EOG's Best Bet thread for Monday, February 10

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
Post your BEST BET of the day for Monday, February 10.

This thread will be a daily feature at EOG.

Follow the rules listed below when submitting your selection:

1) Post ONE play only (All plays are risking x to win one unit OR risking 1 unit to win y)
2) Include betting numbers with current price and available sports book
3) Do not edit your play or it will be graded as a loss

Contributors with profits of five units or more are highlighted in boldface type.


EOG Scoreboard
2sweet 0-1 -1.13 UNITS
4625 0-2 -2.20 UNITS
5 star bomb 1-2 -1.15 UNITS
5teamparlay 0-1 -1.10 UNITS
714033 0-2 -2.10 UNITS
938four 62-60-2 -3.40 UNITS
Abundy 5-4 +1.35 UNITS
Ace 0-1 -1.32 UNITS
ajt 141-148-9 +15.84 UNITS
alabama dave 0-1 -1.10 UNITS
Alan Boston via Twitter 1-1 -0.10 UNITS
alldaycapper 182-161-11 +6.11 UNITS
allin1 10-3 +8.30 UNITS
Almost Allright 76-65-2 +8.57 UNITS

Arnold Zwiffel 27-22 +1.15 UNITS
asportsguy 283-276-6 -39.20 UNITS
Avenger 30-19 +10.63 UNITS
avmongoose 35-42 -10.34 UNITS
BadLeroy 108-102-10 -11.30 UNITS
Bagiant 7-9 -0.60 UNITS
Balco 56-55-3 +0.89 UNITS
Baller Dollars 0-1 -1.00 UNITS
BEANTOWNJIM 2-2 +0.02 UNITS
begood1000 3-4-1 -1.20 UNITS
benny0420 0-1 -1.00 UNITS
Biff41 161-166-14 -18.94 UNITS
BigBill365 1-2 -1.30 UNITS
BigDaddy 32-12-1 +14.07 UNITS
BigDeemer 12-21 -11.12 UNITS
BIGGAMBLERZ27 1-1 -0.10 UNITS
bigjoey 25-12 +11.71 UNITS
Bigrunner 19-30 -10.34 UNITS
billysink 25-36-2 -7.57 UNITS
bimmercando 2-0 +2.00 UNITS
BipolarJJ 2-2 0.00 UNITS
bishqqq 74-82-2 -11.78 UNITS
blueline 586-569-12 -25.98 UNITS (NCAAB: Furman at odds of 100/1 to win the NIT; Joe Biden +665 to win 2020 presidential election)
BLUENATION65 1-1 -0.10 UNITS
bmiller 110-135-6 -22.32 UNITS
BoDallas 2-1 +0.90 UNITS
Bohannon 2-0 +2.50 UNITS
bomzee 175-208-10 -29.97 UNITS
bookbraker 87-70-2 +12.97 UNITS
Boys911 71-27-1 -6.04 UNITS
Braves2629 8-6 +1.50 UNITS
Brayden11 291-321-8 +3.15 UNITS
Brian Laverty 0-2-1 -2.00 UNITS
brians 137-122-8 +5.96 UNITS
Brick 5-5 +2.12 UNITS
Brock 1-1 +0.40 UNITS
brockboogienigh 1-1 -0.45 UNITS
Brock Landers 2-1 +0.90 UNITS
BrockLanders248 12-3 +9.57 UNITS
brokerstip 6-9 -3.15 UNITS
BryceTrout 13-9 +1.16 UNITS
Bushay 11-13 -2.24 UNITS
carolinakid 3-1-1 +1.90 UNITS
CASHSTACKER 2-6 -4.45 UNITS
CecTheFleece 55-53-1 -3.77 UNITS
Cent'Anni 3-2 +0.80 UNITS
CHARLIEPEETE 2-1 +0.80 UNITS
cheapseats 102-67 +5.81 UNITS
chickadee 4-6 -0.93 UNITS
Chi_Dorothy 1-1 +0.57 UNITS
chips1031 1-1 -0.34 UNITS
ChiTownJoe 17-18-1 -1.93 UNITS
Choslamshe 262-263-5 -21.06 UNITS
Claramente 10-12-2 -0.93 UNITS
Cristiano 2-0 +2.00 UNITS
Curbes Lurb 18-23 -6.03 UNITS
Daddy Fourbucks 1-1 0.00 UNITS
Dan Tanna 1-2 -1.00 UNITS
DeadBishop 13-11 +1.05 UNITS
Dell Dude 60-614-2 -174.21 UNITS (Tulsi Gabbard at 50/1 to win the Democratic presidential nomination; Dems to have a brokered convention +250; Republicans to win the House and Senate in 2020 +225)
dfish 132-129-5 +5.97 UNITS
DFSRookie79 21-19 +0.94 UNITS
dilaudid8 1-0 +1.00 UNITS
Diogenes 33-31 -1.11 UNITS
Discreet Cat 84-130-1 -31.86 UNITS
dj destroyer 2-0 +2.35 UNITS
dogball 7-16 -7.78 UNITS
Dog Player 1-2 -1.10 UNITS
Don Eagleston 10-6 +3.80 UNITS
Doug Gottlieb 3-4 -1.40 UNITS
d-p 1-2 -1.32 UNITS
Drinkyourmlkshk 93-78-7 +7.70 UNITS
DrunkenGoon 18-19 -3.16 UNITS
dustdevil167 13-16-1 -4.49 UNITS
Dutch 52-43-1 +4.55 UNITS
E$ 341-365-11 -19.70 UNITS
eb765 3-3 -0.30 UNITS
EdTheStatMan 32-30-1 -1.41 UNITS
ejd_5277 52-71-1 -23.02 UNITS
El Chapo 26-37 -9.24 UNITS
el greco 2-7 -5.05 UNITS
elsantoyo 21-9 +10.80 UNITS
E-Money712 3-4 -1.56 UNITS
ERBtheGREAT 42-27 +9.46 UNITS
EyeOnMVC 21-24 +1.60 UNITS
Factorial 14-13 +0.60 UNITS
FairWarning 20-36-1 -20.67 UNITS
Fezzik 31-16-2 +13.12 UNITS
Firehorn 18-16 -1.47 UNITS
Fishhead 67-102-3 -33.65 UNITS
flip flops 5-5 -0.36 UNITS
Flipper 14-16 -0.85 UNITS
focker 1-0 +1.40 UNITS
Foreleft 51-37-1 +2.43 UNITS
fourthand26 1-1 0.00 UNITS
FrancisVegas 2-3 -1.30 UNITS
Franklinmint 32-31-2 -2.99 UNITS
Gabe 28-9 +7.37 UNITS
Gabe McIntosh 0-2-1 -2.10 UNITS
GameBred 1-1 -0.42 UNITS (UFC matchup now set for April 18, 2020: Tony Ferguson +195 over Khabib Nurmagomedov)
Ghostzapper 19-15 +4.29 UNITS
Gotcha 0-1 -1.20 UNITS
gravy 1-0 +1.00 UNITS
groovinmahoovin 1-0 +1.10 UNITS
GusGreenbaum 7-8 -2.55 UNITS
Hangover 73-65-5 +1.00 UNITS
Harold Fuller 6-1 +5.12 UNITS
hcskip 33-28-1 +2.24 UNITS
Heim 515-427-19 +70.57 UNITS
Heisenberg 70-78-9 -16.90 UNITS
Hey Bartender 6-6 -0.58 UNITS
High3rEl3m3nt 31-31-5 -0.64 UNITS
High Times 1-0 +1.00 UNITS
HI McDonough 0-1 -1.00 UNITS
holadai 0-1 -1.00 UNITS
howid 15-17-1 -5.92 UNITS
humboldt cone 26-22-2 +5.80 UNITS
Idiot #1 1-1 -0.10 UNITS
Immanuel Kant 2-1 +0.90 UNITS
Inkwell77 14-21-1 -7.93 UNITS
insomnia 2-3 -1.30 UNITS
IWishIWasAPro 45-37-1 +1.66 UNITS
Jacob_Morris 5-7 -2.95 UNITS
James D 4-3 +0.62 UNITS
Jammer 19-22 -8.13 UNITS
jasson621 237-239-4 +14.90 UNITS
JavyBaez9 4-5 -1.74 UNITS
Jb777 16-17 -3.02 UNITS
jeffksu 4-4 -0.36 UNITS
JHUDad 15-17 -7.20 UNITS
Jimmythegreek 842-905-24 -151.04 UNITS
joeturner 8-17 -7.95 UNITS
Joeyfitzclick 0-1 -1.20 UNITS
JoeyGesus 2-1 +0.94 UNITS
John Kelly 860-787-39 -21.57 UNITS (NBA: 570 Dallas Mavericks PK -110)
Johnny Knuckles 13-23 -16.64 UNITS
Johnny LaRue 9-8-1 -1.55 UNITS
JRock7997 0-2 -2.00 UNITS
Junkyarddog47 8-5 +2.70 UNITS
justintalk 0-3 -3.20 UNITS
Just Luck 93-76-2 +2.55 UNITS
kainhouse 21-12 +7.98 UNITS
kane 436-421-18 +19.19 UNITS (NHL: Dallas Stars at 14/1 to win the Stanley Cup; NCAAB: Butler at 25/1 to win it all)

KevinStott11 172-137-13 -5.43 UNITS (NCAAB: 869 Baylor -6 -110; Leicester City at 40/1 to win title; UEFA: 24210 Ajax -151 and Ajax at 50/1 to win Champions League)
kraken 0-1 -1.00 UNITS
Kill Shot 1-2 -1.10 UNITS
kinosh 6-4 +1.64 UNITS
lap18 3-6 -3.45 UNITS
lastyle7 25-15 +7.64 UNITS
Lawrence Orbach 10-12-3 -3.25 UNITS
Lefthook 1-1 -2.62 UNITS
Mad Tiger 1-0 +1.00 UNITS
Mafioso 24-24-4 +4.60 UNITS
Makers 1-0 -0.15 UNITS
ManchesterUK 32-45-1 -10.74 UNITS
maxo 1-0 +1.00 UNITS
meldrone 0-1 -1.55 UNITS
Micelli 5-3 +1.70 UNITS
michael777 1-0 +1.00 UNITS
Miggytoddbest 103-90-3 +11.60 UNITS
Mighty Maron 8-8 +0.97 UNITS
mikekeenan 2-1 +1.00 UNITS
minah 21-16 +3.00 UNITS
Minnesota Fats 6-10 -4.60 UNITS
Mizuno 11-12-1 -1.80 UNITS
Moldoveanu 28-96 +35.64 UNITS
Mosier 0-2 -2.20 UNITS
mrbowling300 44-55-3 -12.60 UNITS
Mr. Carney 3-9 -5.01 UNITS
Mr_KLC 2-0 +2.00 UNITS
mr merlin 19-19 -2.20 UNITS
Mr. Pink 164-292-5 -4.91 UNITS
MrTop 371-367-10 -24.34 UNITS (Michael Bloomberg +775 to win Democratic presidential nomination)
Mrs. Seer 40-47 +5.93 UNITS
msudogs 8-7 +0.26 UNITS
munson15 26-37 +11.12 UNITS
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
nedrow9 263-364-4 -36.33 UNITS
Neveragain 230-216-14 +11.12 UNITS
njdave 90-93-4 -10.19 UNITS
No Coincidences 0-1 -1.10 UNITS
noogneknurd 2-2 -0.51 UNITS
NowshesmyRuca 213-217-8 -23.99 UNITS
nut6 11-17 -7.73 UNITS
nydoc 4-8 -3.50 UNITS
oneman 1-0 +1.00 UNITS
ouch 4-2 +1.40 UNITS (Amy Klobuchar at 80/1 to win the Democratic nomination)
Paleface 65-60 +8.93 UNITS
papa5 72-62-3 +5.26 UNITS

pantherman 0-1 -1.00 UNITS
parlayguy 6-12 -6.70 UNITS
parlaynow 91-127-4 -21.48 UNITS
Patkeats 0-2 -2.25 UNITS
Patrick McIrish 77-62-2 +7.77 UNITS
pbovi 23-133 +13.75 UNITS

peach 30-45-1 -11.02 UNITS
Pickman Jones 93-142-9 -32.13 UNITS
picksproprospector 1-0 +1.00 UNITS
Pick Savvy 73-74-4 +0.21 UNITS
Pigpen 75-149 -48.15 UNITS
pinnacle420 3-10-1 -8.81 UNITS
pippy 11-14 -4.62 UNITS
PO69 1-5-1 -4.32 UNITS
Pocket Lint 1-1 +0.18 UNITS
pocketheadies 103-112-3 -9.17 UNITS
premierperhead 0-2 -2.30 UNITS
pro analyser 68-75-1 -12.64 UNITS (NBA: Houston Rockets at 7/1 to win the championship)
PtSpreadHijinks 72-60-3 +16.11 UNITS
puckhandler 230-347-2 -10.64 UNITS (NBA: Raptors at 35/1 to win NBA title; NHL: Columbus Blue Jackets at odds of 60/1 to win the Stanley Cup; Winnipeg Jets at odds of 22/1 and 45/1 to win Stanley Cup and +650 to win the Central)
pudgeman11 126-114-9 +7.52 UNITS
Quantum Leap 5-5 -0.40 UNITS
Railbird 150-99-3 +63.10 UNITS (Tulsi Gabbard at 40/1 to win the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination; Donald J. Trump +144 to win the 2020 presidential election; A two-unit play on Trump +425 to win both the popular vote and the electoral vote)
RAININTHREES 228-216-17 +28.72 UNITS

Ray Luca 7-27 -6.59 UNITS
rdalert447 63-727 -76.19 UNITS
RDTrains 179-180-5 -10.40 UNITS
READY FREDDY 55-43-1 +25.11 UNITS
rico1 206-445-13 -30.29 UNITS
roachman 0-1 -1.00 UNITS
Roaming Vegas 1-2-1 -0.95 UNITS
Roxxyfish 69-48-1 +17.00 UNITS
royboy 3-4 -0.40 UNITS
schlep66 113-101-4 -4.86 UNITS
Schouest 2-2 -0.54 UNITS
Scooper 53-40 +8.15 UNITS
Scratch 0-2 -2.20 UNITS
Screw Andrews 149-177-6 -30.51 UNITS
scrimmage 399-712-5 -87.49 UNITS
Seahawkharry 0-1 -1.05 UNITS
Seanie Mac 8-9 -1.78 UNITS
sexyandiknowit 24-26 +0.78 UNITS
shackfu99 3-2 -0.58 UNITS
sharky99 82-78-10 -6.12 UNITS
Sharp Square 13-18-1 -6.24 UNITS
sherwood88 1-0 +1.00 UNITS
shooterman 0-1 -1.00 UNITS
skullf 1-2-1 -1.20 UNITS
Slaythebook28 1-2 -1.20 UNITS
Sleepy 35-47-1 -18.87 UNITS
Slippery Pete 13-14-1 -0.78 UNITS
Slyone66 419-388-22 +7.01 UNITS
smartymarty 4-2 +1.45 UNITS
smartz 60-81-1 -12.95 UNITS
Sol Diablo 1-0 +1.00 UNITS
southerncoach 1-3 -2.30 UNITS
splooge 0-2 -2.39 UNITS
Sportsrmylife 208-185-14 +4.56 UNITS
Sport Sullivan 7-8 +6.95 UNITS
SpottedCow 3-1-1 +1.90 UNITS
SSI 2-5 -3.60 UNITS
stevek173 0-1 -1.00 UNITS
Stevo 4-5-1 -1.29 UNITS
sunnyisle 1-2 -0.93 UNITS
svbettor 28-17-1 +10.21 UNITS
sweeper 0-1 -1.10 UNITS
tbird 18-20 -3.61 UNITS
Teddy kgb 96-86-4 +22.15 UNITS
Terpsfan26 46-46-8 -5.00 UNITS
Tesco Vee 0-4 -4.35 UNITS
TEXED 77-66-3 +1.28 UNITS
ThatNegroJ 3-1 +1.94 UNITS
Thebrush5 9-14-2 -5.10 UNITS
thecentaur 0-1 -1.03 UNITS
thekeyman 0-1 -1.10 UNITS
TheGuesser 1-0 +1.40 UNITS
Theodore Bagwell 1-1 -0.05 UNITS
TheOnlyP 1-2 -1.00 UNITS
TheRef 49-30-2 +12.42 UNITS
TheShow33 10-11-1 +4.15 UNITS
The Seer 46-70 -5.41 UNITS
The Wizard 0-1-1 -1.35 UNITS
Timetopay 3-2 +0.70 UNITS
tnvolfan 5-6 -3.06 UNITS
Toby Tyler 183-155-7 +27.40 UNITS
TonyMar 7-11 -0.25 UNITS
TrailerParkBoys 0-1 -1.26 UNITS
trytrytry 225-422-8 +23.41 UNITS
ttaylor89 39-47-2 -2.81 UNITS
turksure 60-71-2 -16.04 UNITS
tvrw34243 147-131-12 +5.99 UNITS
UkbetTips 2-1 +0.90 UNITS
UNSPRTNGBHVR 11-2 +8.31 UNITS
Valuist 166-137-10 +14.24 UNITS

Vegashtrain 17-16-2 +0.20 UNITS
Vegas Sharp 22-24-1 -2.11 UNITS
VEGAS VERN 3-0 +3.05 UNITS
Vegas Vic 47-53-4 -5.32 UNITS
Viejo Dinosaur 39-29-2 +10.34 UNITS
Viet 2-0 +2.00 UNITS
Vinnie Vegas 3-7 -2.90 UNITS
vitalyo 2-1 +0.90 UNITS
waco 103-76-3 +22.13 UNITS
Wade 2-7-1 -5.70 UNITS
wantitall4moi 0-2 -2.27 UNITS
Way-E-Waz 0-1 -1.00 UNITS
Waz 0-1 -1.00 UNITS
wheat king 12-10-3 +1.42 UNITS
WildBill 3-3 -0.15 UNITS
Willy Loman 20-20 -0.85 UNITS
Winkyduck 620-834-40 +9.13 UNITS (Sat. Feb. 15: Norwich City/Liverpool 2 Units on Ov3 -106 AND O3.5 +148 AND 1h O1.5 +134; Brighton to be Relegated +185; Chase Young to be the #1 Overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft +200; Sheffield United to win the FA Cup +5500; Vegas Knights to win the West +550; (t)RUMP to NOT be the 2020 RepubliCON POTUS Nominee +500; Dodgers to win the NL +200)
wirelessjava 1-2 -1.22 UNITS
wiskers 296-419-12 -1.76 UNITS
Woodrow Wilson 54-37-1 +15.77 UNITS
X-Files 3-0 +3.00 UNITS
yisman 546-362-21 +21.53 UNITS
ZzyzxRoad 450-411-17 +3.14 UNITS
 

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
5D

Bournemouth to be Relegated +125

I don;t have a fave team in the PL. I love watching games. But I do root for Bournemouth. They almost ceased to exist not too long ago and somehow found their way to the PL. This is their 5th year and they have really never been in any sort of Relegation trouble. Until now. They are currently 16th, 2 points ahead of 18th place West Ham but have played 1 more game than Ham and 17th Place Aston Villa. They have 12 games left and realistically need about 12 points to stay up. I included a link to their last 12 games. As much as I love them and root for them to do well I just don't see how they will earn enough points to stay up even though I have a massive "man crush" on their manager Eddie Howe. The look in his worn face and that of the players is one of "we are going down." I hope they don't. I really do. But I hope to win Mega Millions. I hope to Marry Nina Agdal. I know the last 2 will never happen and I fear a team that struggles to score and struggles to keep the ball out of their net will be ending their 5 years PL run on May 17. I sooooooooooo wanna lose this play - but don't think I will.


https://www.espn.com/soccer/team/fixtures/_/id/349/afc-bournemouth

Winkyduck 620-834-40 +9.13 UNITS (Sat. Feb. 15: Norwich City/Liverpool 2 Units on Ov3 -106 AND O3.5 +148 AND 1h O1.5 +134; Brighton +185 and Bournemouth +125 to be Relegated; Chase Young to be the #1 Overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft +200; Sheffield United to win the FA Cup +5500; Vegas Knights to win the West +550; (t)RUMP to NOT be the 2020 RepubliCON POTUS Nominee +500; Dodgers to win the NL +200)
 

KevinStott11

EOG Veteran
Tuesday, February 11—200370 Nottingham Forest-Charlton Athletic Under 2½ -105 (Bovada)

2:45 pm ET/11:45 am PT (INTERNATIONAL: iFollow, UK: SKY GO Extra, Sky Sports Red Button)—The EFL Championship schedule for Tuesday and Wednesday look better to me than the NHL, NBA and NCAAB slates do in terms of Picks with nothing on the boards seemingly really worth betting real $ on coming until NCAAB on Thursday when Chicago State travels to Cal-State Bakersfield, #16 Colorado is at #17 Oregon in a Pac-12 Conference battle and FGCU faces Kennesaw State (1-22 SU, 6-17 ATS) in an Added game from the KSU Convocation Center in Kennesaw, GA.

Nottingham Forest is where that theoretically noble and most likely fictional dude Robin Hood used to hang out, stealing from the rich and giving to the poor and fighting with the Sheriff of Nottingham when not getting yelled at by Maid Marian or swindled by his very own band of Merry Men. But Nottingham Forest FC (15-9-7) has no Trees, just tall Human Beans dressed in gay shorts and long socks kicking the ball around to each other in an effort to put the ball in the opponent’s goal. But the Reds do have a very fine-looking mascot.


On Tuesday, the 4th-place Tricky Trees welcome 21st-place Charlton Athletic (8-9-14) to The City Ground (Grass) in West Bridgford, Nottinghamshire for Week 32 action and a fixture that sees Forest as healthy Home chalks (-180) against Charlton Athletic (+540, Draw +290; 2½o -118, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook). The TWC Forecast for Nottingham on Tuesday night is calling Partly Cloudy Skies and Gusty (20 to 30 mph) Winds—fueled by the strongest Jet Stream ever which helped a plane fly from NYC to London in less than 5 hours on Sunday—with fairly chilly Temps in the high 30’s. Luckily for the players, there's an electric heating coil under the grass.

Lifetime, Head Coach Sabri Lamouchi and Forest are 14-15-14 vs the Red Robins—not to be confused with Nottingham’s nickname (the) Reds or its very own Robin (Hood)—with Nottingham Forest being outscored by Charlton Athletic, 59-55 in all competitions. Seven of the L8 meetings between these two in Championship play have seen 2½ goals or less (CHA 1-1 NOT, CHA 1-1 NOT, NOT 0-0 CHA, CHA 2-1 NOT, NOT 1-1 CHA, NOT 0-1 CHA, CHA 1-1 NOT, CHA 0-2 NOT) with 10 of the L12 seeing 2 goals or less with 7 (Under-y) Draws of either 0-0 or 1-1.


So the Tricky Trees haven’t beaten the Red Robins since the 2012/13 season and haven’t scored more than 2 goals against them since 1998, although the last time Charlton Athletic scored more than 2 vs the Reds was in 1999, so be it the EFL or the EPL, these two have historically played tight, low-scoring affairs with 7 straight fixture results decided by a goal or ties (Draws).


These two historic clubs have played 22 times since 1990 with only three examples of one team scoring 3 times or more—all in a 3-game clump (3-6-7) in the Championship from 1997 to 2000 (above). So that’s 19 games in this series with 2 goals or less with 6 of the L7 at The City Ground in Nottingham ending with 2 goals or less. Although Nottingham is the deserved heavy Favorite here and worth a look, backing the historical Science of the Final Scores along with the nuisance of Jet Stream-fueled Wind speeds and the Under 2½ on Tuesday. So, (Numbers) Science and(Weather) Science and Nottingham's inability to actually beat Charlton Athletic has carved this Pick.

Nottingham Forest 2 Charlton Athletic 0
 
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