I'm on Dobbins under 12.5 carries tonight. Yeah, he might get hot and the Cowboys run defense has been terrible. But, factor in Lamar 10ish carries, Ingram will get a series or two worth and Gus Edwards could still get a touch or two, or maybe a series. I think the Ravens will have to carry the ball 30+ times for him to get there and while possible, Dallas has had enough time to prepare for this matchup and should put forth a better effort against the run. Knowing that the Ravens need about 30 carries, factor in then an unexpected punt or two by the Ravens and it becomes very tough for him to reach.
Look at me, I just figured out the entire game script. Let's see...haha.
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Some fantasy takes here from Paul Charchian:
J.K. Dobbins
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BALDAL — 7.25/10
J.K. Dobbins returns from the COVID list to face a Dallas run defense that has been getting repeatedly blistered. The Cowboys have allowed four of the last six starting backs they have faced to pile up at least 115 rushing yards. They have given up the fifth-most fantasy points and second-most rushing yards to the position. For Dobbins, it's all about volume. Prior to his COVID designation, Dobbins was coming off a season-high 17-touch game. Does that continue with Mark Ingram and Gus Edwards healthy? In the two games where Dobbins saw at least 15+ touches, he averaged 103 combo yards and played 65% of the offensive snaps. – Jeff Maas (@manoflamancha)
Lamar Jackson
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BALDAL — 8.75/10
UPDATE: SUNDAY MEDIA REPORTS INDICATE JACKSON WILL START ON TUESDAY. The Ravens are hoping Lamar Jackson can come off the COVID list in time for him to carve up a bad Dallas secondary. And, man, does Jackson need a "get right" game. Jackson has scored just one or two touchdowns in eight of the past nine games. And he's been held under 208 passing yards in eight of his past nine games. Jackson is getting zero help from his languishing wide receivers, and if Mark Andrews isn't eligible to play, I'm not sure who catches passes. Maybe Dez Bryant. Fortunately, Dallas can give up big games to anyone. The Cowboys have allowed multiple passing touchdowns in eight of 10 games. They are likely to be without starting corner Trevon Diggs again, and his replacement, Anthony Brown has allowed three touchdowns over the last two games.
Amari Cooper
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DAL@BAL — 8/10
The Cowboys may seem like a dead offense, but Amari Cooper is very much alive. In Andy Dalton’s three full games, Cooper is averaging 91 yards and has scored twice. Whether that duo can maintain their connection against the Ravens is a trickier proposition. Baltimore is top-five in yards allowed to receivers and has Baltimore has allowed among the fewest passing touchdowns. For Cooper that means a healthy dose of Marcus Peters, who is the softest matchup in a very strong unit but certainly can’t be considered a favorable matchup. - Pete Harrington (@petejharrington)
Ezekiel Elliott
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DAL@BAL — 7.25/10
The Ravens allow the tenth-fewest rushing yards to opposing running back, but they had allowed 120+ rushing yards in back-to-back games before the Steelers game. Ezekiel Elliott is coming off season-lows in rushing attempts (10) and rushing yards (32), and he’s finished under four yards per carry in four of his last five games, so there’s not much to like here. As long as not-Dak Prescott is the quarterback, Elliott simply cannot not be relied upon. – Parker Leach (@cootscoot)
