Can't wait...

[choslamshe]

To fade the Packers when games matter. Will coast into the playoffs with a 12-4 record but their defense is much worse than they hold up statistically. Any team that can force pressure, only Adams can separate himself and the rest of their receiving core wouldn't exist in the league if not for number 12.

 

[John Kelly]

No energy, no emotion in Green Bay's 24-20 victory over Jacksonville.

Simply part of the 2020 NFL handicapping landscape.

Teams cannot rely on an electric home crowd for motivational juice.

Up next for the Packers: A road game in Indianapolis where the Colts are a 1.5-point favorite (Westgate).

 

[TheGuesser]

No energy, no emotion in Green Bay's 24-20 victory over Jacksonville.

Simply part of the 2020 NFL handicapping landscape.

Teams cannot rely on an electric home crowd for motivational juice.

Up next for the Packers: A road game in Indianapolis where the Colts are a 1.5-point favorite (Westgate).

Packers in a Titan sandwich for Cots. Wonder which game they'll care about more? Advance line was GB -2. Don't see anything that caused a 4 point shift?

 

[Sportsrmylife]

The weather conditions factored in greatly in how the game was called for the Packers.

Played it close to the vest the entire game.

They simply played it to get the win instead of worrying about margin or winning comfortably.

I like the set up with them inside against a Philip Rivers offense where he is coming off his best performance of the year.

The Rivers we know and love will try to show he has something left against Rodgers and force throws that will result in a minimum of two picks.

 

[jimmythegreek]

Packers in a Titan sandwich for Cots. Wonder which game they'll care about more? Advance line was GB -2. Don't see anything that caused a 4 point shift?

Either way, looking ahead is grounds for trouble.

 

[TheGuesser]

The weather conditions factored in greatly in how the game was called for the Packers.

Played it close to the vest the entire game.

They simply played it to get the win instead of worrying about margin or winning comfortably.

I like the set up with them inside against a Philip Rivers offense where he is coming off his best performance of the year.

The Rivers we know and love will try to show he has something left against Rodgers and force throws that will result in a minimum of two picks.

GB didn't play their starting CB's either. Hopefully one or both will be back to get some from Philly Riv.

 

[FairWarning]

The bigger problem for GB is they cannot stop the run. That is Indy’s strength. The extra three days of rest doesn’t hurt Indy either.

 

[WildBill]

Can't believe the total on this one, feels like one that should be in the mid-50s. Colts don't have enough coverage depth when Pack goes 3 and 4 wide, and the Pack gets gashed badly on the ground.

 

[John Kelly]

Total opened 48.5 at Westgate, now 52.

 

[TheGuesser]

Up to Indy -3. I truly don't get it. But then I didn't get Indy -1.5 @ Tenn either. I respect Indy, but not THAT much, and this is a bad spot for them. Will probably go overboard, in more ways than one, on this.

 

[WildBill]

Indy -3 seems way off. Not just the spot, but their schedule. They really haven't beaten a team at Green Bay's level yet and only played one tougher opponent in Baltimore. The Titans win was a bit fluky too, Tannehill has not played a clunker like that in a long time. Guess some may think its a sign of an improving Colts D, but I think it was just one outlier game. Wouldn't be surprised though when the public looks at the games later in the week and sees this line, seems like an instabet for many in the public getting Rodgers plus points so it may drift back down to under 3.

 

[raycabino]

Packers in a Titan sandwich for Cots. Wonder which game they'll care about more? Advance line was GB -2. Don't see anything that caused a 4 point shift?

Possibly not but keep in mind that a move from -2 to +2 isn't a real 4 point move being that you are coming off of weak numbers and going through weak numbers. To break it down a little more the +2 lands (push rate) about 2% the +1 lands about 2.5% and the 0 lands about .3% (those percentages/push rates are up for debate but they are certainly within .2 to .5%). So a move from -2 to +2 you get half the +2 since you are on it so 1%, all the +1 because you are going through it which is 2.5% more, through the 0 so call it another .3% (tie games only) through the -1 another 2.5%, and on to the 2 another 1% since you only get half of that 2 as well being you land on it as apposed to going through it. So if you add that up you get about 7.3% (give or take 1% assumed different push rates) worth of point movement. To put that into perspective the -3 is worth/lands roughly 9% therefore a move from -2.5 to -3.5 (9%) is actually a bigger move than a move from +2 to -2 (7.3%). Not debating if the move is correct or not as apposed to just shedding some light on what that move really represents.