EOG's Best Bet thread for Saturday, July 4

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
#3
Was waiting for this so now I can post and go to bed (and wake up and hopefully be 1-0 and on my way to 2-0 since I'll be up about 8:30A PDT)

Pinny

(4:30A)Norwich City PICK +151
***(7A)Crystal Palace +1 -120*** (Previous BB)


Who the hell is Brighton to be favored over anyone? Even DFL Norwich! Brighton has won 7 out of 32 games this season. 12 Draws and 13 Losses meaning over 75% of the time betting against Brighton to win doesn't see you lose. I don't think Norwich loses. They might not win but I doubt they lose. So I will take this nice price and know a Draw gets me my money back.

As for Palace - don't bother looking for this price and line. I said it when I posted it this line stunk to high hell. The WA line is Palace +0.75 and at Pinny is it +102 while +1 is -144. I have no problem taking +0.75 since you will lose 0.50 units at most. Two people whose PL thoughts I truly value had orgasms over this line. A total of 2.25 priced evenly both ways tells us they don't expect more than 2 goals. Makes sense. This sure looks like a 1-0 game or 1-1 Draw


Winkyduck 645-868-44 +4.81 UNITS (Sunday, July 5: Southampton +1.5 -104 AND Liverpool -1.5 +102 AND -2 +158 AND Aston Villa TT Un0.5 +127; Mauricio Pochettino to be next Permanent Newcastle Manager +110; Brighton +185 and Bournemouth +125 to be Relegated; Man City to win the Champions League +410; Vegas Knights to win the West +550; Gretchen Whitmer to be Democratic Veep Nominee: +1500 AND Val Demings +400; #IQ45 to NOT be the 2020 RepubliCON POTUS Nominee +500; 2 Units on Will Jacoby Brissett be Colts starter for Week 1 - NO +100; Next MLB Game to be Played August 1st or Sooner: YES -110 AND NO +125; Dodgers +200 to win the NL; Patriots RSW Ov8.5 -110 AND RSW Un9.5 -110; Jets RSW U6.5 +105; Bills to win the AFC East +275 AND Patriots +175; Will George W Bush endorse Joe Biden for POTUS: YES +350; Will Condoleezza Rice endorse Joe Biden +185; Joe Biden to be elected POTUS +120; Democrat wins Michigan in 2020 POTUS Election -180 & Wisconsin -130 & Florida +135 AND Georgia +200; #IQ45 to lose EC and Popular Vote +110..........#IQ45 to WIN EC but lose Popular Vote +200; Dems control the House/Repubs the Senate +150 AND Dems control the House AND the Senate +130; Next Justice to leave the SCOTUS: Clarence Thomas +400; Tua's 2020 Passing Yards: UNDER 3200 -120)
 

JHU Dad

EOG Dedicated
#4
Wonky, Hope your health woes are in the rear view mirror. Looking at your future bets...why Clarence Thomas? Happy Fourth!!! Bounce back in the next game.
 
#7
>Posting Saturday for Sunday spot for Sunday match...
Sunday, July 5, 2020—Japanese NPB Baseball ⚾
304186 Yomiuri Giants -170 (BetOnline)


1 am EDT/10 pm PDT—Apathy is my Condiment this Independence Day, as the World has thrown the Red Flag at us (the USA) for being lax at dealing with the first real serious Pandemic of the 21st Century. We were worried about Y2K when we should have been worried about Wet Markets and Horseshoe Bats. History probably won’t be kind to our current US President, but the people living in the individual states that form this imperfect union are also all responsible for their own behavior patterns, since we knew about this in late January. Math doesn’t care. Maybe our planet needs some herd-thinning anyway? We have more people wanting Lysol than we have Lysol. This is bad.

With many professional athletes testing positive for COVID-19 before their league restarts (NBA, NHL) or starts (MLB, MLS, WNBA) being tossed in with the handful of athletes siding with caution and deciding to skip their seasons means any desired smooth sailing in these leagues is already an impossibility and even CBS’s “All-Star” Big Brother 22 season is still a question mark with Los Angeles County enduring so many cases like every single state here out West.


So, Mass Extinction, Global Warming, COVID-19 Pandemic, a new strain of Swine Flu, The Black Plague an maybe no Big Brother. Maybe getting Lysol won’t matter Now? It’s getting more difficult to write these previews with the world on Fire and no real Hope here in the USA at this moment, unless you live in Vermont. Canada seems like Heaven all of a sudden. At least Firefighters know there's a Fire. Too many can't see it with Smartphones the new deliverer of one's desired truth(s).

The Earth is in trouble. Look how the animals fight to eat now as us Homo Sapiens continue to bulldoze their homes and turn forests into dead flats. I knew we were all fucked when they bulldozed the Grass away here from my apartment complex in Las Vegas last Fall and replaced it with Rocks. Grass provides so much we don't see. Especially on Smartphones. Google Earth reveals how Grey our living areas have become. Green is better than Grey.

Anyway, they are playing baseball in Japan and the Chunichi Dragons (6-8-0, 46 RF-61 RA) are at the Tokyo Dome (FieldTurf) in Tokyo, Japan (of all places) to face the 1st-place Yomiuri Giants (10-3-1, 79 RF-43 RA), Yomiurii won Game 1 (5-0) an Game 2 (7-3) and head in on a 3-game Win Streak with the best Record in the NPB for Game 3 on Sunday.

The Giants (WWWLW) are slated to start Ángel Luis Sánchez (2-0) with Kōdai Umetsu (1-1) getting the ball for the Dragons (LLWWW). A 30-year-old RHP from the Dominican Republic, Sánchez has pitched for both the Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB, 1-0) and SK Wyverns (KBO, 22-10) and he has been pretty good so far, with a 0.77 ERA in 11.2 IP, allowing 7 Hits, a HR and 8 Walks. RHP Umetsu has gone 12 IR and allowed 13 Hits (2 HR) and 5 Walks.
Offshore sportsbook BetOnline has Yomiuri as solid -170 Home favorites ($34 to win $20, BetOnline) currently with the Total at 8½o/u -115. At BookMaker on the Run Line, the Giants -1½ are +117 while the Dragons +1½ is -149 with the Giants a penny more expensive for now at -171 (Dragons +136).

With the Giants looking for the Sweep and a solid Starter getting the pill, laying the lumber is what I did like I almost always do for this one in the Japanese capital and most populated city on planet Earth (37,400,0000). Yomiuri has W5 of 6 and outscored opponents 37-13 and the Giants have allowed the fewest Runs in the NPB (43) while scoring the 2nd-most (79).

Chunichi have been outscored 12-4 and outhit 16-6 and have made the only Error in the series so far while allowing 3 multiple-Run Innings while having only 1 (T6, G1). Last 2019 NPB Regular Season, the Dragons W6 straight vs the Giants to end the season, outscoring Yomiuri 27-15 in the process with three 1-Run victories. But that was Then and this is Now. Best of Luck.

Yomiuri Giants 6 ✺ Chunichi Dragons 3
 
Last edited:
#9
What the fuck, Winky.

Winkyduck 645-868-44 +4.81 UNITS (Sunday, July 5: Southampton +1.5 -104 AND Liverpool -1.5 +102 AND -2 +158 AND Aston Villa TT Un0.5 +127; Mauricio Pochettino to be next Permanent Newcastle Manager +110; Brighton +185 and Bournemouth +125 to be Relegated; Man City to win the Champions League +410; Vegas Knights to win the West +550; Gretchen Whitmer to be Democratic Veep Nominee: +1500 AND Val Demings +400; #IQ45 to NOT be the 2020 RepubliCON POTUS Nominee +500; 2 Units on Will Jacoby Brissett be Colts starter for Week 1 - NO +100; Next MLB Game to be Played August 1st or Sooner: YES -110 AND NO +125; Dodgers +200 to win the NL; Patriots RSW Ov8.5 -110 AND RSW Un9.5 -110; Jets RSW U6.5 +105; Bills to win the AFC East +275 AND Patriots +175; Will George W Bush endorse Joe Biden for POTUS: YES +350; Will Condoleezza Rice endorse Joe Biden +185; Joe Biden to be elected POTUS +120; Democrat wins Michigan in 2020 POTUS Election -180 & Wisconsin -130 & Florida +135 AND Georgia +200; #IQ45 to lose EC and Popular Vote +110..........#IQ45 to WIN EC but lose Popular Vote +200; Dems control the House/Repubs the Senate +150 AND Dems control the House AND the Senate +130; Next Justice to leave the SCOTUS: Clarence Thomas +400; Tua's 2020 Passing Yards: UNDER 3200 -120)
 
#10
You left off his 2 plays for today Dell....

Was waiting for this so now I can post and go to bed (and wake up and hopefully be 1-0 and on my way to 2-0 since I'll be up about 8:30A PDT)

Pinny

(4:30A)Norwich City PICK +151
***(7A)Crystal Palace +1 -120*** (Previous BB)


Who the hell is Brighton to be favored over anyone? Even DFL Norwich! Brighton has won 7 out of 32 games this season. 12 Draws and 13 Losses meaning over 75% of the time betting against Brighton to win doesn't see you lose. I don't think Norwich loses. They might not win but I doubt they lose. So I will take this nice price and know a Draw gets me my money back.

As for Palace - don't bother looking for this price and line. I said it when I posted it this line stunk to high hell. The WA line is Palace +0.75 and at Pinny is it +102 while +1 is -144. I have no problem taking +0.75 since you will lose 0.50 units at most. Two people whose PL thoughts I truly value had orgasms over this line. A total of 2.25 priced evenly both ways tells us they don't expect more than 2 goals. Makes sense. This sure looks like a 1-0 game or 1-1 Draw
I don't follow soccer but that looks a lot like 0-2, -2.2 unit day.

Better luck tomorrow......

We move on.
 

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
#16
Wonky, Hope your health woes are in the rear view mirror. Looking at your future bets...why Clarence Thomas? Happy Fourth!!! Bounce back in the next game.
Thanks for the well wishes. Everything is good. Now. I know I can't let down for one second, though

Why Thomas?

IF the Prez and/or Senate flips to Blue on Nov 3...............I am 100% certain #MoscowMitchMcTraitor will approach some SCOTUS judges (beforehand) and say something along the lines of: With the POTUS being a Democrat - and thus a Liberal - if you have to walk away for any reason during their time in office you will be replaced by a Liberal judge. This means your voting habits of conservative voting will be replaced by a Liberal. HOWEVER - if you step aside ASAP I can get you replaced before a new POTUS (or Senate) starts up in the new year. Otherwise we have no idea when a Republican will once again be POTUS (or if the Dems control the Senate it means the Dems can veto any nominee a Repub POTUS would put forth which is the same thing as a Dem nominating one).

And looking at all Conservative leaning SCOTUS judges the oldest is Thomas. I think #MosqowMtchMcTraitor will be having discussions with him ahead of time and should the POTUS and/or Senate flip to Democrat on Nov 3 within 48 Hours we see Thomas step aside, a new nominee be announced and #MosciwMitchMctraitor will try and shove someone in ASAP even though he told Obama he couldn't do it with 11 months left in his term

Just my thoughts
 
Top