EOG's Best Bet thread for Saturday, May 2

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
All is not right with the world.

It's the first Saturday in May and we're forced to watch the a simulated running of a make-believe Kentucky Derby.

Yuk!

Must wait until September 5 for the most exciting two minutes in sports.
 

KevinStott11

EOG Veteran
>Posting on Kentucky Derby Saturday for Sunday spot for Sunday match...
Sunday, May 3, 1 C.V.—Belarus Premier League—FC Brest -192 (Bookmaker.eu)

7 am EDT/4 am PDT (Match! Futbol,Match TV, Sport 1 [UKR], SportKlub, Veikkaustv [SLO])—Matchweek 7 in the Belarusian Premier League wraps up early on Sunday with 14th-place FC Brest (LLWLW) facing 16th- and last-place FC Belshina Bobruisk (LDDLL) from Spartak Stadium in Bobruisk, Belarus in a match which will see Belarusian Dmitri Dmitriev as the Referee.

Offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu currently has Brest (2-1-3, 6 GF- 7 GA) as -192 Favorites, still winless Belshina (0-2-4, 5 GF-10 GA) as +460 Home Underdogs with a Draw priced at +279 and the Total at 2¼o -133. The Goal Line market sees Brest -1 at -109 with Belshina +1 at -127 early Saturday morning. Well, when you're sitting back in your rose pink Cadillac, making bets on Kentucky Derby Day, Ah, I'll be in my basement room with a needle and a spoon, and another girl can take my pain away.


Looking at the series Trends, Dzyanis Laptsew (12 Goals in 29 Appearances for DB) and Dinamo Brest—who clinched their first Belrausian Premier League championship last Fall—are 13-14-22 (54 GF-76 GA) lifetime vs Belshina in all competitions and just 9-8-7 (31 GF-29 GA) against at Home vs them in league play. The Home team has W4 straight in Vysshaya Liga play with 4 of those 5 fixtures going Over (3-5-3-2-3) in matches averaging 3.2 gpg with both teams scoring by Halftime in the L3 affairs according to WorldFootball.net.

So what seems to be the most powerful items to put some weight on here? The Site is one, but Belshina’s 0 Wins washes that away and with 5 (Belshina) and Brest (6) scoring so few Goals so far, it’s hard to imagine 3 goals being scored, even with the recent Over run.
But looking at the statistics from Belshina’s last game, a 3-2 Loss at Slutsk on March 24, we see 5 Goals from 28 total Shot Attempts—14 of them On Target (9 from Belshina), with equal 50-59 Time of Possession, so expect Brest, who lost 2-0 at Home to Shakhytor Soligorsk in a a game with a crazy 36 Shot Attempts (26 On Target) to get theirs on the Road while giving up one along the way in what may be a huge perceived edge with the Over after both clubs played in matches in Week 6 with so many Shot Attempts in a league which often has really low scores and Totals of 2.

Belshina 1 𒀭 Brest 2

 
Last edited:

jimmythegreek

The opening odds start here
Ticket#:308917756
May 02 11:00 AM
INTERNET / -1May 02 01:56 AM
SOC
STRAIGHT BET
[211485] TOTAL o2½-125 (WAGEREMPIRE.NET)
(SLUTSK vrs DINAMO MINSK)

96 / 76
 
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