The EOG 500 (Free chance to win $700)

[Woodrow Wilson]

NBA
Celtics, Heat, Grizzlies, Suns
Heat, Grizzlies
Heat

NHL
Avalanche, Flames, Maple Leafs, Rangers
Flames, Maple Leafs
Flames

EOG, Bet DSI, and JK, thanks for this excellent contest.

Thanks to Computer Bob, as he's likely doing the scoring.

Also thanks to Dell Dude and Toby Tyler.

 

[John Kelly]

Woody is in.

 

[John Kelly]

LIST OF CONTESTANTS:

1. WADE

2. BOMZEE

3. CHOSLAMSHE

4. TEXED

5. RAILBIRD

6. TRYTRYTRY

7. BOBODAD

8. PUCKHANDLER

9. TOBYTYLER

10. VEGASVIC

11. PALEFACE

12. FIFTY CINT

13. LOUISVILLEKID

14. JIMMYTHEGREEK

15. JB777

16. SMARTZ

17. WACO

18. DELL DUDE

19. NEWTON0038

20. PRO ANALYSER

21. BIGDEEMER

22. PATRICKJFORSYTH

23. NEVERAGAIN

24. BROCK

25. ADC34

26. SHARKY99

27. DON QUIXOTE

28. BISHQQQ

29. VIEJO DINOSAUR

30. COMPTRBOB

31. BRAYDEN11

32. NOWSHESMYRUCA

33. ASPORTSGUY

34. JAMMER

35. WOODROW WILSON

 

[John Kelly]

Contest window closes in one hour.

 

[John Kelly]

---Contest closed---

 

[Dell Dude]

Guilty please note. In order to get paid $100 by Dell Dude, must post crypto address of LTC or BTC or reasonable other. Not raiders Ape coin. I will pay no later than 2nd Friday after EOG champion declared by JK and post confirmation blockchain. Strictly by the James Comey book.

Kinky and kane ineligible. Should either win, $200 next contest.

 

[Woodrow Wilson]

How many among the 35 deep contest roster have read Dell Dude's payment rules?

My guess is 5 or less.

 

[Alldaycapper34]

Maple Leafs, Hurricanes, Avalanche, Oilers
Maple Leafs, Oilers
Oilers Champions

 

[Alldaycapper34]

I thought we had until today, my bad

 

[Dell Dude]

That's ok. Anything goes. Card stands!

 

[Abundy]

What are the odds of the winner getting the 700.

 

[Viejo Dinosaur]

What are the odds of the winner getting the 700.

Somewhere around 100%

 

[Dell Dude]

Dell Dude's selections.

Bucks, Celtics, Suns, Grizzlies
Bucks, Suns
Suns

Panthers, Lightning, Avalanche, Flames
Panthers, Avalanche
Panthers

I had to copy a moran moran moran. Bucks and Celtics are playing each other second round!

 

[Dell Dude]

Without checking, I'm sure he fucked up NHL too.

 

[NowshesmyRuca]

I had to copy a moran moran moran. Bucks and Celtics are playing each other second round!

I'm sure it's totally JKs fault.

 

[Brayden11]

What are the odds of the winner getting the 700.

As long as the winner doesn’t request a Western Union payment, I’d say it’s 100%

 

[pro analyser]

As long as the winner doesn’t request a Western Union payment, I’d say it’s 100%

How about turkish lira or rubles.

 

[ComptrBob]

Without checking, I'm sure he fucked up NHL too.

Correct.

As I understand it, NHL Round 2 matchups stay within the division so only the 2 wild cards have a chance to cross division borders. 6 entries have West division conflicts and 4 have East conflicts.

For the NBA ,3 have the both the Celtics & Bucks and 1 has both the Griz & Warriors. Conflicts occurred only for the first 18 entrants, none later. Try3, Dell Dude and jb777 are the only ones with 2 conflicts.

 

[Dell Dude]

I concede for myself and trytrytry.

 

[Dell Dude]

Had I played my own card:

Bucks Beard Cuban Furry
Beard Cuban
Beard

Leafs Wild
Leafs

Not sure on the others.

 

[ComptrBob]

As a baseline for curiosity's sake, we can compute the EV (expected value) from estimated betting lines (Will Hill, giving win probability) of each capper's picks (total of 30 points),
lines as of April 30, conflicts not explicitly evaluated:

Entrant EV
ComptrBob 12.2
NowshesmyRuca 12.0
asportsguy 11.5
Wade 11.4
Jammer 11.2
Closlamshe 11.1
BishQQQ 10.8
Big Deemer 10.6
Dell Dude 10.6
Neveragain 10.5
Toby Tyler 10.5
Brayden11 10.5
jimmythegreek 10.4
fifty cint 10.4
Paleface 10.4
Railbird 10.3
Try3 10.2
Bobodad 10.1
Don Quixote 10.1
sharky99 9.2
newton0038 9.0
pro analyser 8.8
smartz 8.8
Vegas Vic 8.7
Woodrow Wilson 8.5
Puckhandler 8.3
PatrickJForsyth 8.0
Brock 8.0
Viejo Dinosaur 7.9
louisvillekid 7.3
waco 7.1
Texed 6.9
Bomzee 6.7
jb777 6.5
AllDayCapper34 5.4

 

[Brayden11]

Had I played my own card:

Bucks Beard Cuban Furry
Beard Cuban
Beard

Leafs Wild
Leafs

Not sure on the others.

Maybe you withdraw from the FREE CONTEST since it causing you a lot of anxiety?

 

[trytrytry]

I concede for myself and trytrytry.

im no longer the greatest contest player ever, I jumped jumped jumped the shark on to other things. sorry pal

 

[Dell Dude]

 

[Dell Dude]

Isn't there supposed to be a shit May contest?

 

[John Kelly]

Isn't there supposed to be a shit May contest?

Supposed to be?

No.

 

[pro analyser]

If I could pick today I would take Dallas over Phoniex, Goldenst to win the west. Boston to win the East. Don't think Phil can win it all with Embieds injury. Same with Booker injury. Injuries for posting late.

Knew I should have waited.

 

[John Kelly]

Knew I should have waited.

One of the beauties of the contest format was timing your submission.

A lot like the everyday betting world.

Sometimes it's not about who to bet, but when to bet 'em.

 

[John Kelly]

Knew I should have waited.

I expected more from a backgammon champion.

 

[Viejo Dinosaur]

I expected more from a backgammon champion.

Did someone mention backgammon?

 

[John Kelly]

Did someone mention backgammon?

PRO ANALYSER v VIEJO DINOSAUR.

Would be eager to watch the showdown.

Not sure who the favorite is, but I know PRO ANALYSER has won some high-level backgammon tournaments in the past.

 

[pro analyser]

Did someone mention backgammon?

would you like to play either in Las Vegas or on backgammon galaxy

 

[John Kelly]

would you like to play

Uh oh.

Make PRO ANALYSER a big fave.

 

[John Kelly]

Don't do it, VD.

Don't do it.

Haha.

 

[pro analyser]

$1,000,000 BOUNTY UP FOR GRABS​

The 2022 WSOP $1,000 buy-in Million Dollar Bounty is a brand new event on the World Series of Poker schedule and one that should deliver in massive fashion. The tournament has a mystery bounty format, with the biggest bounty on offer guaranteed to be worth $1,000,000. The tournament has four starting flights July 2-4, with the fourth and final flight being a turbo flight. According to the event’s structure sheet, there will be standard payouts on Day 1 and bounties will begin on Day 2.

 

[John Kelly]

VD has gone silent.

Can't say I blame him.

 

[Viejo Dinosaur]

Pro analyser would be a huge favorite….but I would give him a good run….

Jeff Whitelaw would give him a good run….15 years ago I would have had a chance ".

 

[pro analyser]

Pro analyser would be a huge favorite….but I would give him a good run….

Jeff Whitelaw would give him a good run….15 years ago I would have had a chance ".

We might duel in the iron man some month, if John Kelly can get Dsi to add the $500. There your probably the favorite,but I like added money to equalize, and a good challenge.

 

[Viejo Dinosaur]

We might duel in the iron man some month, if John Kelly can get Dsi to add the $500. There your probably the favorite,but I like added money to equalize, and a good challenge.

Never been to backgammon galaxy…have a feeling that you are reeling me into a can’t win situation….lol

 

[pro analyser]

Not really, only played on backgammon galaxy a year. Mostly play for fun. Everybody there afraid to play for money. Even the good players. Definitely can improve your game as your errors are recorded and you can see your mistakes to improve. Not much money in backgammon anymore as most included myself switched to poker. Played a tourney at the Gold Nugget this past April, with suprising good results after not really playing for 15 years. Just have natural talent for backgammon,wish I did in poker.