2023

[smartz]

Will be posting as unit risked this year

NFL

2.2*Steelers -2.5 -120
2.2*Ravens +7

MMA

1/14/23
1*Dan Ige -115

1/21/23
5*Glover Teixiera +108

2/11/23
1.1*Parlay (Jun Yong Park W/Islam Makhachev) -110

Futures (To Win Amount):
10*Alexander Volkanovski To be Featherweight Champion on 31st December 2023 -135
1.5*Petr Yan to To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +700
1*Islam Makhachev To be Champion on 31st December 2023 -120
0.5*Kamaru Usman To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +250
0.5*Manel Kape To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +10000
0.25*Curtis Blaydes To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +2000
0.25*Rafael Fiziev To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +5000
0.25*Arman Tsarukyan To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +5000
0.1*Jailton Almeida To be Light HW Champion on 31st December 2023 +10000
0.1*Sean O'Malley To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +2200
0.1*Alexa Grasso To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +2800
0.1*Taila Santos To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +1100
0.1*Ryan Spann To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +4500

 

[John Kelly]

Best of luck to SMARTZ.

 

[smartz]

0.5*Parlay (Raoni Barcelos +440/Gilbert Burns -350) +594

 

[NowshesmyRuca]

Will be posting as unit risked this year

NFL

2.2*Steelers -2.5 -120
2.2*Ravens +7

MMA

1/14/23
1*Dan Ige -115

1/21/23
5*Glover Teixiera +108

2/11/23
1.1*Parlay (Jun Yong Park W/Islam Makhachev) -110

Futures:
10*Alexander Volkanovski To be Featherweight Champion on 31st December 2023 -135
1.5*Petr Yan to To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +700
1*Islam Makhachev To be Champion on 31st December 2023 -120
0.5*Kamaru Usman To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +250
0.5*Manel Kape To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +10000
0.25*Curtis Blaydes To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +2000
0.25*Rafael Fiziev To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +5000
0.25*Arman Tsarukyan To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +5000
0.1*Jailton Almeida To be Light HW Champion on 31st December 2023 +10000
0.1*Sean O'Malley To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +2200
0.1*Alexa Grasso To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +2800
0.1*Taila Santos To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +1100
0.1*Ryan Spann To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +4500

Am I reading that right thats a 10 unit play?

 

[kane]

BOL with this thread Smartz

 

[smartz]

Am I reading that right thats a 10 unit play?

Yes. Really feel this is a very safe +EV bet. Rules require current champion to defend at least once or no action. Interim belts do not count. Volkanovski will be fighting Makhachev next for the Lightweight belt. His featherweight belt is not up for grabs. So realistically he has to go 1-0 this year because there will most likely only be time for one more fight after the Makhachev bout in February whether he wins or loses. He has not fought more than 2x per year other than 2018 and volume typically lessens once guys get the belt. I expect a long layoff after this bout because he will have to get his weight back in check as well.

The next guy in line is Yair Rodriguez. Volk is currently lined at -500 on BOL vs Yair in the future matchups. In my mind I am getting -135 for -500. Would not be surprised if Volkanovski closes in the -450-550 range. Could exceed that if he beats Makhachev. Obviously he could end up fighting someone else because of injury/hotstreaks etc, but I really can't find a name that he would be south of -300 against except Max Holloway. And Holloway is not getting that fight after he has already loss 3 in a row to Volk. Volk will be monstrous favorite against Arnold Allen, Josh Emmett, etc. Worst part about this bet is your money is tied up for a year. If not for that I'd wager much more.

Line is currently -165 at DK. Its north of -220 at other books, not sure what rules are at other books besides DK though.

 

[smartz]

NFL

2.2*Steelers -2.5 -120
2.2*Ravens +7
1.1*Bears +7

MMA

1/14/23
1*Dan Ige -115
0.5*Parlay (Raoni Barcelos +440/Gilbert Burns -350) +594

1/21/23
5*Glover Teixiera +108

2/11/23
1.1*Parlay (Jun Yong Park W/Islam Makhachev) -110

Futures (To Win Amount):
10*Alexander Volkanovski To be Featherweight Champion on 31st December 2023 -135
1.5*Petr Yan to To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +700
1*Islam Makhachev To be Champion on 31st December 2023 -120
0.5*Kamaru Usman To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +250
0.5*Manel Kape To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +10000
0.25*Curtis Blaydes To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +2000
0.25*Rafael Fiziev To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +5000
0.25*Arman Tsarukyan To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +5000
0.1*Jailton Almeida To be Light HW Champion on 31st December 2023 +10000
0.1*Sean O'Malley To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +2200
0.1*Alexa Grasso To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +2800
0.1*Taila Santos To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +1100
0.1*Ryan Spann To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +4500

 

[smartz]

1*Parlay (Bills ML, Bengals ML, Georgia ML) -128
1*Georgia -12.5

 

[smartz]

Damar Hamlin situation really killed this Balt #.

NFL

2.2*Steelers -2.5 -120
0.5*Parlay (Steelers ML, Bills ML, Bengals ML) +150
2.2*Ravens +7
1.45*Parlay (Bengals ML, Packers ML) -145
1.45*Parlay (Bengals ML, Broncos ML) -145
1*Parlay (Bills ML, Bengals ML, Georgia ML) -128

CFB

1.1*Georgia -12.5

 

[smartz]

NFL
[1-2] -1.3
ML [1-0] +0.75

2.2*Steelers -2.5 -120 W
0.5*Parlay (Steelers ML, Bills ML, Bengals ML) +150 W
2.2*Ravens +7 L
1.45*Parlay (Bengals ML W Packers ML) -145
1.45*Parlay (Bengals ML W, Broncos ML) -145
1.1* Bears +7 L
2.5*Commanders +7 +100


CFB

1.1*Georgia -12.5
1*Parlay (Bills ML W, Bengals ML W, Georgia ML) -128

 

[smartz]

NFL
[1-2] -1.3
ML [1-0] +0.75

1.45*Parlay (Bengals ML W Packers ML) -145
1.45*Parlay (Bengals ML W, Broncos ML) -145
2.5*Commanders +7 +100
0.5*Broncos -205 "Live"

 

[smartz]

1.1*Lions +5

 

[smartz]

NFL
[2-2] +1.20
ML [3-0] +2.25

1.45*Parlay (Bengals ML W Packers ML) -145
1.45*Parlay (Bengals ML W, Broncos ML) -145 W
2.5*Commanders +7 +100 W
0.5*Broncos -205 "Live" W
1.1*Lions +5

 

[smartz]

NFL
[2-2] +1.20
ML [3-0] +2.25

1.45*Parlay (Bengals ML W, Packers ML) -145
1.1*Lions +5

CFB

1.1*Georgia -12.5
1*Parlay (Bills ML W, Bengals ML W, Georgia ML) -128

 

[smartz]

0.55*Lions +5.5

 

[smartz]

Live

0.5*Under 50.5 Lions/Pack -115

 

[smartz]

NFL
[5-2] +3.20
ML [3-1] +0.80

1.45*Parlay (Bengals ML W, Packers ML) -145 L
0.55*Lions +5.5 W
0.5*Under 50.5 Lions/Pack "Live" -115 W
1.1*Lions +5 W

 

[smartz]

MMA

1/14/23
1*Dan Ige -115
0.5*Parlay (Raoni Barcelos +440/Gilbert Burns -350) +594

1/21/23
5*Glover Teixiera +108
1.45*Parlay (C. Stamann -315, G. Burns -345) -145

2/11/23
1.1*Parlay (Jun Yong Park W/Islam Makhachev) -110

Futures (To Win Amount):
10*Alexander Volkanovski To be Featherweight Champion on 31st December 2023 -135
1.5*Petr Yan to To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +700
1*Islam Makhachev To be Champion on 31st December 2023 -120
0.5*Kamaru Usman To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +250
0.5*Manel Kape To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +10000
0.25*Curtis Blaydes To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +2000
0.25*Rafael Fiziev To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +5000
0.25*Arman Tsarukyan To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +5000
0.1*Jailton Almeida To be Light HW Champion on 31st December 2023 +10000
0.1*Sean O'Malley To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +2200
0.1*Alexa Grasso To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +2800
0.1*Taila Santos To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +1100
0.1*Ryan Spann To be Champion on 31st December 2023 +4500

 

[smartz]

NFL
[5-2] +3.20
ML [3-1] +0.80

1.2*Chargers -120

 

[smartz]

MMA

1/14/23
1*Dan Ige -115
0.5*Parlay (Raoni Barcelos +440/Gilbert Burns -350) +594
0.25*Parlay (Raoni Barcelos +500/C. Stamann -315) +690
0.25*Raoni Barcelos +500

1/21/23
5*Glover Teixiera +108
1.45*Parlay (C. Stamann -315, G. Burns -345) -145

2/11/23
1.1*Parlay (Jun Yong Park W/Islam Makhachev) -110

 

[smartz]

NFL
[5-2] +3.20
ML [3-1] +0.80

1.2*Chargers -120
1.1*Seahawks +10

 

[smartz]

1.1*Chargers pk

 

[smartz]

CFB
[1-0] +1.0
ML [1-0] +0.78

1.1*Georgia -12.5 W
1*Parlay (Bills ML W, Bengals ML W, Georgia ML) -128 W

 

[smartz]

MMA

1/14/23
1*Dan Ige -115
0.5*Parlay (Raoni Barcelos +440/Gilbert Burns -350) +594
0.25*Parlay (Raoni Barcelos +500/C. Stamann -315) +690
0.25*Raoni Barcelos +500
0.5*Parlay (Over 2.5 Cachoeira/Eubanks +135, Javid Basharat -350) +202

1/21/23
5*Glover Teixiera +108
1.45*Parlay (C. Stamann -315, G. Burns -345) -145

2/11/23
1.1*Parlay (Jun Yong Park W/Islam Makhachev) -110

 

[smartz]

NFL
[5-2] +3.20
ML [3-1] +0.80

1.2*Chargers -120
1.1*Chargers pk
1.1*Seahawks +10
1.1*Dallas -2.5 -115

 

[smartz]

MMA

1/14/23
1*Dan Ige -115
0.75*Punahele Soriano -150
0.875*Punahele Soriano Finish Only -175
0.5*Parlay (Raoni Barcelos +440/Gilbert Burns -350) +594
0.25*Parlay (Raoni Barcelos +500/C. Stamann -315) +690
0.25*Raoni Barcelos +500
0.5*Parlay (Over 2.5 Cachoeira/Eubanks +135, Javid Basharat -350) +202

1/21/23
5*Glover Teixiera +108
1.45*Parlay (C. Stamann -315, G. Burns -345) -145

2/11/23
1.1*Parlay (Jun Yong Park W/Islam Makhachev) -110

 

[smartz]

NFL
[5-2] +3.20
ML [3-1] +0.80

1.2*Chargers -120
1.1*Chargers pk
2*Parlay (Bills ML, Bengals ML) -245
1.1*Seahawks +10
1.1*Dallas -2.5 -115
0.6*Teaser (Bengals -2, Jaguars +8) -120

 

[smartz]

MMA

1/14/23
1*Dan Ige -115
0.5*SGP(Dan Ige, Over 419.5Secs) +155
0.125*Dan Ige Round 3 +1300
0.75*Punahele Soriano -150
0.875*Punahele Soriano Finish Only -175
1*SGP (Ketlen Vieira, Over 299.5Secs) +105
0.5*Parlay (Raoni Barcelos +440/Gilbert Burns -350) +594
0.25*Parlay (Raoni Barcelos +500/C. Stamann -315) +690
0.25*Raoni Barcelos +500
0.125*Fight to End by Split/Majority Decision +400
0.10*Raoni Barcelos by Split/Majority Decision +3500
0.5*Parlay (Over 2.5 Cachoeira/Eubanks +135, Javid Basharat -350) +202
0.5*SGP (Sean Strickland, Over 599.5Secs) +185

1/21/23
5*Glover Teixiera +108
1.45*Parlay (C. Stamann -315, G. Burns -345) -145

2/11/23
1.1*Parlay (Jun Yong Park W/Islam Makhachev) -110

 

[smartz]

MMA

1/14/23
1*Dan Ige -115
0.5*SGP(Dan Ige, Over 419.5Secs) +155
0.125*Dan Ige Round 3 +1300
0.75*Punahele Soriano -150
0.875*Punahele Soriano Finish Only -175
1*SGP (Ketlen Vieira, Over 299.5Secs) +105
0.5*Parlay (Raoni Barcelos +440/Gilbert Burns -350) +594
0.25*Parlay (Raoni Barcelos +500/C. Stamann -315) +690
0.25*Raoni Barcelos +500
0.125*Fight to End by Split/Majority Decision +400
0.10*Raoni Barcelos by Split/Majority Decision +3500
0.5*Parlay (Over 2.5 Cachoeira/Eubanks +135, Javid Basharat -350) +202
0.5*SGP (Sean Strickland, Over 599.5Secs) +185
0.25*Jimmy Flick by Submission +450

1/21/23
5*Glover Teixiera +108
1.45*Parlay (C. Stamann -315, G. Burns -345) -145

2/11/23
1.1*Parlay (Jun Yong Park W/Islam Makhachev) -110

 

[smartz]

 

[smartz]

 

[smartz]

Eubanks misses weight. Fight cancelled

 

[smartz]

 

[smartz]

LFA

1.15*Parlay(Dylan Budka -230, Cody Stamann -320) -115
1*Parlay (Ary Farias -180, Cody Stamann -320) +104

 

[smartz]

NFL
[5-2] +3.20
ML [3-1] +0.80

1.2*Chargers -120
1.1*Chargers pk
2*Parlay (Bills ML, Bengals ML) -245
1.1*Seahawks +10
1.1*Dallas -2.5 -115
0.6*Teaser (Bengals -2, Jaguars +8) -120
1.2*Teaser (Jaguars +8.5, Dallas +3.5) -120

 

[smartz]

 

[smartz]

Live

0.125*Fiore +700

 

[smartz]

Live

0.5*Basharat -375

 

[smartz]

Win or lose this Raoni line is absurd.

 

[smartz]

Well Umar covered his price