NHL 2021 Season

WildBill

WildBill

2
sharky99 said:
Thanks tough loss for the sweep in the Blues game as they had 5 goals for the total halfway through the game, oh well onto today, anyone like anything today?
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Play I like best is Florida un5.5, but I have five bets in total so nothing is that strong to me.
 
sharky99

sharky99

EOG Dedicated
Thanks WB for the input, should be a decent one with lots at stake for both teams. They scored 2 goals on a PP and ricochet in the 1st 6 mins last game and stilled stayed Under 5.5.
 
X-Files

X-Files

2
"NEW JERSEY -½ +182 over Philadelphia

7:00 PM EST. Regulation only. Forget about the Flyers for a second, as they are an underachieving team with a weak defense and weak goaltending that isn’t going to the playoffs. Instead, let’s concentrate on the Devils, a team that hasn’t won since April 8th, when they beat Buffalo 6-3. That’s the Devils only win in a month. They have dropped 10 in a row and 14 of their last 15 games.

Over their last 10 games, beginning on April 9th at home against the Penguins, the Devils were taking back prices of +162, +167, +158, +191, +223, +171, +226, +223, +251 and +181 respectively. Today, however, the Devils are only taking back +125 (or thereabouts) and that my friends is really all the information you’re going to need to pull the trigger on the Devils. We’re not going to go into the X’s and O’s nor the metrics, nor the goaltenders, nor the situation. The sportsbooks have done all the work for us by posting a very small takeback on a team that is on one of the worst runs over the past two decades against a team with star power in spades. The Flyers are being offered at what looks like a serious discount. Don't bite. You have the information you need to make the correct wager here and hopefully we don’t get unlucky and lose."

https://www.sportswagers.ca/nhl/picks.php?pid=25229

???
 
X-Files

X-Files

2
X-Files said:
"NEW JERSEY -½ +182 over Philadelphia

7:00 PM EST. Regulation only. Forget about the Flyers for a second, as they are an underachieving team with a weak defense and weak goaltending that isn’t going to the playoffs. Instead, let’s concentrate on the Devils, a team that hasn’t won since April 8th, when they beat Buffalo 6-3. That’s the Devils only win in a month. They have dropped 10 in a row and 14 of their last 15 games.

Over their last 10 games, beginning on April 9th at home against the Penguins, the Devils were taking back prices of +162, +167, +158, +191, +223, +171, +226, +223, +251 and +181 respectively. Today, however, the Devils are only taking back +125 (or thereabouts) and that my friends is really all the information you’re going to need to pull the trigger on the Devils. We’re not going to go into the X’s and O’s nor the metrics, nor the goaltenders, nor the situation. The sportsbooks have done all the work for us by posting a very small takeback on a team that is on one of the worst runs over the past two decades against a team with star power in spades. The Flyers are being offered at what looks like a serious discount. Don't bite. You have the information you need to make the correct wager here and hopefully we don’t get unlucky and lose."

https://www.sportswagers.ca/nhl/picks.php?pid=25229

???
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Win.
 
sharky99

sharky99

EOG Dedicated
yep I can see the Hawks playing loose and playing some overs perhaps down the stretch

Thanks for the plays X-Files

36 Ottawa +0.5 -162 60 minute Regulation Line 1 unit
 
WildBill

WildBill

2
Best lesson is when you are ice cold just pass. It so rarely turns around for at least a few days. I did some handicapping yesterday, didn't feel that great about the card and looking at how this week had gone so far I passed. My two plays were SJ under and Win with a lean to taking the +1.5. Wouldn't you know it they both lost due to EN goals. Passed on the NBA as well and would have gone 2-3. Bets you don't lose are as good as bets you win, maybe even better considering the juice.
 
X-Files

X-Files

2
Home Goals -353 should win tonight, but crazy shit can happen, like if Philly beats NJ 8-0 ;

I kind of lean to GS under 58.5 goals +100. But, then, i seldom bet overs in any sport. So maybe i'm biased.
 
WildBill

WildBill

2
Yeah seems real hard to imagine that happening with some of the huge home chalk today. Car/Bos/Tor combined should be good for at least +5 you'd think.
 
sharky99

sharky99

EOG Dedicated
Carolina -1.5 -138 pinny 1 unit
NJ Team Total Over 2.5 -150 0.5 units pinny
NJ Over 6 -124 0.5 units pinny
Pitt -113 pinny 1 unit
 
sharky99

sharky99

EOG Dedicated
WildBill said:
Yeah seems real hard to imagine that happening with some of the huge home chalk today. Car/Bos/Tor combined should be good for at least +5 you'd think.
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Ya thats some heavy home favs that should get there and all 3 big Favs should be mad since they all lost their last games against tonights opponents last time they played. For betting purposes I took Penguins in 60 min Regulation as a wager but posted full game above so will use the full game for record keeping purposes...
 
sharky99

sharky99

EOG Dedicated
After 2 periods Toronto -2.5 -145 for 0.5 unit as will look for Canucks to run down in the 3rd playing 8 games in 13 nights.
 
sharky99

sharky99

EOG Dedicated
Let's see what Saturday brings with a bunch of games, most likely this game will determine if I have a winning or losing day.

Ottawa +1 -130 60 minute Regulation line pinny 2 units
Ottawa Team Total Over 2.5 -107 pinny 0.5 unit
Ottawa Reserve Line -1.5 +354 bookmaker 0.25 unit
 
sharky99

sharky99

EOG Dedicated
Adding

Dallas-NSH Under 5.5. -133 1 unit bookm
Dallas-NSH Under 1.5 -126 0.5 unit pinny

Colorado Over Team Total 1st period 1.5 +195 0.5 unit bookm
Colorado Team Total Over 3.5 -148 0.5 unit pinny
 
sharky99

sharky99

EOG Dedicated
Monday

46 Ottawa +1 - 60 minute Regulation line -154 2 pinny 1.5 units
47 Toronto Over 5.5 -128 bookmaker 1.5 units
35 Pitt 60 min Regulation line -0.5 -106 pinny 1 unit
35 Pitt Team Total Over 3.5 -105 pinny 0.5 unit
41 Nsh Under 5.5 -124 pinny 0.5 unit
49 Dall Under 5.5 -114 pinny 0.5 unit
38 Carolina Over 5.5 -156 pinny 0.3 unit
 
winkyduck

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
May 5

Rangers +124

If the Rangers can't get motivated to kick the Caps ass after GOON Tom Wilson did what he did the other day and the NHL did what they did - NOTHING - then shame on them.
 
WildBill

WildBill

2
winkyduck said:
May 5

Rangers +110

If the Rangers can't get motivated to kick the Caps ass after GOON Tom Wilson did what he did the other day and the NHL did what they did - NOTHING - then shame on them.
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I thought about this angle, but I'm concerned the Rangers minds may be more focused on the physical revenge than on the game result. If the Caps were smart they'd scratch Wilson to avoid the risk of guys getting hurt with the playoffs closing in.
 
bobodad

bobodad

EOG Addicted
WildBill said:
I thought about this angle, but I'm concerned the Rangers minds may be more focused on the physical revenge than on the game result. If the Caps were smart they'd scratch Wilson to avoid the risk of guys getting hurt with the playoffs closing in.
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It depends on if it is worth risking injury to players for trying to finish first in their division. Pittsburgh is 2 points up, with 2 remaining games at home against Buffalo, and has the tie breaker (more wins). After this Rangers game, Washington plays 2 at home against Philadelphia, and last one against Boston. Currently the Caps are the favourite to take down their division at -135 (Pinnacle is -140). So the book makers think Washington can finish with at least 78 points. This will be a very interesting game tonight.
 
WildBill

WildBill

2
bobodad said:
It depends on if it is worth risking injury to players for trying to finish first in their division. Pittsburgh is 2 points up, with 2 remaining games at home against Buffalo, and has the tie breaker (more wins). After this Rangers game, Washington plays 2 at home against Philadelphia, and last one against Boston. Currently the Caps are the favourite to take down their division at -135 (Pinnacle is -140). So the book makers think Washington can finish with at least 78 points. This will be a very interesting game tonight.
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Wilson is a regular so sitting him might slightly reduce their chances of winning, but if anyone gets hurt from rough stuff that reduces chance of winning in playoffs. I really wouldn't care what place I finished in that division, home ice is worth so little and all the matchups are tough. I mean really, if you are the Caps its pick your poison in who you face so just get there healthy should be the absolute priority. Only thing I could see is if they sit Wilson, maybe they are concerned it sends the wrong message out, but I'd be smart about how I finish the regular season and sitting guys to give them rest is part of that.
 
X-Files

X-Files

2
All 6 home teams are -240 or more favs today. Home Goals is -654 vs Away Goals +484:

https://www.pinnacle.com/en/hockey/matchups

Yesterday the 3 biggest favs lost SU.

With all of the home teams having playoff spots locked up i have to wonder how motivated they'll be. Playoff seeding & home ice would be one possibility. OTOH ideally you want to enter the playoffs healthy & rested. And how much does HIA matter during covid, anyway?
 
FairWarning

FairWarning

Bells Beer Connoisseur
WildBill said:
I thought about this angle, but I'm concerned the Rangers minds may be more focused on the physical revenge than on the game result. If the Caps were smart they'd scratch Wilson to avoid the risk of guys getting hurt with the playoffs closing in.
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What numbers do you like in the Powerball drawing this Saturday?
 
WildBill

WildBill

2
FairWarning said:
What numbers do you like in the Powerball drawing this Saturday?
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The ones they pick lol. I have played Powerball maybe 10 times in my life and most times I get 0 numbers right.

As for the NHL, I have pretty much shut it down for regular season. I think you will see very volatile results right now because of the end of the season coming and how that affects teams and players differently. Your guess is as good as any how much motivation teams are going to show because as much as people are talking about seeding matter, I don't believe teams really think about it the way you might believe. If someone says I'm betting a team because I think they want X seeding I'm very dubious on it. Teams figured out a long time ago home ice in the playoffs is worth very little and even less this year without capacity crowds. Its better to rest veterans and test out new combos and young players right now to see if you can find something that works. Not quite as lacking in motivation as exhibition games, but unless you are fighting for a spot its far from full desire to get a result.
 
choslamshe

choslamshe

EOG Master
Does anyone actually believe the Wild are a threat? Their 33-14-5 record might be the most misleading with only a +27 goal differential.
 
FairWarning

FairWarning

Bells Beer Connoisseur
choslamshe said:
Does anyone actually believe the Wild are a threat? Their 33-14-5 record might be the most misleading with only a +27 goal differential.
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As always in these playoffs - health, goalie, special teams. I would look at the last 10-15 games and see who is excelling (or failing), and bet appropriately.
 
WildBill

WildBill

2
choslamshe said:
Does anyone actually believe the Wild are a threat? Their 33-14-5 record might be the most misleading with only a +27 goal differential.
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Not really, that's why I think the Avs are coasting into second right now. They would rather play the Wild than the Blues.
 
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