 TD’s including 2 by Morian Walker Jr. (5-18 3.6 2 TD), each from a yard out. Utah St ran for 326 total yards led by Darwin Thompson (6-107 17.8 1 TD) which included a 65 yarder highlighting a 28 point second quarter and giving the Aggies all the points they needed. The Aggies outgained the Golden Eagles 611-220, while the defense forced 3 turnovers and limited TTU to just 4 field goals by Nick Madonia. Bailry Fisher and Luke Ward combined to complete just 8/24 passes for 75 yards. Meanwhile, this same Air Force team that comes off a bye fell 2 weeks ago to Florida Atlantic 33-27 but we were fortunate to capture the Falcons as a 9 point dog cashing due to a blocked punt that resulted in a TD with under a minute left.

Love (64/97 714 3 TD 3 INT) has been efficient thus far as has the running game behind him featuring a balanced, hurry-up offense that is averaging 54 points per contest through 3 games. Dax Raymond (11-142) and Jordan Nathan (9-111) are Love’s top targets, with Ron’Quavion Tarver (13-100) rounding out the trio that has not yet caught a TD pass yet. Thompson (22-231 10.5 4 TD) boasts one of the largest yardage per carry averages in the nation with Gerold Bright (29-187 6.4 2 TD) a solid second option in the backfield. Make no mistake this Aggie squad is legit and can go toe to toe with opponents as proof in the opener where they nearly pulled off the upset of Michigan State before falling just short. Air Force shut out a FCS cupcake in Stony Brook in their opener but played from behind virtually all game against FAU. Defense has been their calling card ranking third in the country in opponents rushing yardage, though most of that could be attributed to the 75 they allowed against Stony Brook. There is no polite way to describe the porous pass defense by Air Force two weeks ago versus Florida Atlantic. While the Falcons had their sights set on stopping the Owls All-American running back Devin Singletary, they let first year starter Chris Robinson make swiss cheese of their secondary. Robinson would go for 471 yards against the Falcons, and it’s going to take a much more collective effort to contain Love and company through the air. Kyle Johnson recorded a pick 6 against FAU, and is going to have to be more of a factor as will Lakota Wills, who made 5 tackles and had a sack.

When it comes to AF, you think of ground and pound first with the aerial attack nearly an afterthought. Isaiah Sanders has attempted only 13 passes through 4 games and the Falcons are 4th worst in the country in pass efficiency. However this triple option attack changes the scope of this Falcons offense led by Cole Fagan (34-147 4.3 1 TD). In fact, 6 different backs have scored in the ground game including Sanders through the first 2 games. Arion Worhtman and Nolan Eriksen will also get the bulk of the work as Utah State’s discipline will be tested to either stay at home or anticipate outside pitches. USU has been fairly efficient against both the run and the pass, forcing 10 turnovers thus far. Senior safety Gaje Ferguson returned an interception 40 yards for a touchdown at then No. 11 Michigan State, while senior cornerback Deante Fortenberry returned an interception 75 yards for a touchdown against New Mexico State. Air Force won’t need to utilize their weakness throwing the ball so long as they can capitalize for decent and positive yardage early in downs. They will try to catch Utah State off guard, but will not push the button in tempo due to the fact that the Aggies quick strike especially in the aerial attack.

Air Force put together a decent enough offensive showing in their last game against Florida Atlantic but was carved up through the air. The Aggies have shown no mercy in the last two weeks. The problem for the Falcons is that the Aggies can move the ball through the air and on the ground as evident by their balance in both categories. Air Force is going to have to try and keep the ball away from Utah State. The Aggies have momentum and a high octane offense plus home field advantage in this one. Utah State should come up with the win in this one to start conference play on a positive note.

Best of luck however you play!
YTD 4-2 .667
 

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
Glad I played that one early as the line jumped to as high as 31 in some spots before kickoff. Cuse could have hung 70 but were hit with some costly penalties and a turnover on a near TD.
 

Gabe

Horse racing expert
I had TT over 52. Felt like everything possible happened to make me lose. Could have won it 23 times.

Cuse could have won this game by 48
 

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
And wouldn't you know it, thought I had this one in the books with the Aggies up by 21 at one point. Last TD scored midway through the 4th ended up with a push after Air Force cut the lead to a field goal. Turned out to be a decent day but tough. Plsying early and buyimg down persevered. Back up next week.
 
Top