2020 AFC Championship Game

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
#1
Kansas City opened a 7.5-point favorite (Westgate) over Tennessee with a total of 52.

Kickoff time is Sunday afternoon at 3:05 ET.

Lean to the 'dog but I don't follow the NFL like some here at EOG.
 
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John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
#3
Hmmm...

Side and total feels correlated here.

Dog and under OR favorite and over.

Nevada sports books offer 13/5 on all four possible combos.
 

Valuist

EOG Dedicated
#4
Titans a great story last two weeks but having your defense on the field for 92 plays on Saturday likely is going to be a problem next week vs KC.
 

TheGuesser

EOG Dedicated
#7
John Kelly said:
Can Kansas City's defense tackle Derrick Henry?

Can Titans defense stop KC?
No and No. But the 1st no should lead to a Tenn cover and under as they limit KC touches. If I'm Tenn, all I do is run, and run and run, and then run some more. Unless it's 3rd and 15 or more I run. Unless you fall 3 scores behind, I run. Attack KC in its weakest area over and over. Try to take away their heart, like Houston did, until O'brien performed open heart surgery and put the heart back in the body with a remarkably stupid decision. .
 
#9
More or less, one has to believe KC prospered off of bullshit to get back in the game.

I really doubt one can deny the inevitable that if Bill O Brien punted as a normal human head coach would and Texans defense halted KC once again, Houston would be the team moving on. KC wouldnt have been given the confidence. That sequence or events to get within striking distance again 24 to 21 was the biggest crock of shit. Should have absolutely never of happened.

I would really like to believe Vrabel has a higher IQ than O'Brien.
 

kane

EOG master
#11
For the Titans to reach the SB, they'd have to win consecutive road games at NE, at Bal, and at KC, don't see that happening
 
#12
does anyone have information when sportsbooks give "free" half points on key numbers like 3 and 7?

is this a tease to allow people to bet 7.5 for "free" instead of setting the line at 7 and making people buy to 7.5?
 
#13
For the Titans to reach the SB, they'd have to win consecutive road games at NE, at Bal, and at KC, don't see that happening
well they won on the road week 17 at houston.

people were using this same logic when they played baltimore this week. winning three straight road games wasn't suppose to happen.

having a 6'3 247 pound running back to ride during this win streak has worked out well. 588 yards for him in the last three weeks....if you state you like KC because Henry is tired I'll follow that logic.
 
#14
John Kelly said:
Can Kansas City's defense tackle Derrick Henry?


No and No. But the 1st no should lead to a Tenn cover and under as they limit KC touches. If I'm Tenn, all I do is run, and run and run, and then run some more. Unless it's 3rd and 15 or more I run. Unless you fall 3 scores behind, I run. Attack KC in its weakest area over and over. Try to take away their heart, like Houston did, until O'brien performed open heart surgery and put the heart back in the body with a remarkably stupid decision. .
I remember a SNF game between KC and Indy and all the Colts did was run run run they wore down that Chiefs defense and basically dominated the game .. Titans have the run game to wear down that Chief defense .. I dont know if the Titans defense can slow down Mahomes and company but i thing the Titans defense is not getting enough credit .. it seemed like it was a close game against New England but they dominated that game in the trenches just like they dominated both sides of the ball against the Ravens .. Titans D has been very impressive
 

kane

EOG master
#15
well they won on the road week 17 at houston.

people were using this same logic when they played baltimore this week. winning three straight road games wasn't suppose to happen.

having a 6'3 247 pound running back to ride during this win streak has worked out well. 588 yards for him in the last three weeks....if you state you like KC because Henry is tired I'll follow that logic.
I have a future on KC to win the AFC at +300, so all I need is a Chiefs win, the cover doesn't matter to me. I don't know if Henry will run out of gas, but I can't see the Titans winning this game if Tannehill throws for 70 yards like he's done the past two weeks
 

kane

EOG master
#16
I remember a SNF game between KC and Indy and all the Colts did was run run run they wore down that Chiefs defense and basically dominated the game .. Titans have the run game to wear down that Chief defense .. I dont know if the Titans defense can slow down Mahomes and company but i thing the Titans defense is not getting enough credit .. it seemed like it was a close game against New England but they dominated that game in the trenches just like they dominated both sides of the ball against the Ravens .. Titans D has been very impressive
The Pats offense has been bad all year, and the Ravens had 29 first downs and gained 530 yards of offense, the Titans defense hasn't been as impressive as the scores would indicate
 
#17
I have a future on KC to win the AFC at +300, so all I need is a Chiefs win, the cover doesn't matter to me. I don't know if Henry will run out of gas, but I can't see the Titans winning this game if Tannehill throws for 70 yards like he's done the past two weeks
well keeping mahomes on the sidelines is going to mean 35 carries for Henry. Lots of 3rd and 7 run plays to shorten this game.

plus andy reid's genius mind has less power when preparing for 6 days instead of his masterful extra time.

good luck with your bet though. strong number you got there.
 
#20
It can happen I guess.

But as I wrote before I dont think Tennessee will be able to keep up with KC.

And KC only needs a few stops.

I know they were better defenses, but Ten punted I think 6 times vs Bal and also 6 times vs NE

They do that against KC, they are in trouble.

If Bal can gain 530 yards on Ten, so can KC if needed (actually that is exactly how many they had the first time they played, lol)
 
#21
It can happen I guess.

But as I wrote before I dont think Tennessee will be able to keep up with KC.

And KC only needs a few stops.

I know they were better defenses, but Ten punted I think 6 times vs Bal and also 6 times vs NE

They do that against KC, they are in trouble.

If Bal can gain 530 yards on Ten, so can KC if needed (actually that is exactly how many they had the first time they played, lol)



did you think the giants in 2007 would win 3 on the road and beat NE as a + 9.5 dog ?
 
#26
Yes it's been done before, but winning at NE, at Bal, and at KC is asking a lot

agree not easy. The giants that year in 2007 had to go to tampa then to dallas then the championship +8 at green bay .the 4th game to superbowl vs NE as a big dog


i want Tenn since i have them 75-1 but it probably won't happen
 

kane

EOG master
#28
agree not easy. The giants that year in 2007 had to go to tampa then to dallas then the championship +8 at green bay .the 4th game to superbowl vs NE as a big dog


i want Tenn since i have them 75-1 but it probably won't happen
If I remember correctly the Giants also had a dominating defense, that isn't something the Titans possess
 
#30
Plus the Titans played two physical teams( none more so than the Ravens)

Its gonna be tough.... could happen I guess, but will be tough.

I would imagine KC will blitzing on the every down and hope to get "lucky"
 
#32
the raiders won as a wild card i think BUT that was before they went to extended playoff. It's been a long time I don't remember details.
 
#40
KC was the favorite. I had Tenn that game and remember it well - it was Mahomes first game back and the line shot up.

correct KC was the favorite. If you had DraftKings it closed at -6.5 ...............Cris and many other offshore shops had -5.5... Vegas had a mix of -5 , -5.5 and -6
 
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