EOG's Best Bet thread for Sunday, July 12

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
I have 2 that will be over with before I wake up

4A: Wolves/Everton O2 -111
6:15A: Crystal Palace +0.25 -112

I am hoping to get a full goal with Bournemouth at less than -141 for their 11A game. If it comes down to -130 or less I sense I might be on the Cherries.

NO CLUE AT ALL what happens in the Tottenham/Arsenal game. Whoever wins - if anyone does - won't shock me nor will it shock me if we get anywhere from ZERO to 5+ goals in this game.
 

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
A winner for Wink in the early game.

..............and then a loser

Wednesday July 15 at 10A

AFC Bournemouth +2.5 -119


BET THIS NOW! This line WILL NOT LAST LONG at this price. This will drop to +2.25 soon. BET IT NOW!


Winkyduck 651-875-45 +3.96 UNITS (Wednesday July 15: Bournemouth +2.5 -119; Saturday July 11: Jorge Masvidal +260; Mauricio Pochettino to be next Permanent Newcastle Manager +110; Bournemouth +125 to be Relegated; Man City to win the Champions League +410; Vegas Knights to win the West +550; Gretchen Whitmer to be Democratic Veep Nominee: +1500 AND Val Demings +400; #IQ45 to NOT be the 2020 RepubliCON POTUS Nominee +500; 2 Units on Will Jacoby Brissett be Colts starter for Week 1 - NO +100; Next MLB Game to be Played August 1st or Sooner: YES -110 AND NO +125; Dodgers +200 to win the NL; Patriots RSW Ov8.5 -110 AND RSW Un9.5 -110; Jets RSW U6.5 +105; Bills to win the AFC East +275 AND Patriots +175; Will George W Bush endorse Joe Biden for POTUS: YES +350; Will Condoleezza Rice endorse Joe Biden +185; Joe Biden to be elected POTUS +120; Democrat wins Michigan in 2020 POTUS Election -180 & Wisconsin -130 & Florida +135 AND Georgia +200; #IQ45 to lose EC and Popular Vote +110..........#IQ45 to WIN EC but lose Popular Vote +200; Dems control the House/Repubs the Senate +150 AND Dems control the House AND the Senate +130; Next Justice to leave the SCOTUS: Clarence Thomas +400; Tua's 2020 Passing Yards: UNDER 3200 -120)
 

KevinStott11

EOG Veteran
>Posting Sunday for Monday spot for Monday match...
Monday, July 13, 2020 ⚽
Spanish La Liga Soccer
108568 Real Madrid -1 -124 (BetOnline)


4 pm EDT/3 pm CDT/1 pm PDT (beIN SPORTS, beIN SPORTS CONNECT, beIN SPORTS en Español, Fanatiz USA)—Manager Zinedine Zidane and current La Liga leaders Real Madrid CF (25-8-3, 64 GF-21 GA, 80 points) pay a visit to 10th-place Granada (14-8-10, 45 GF-42 GA) at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Grass) in Granada, Spain on Monday In Matchweek 37 as the Madridistas try to stay ahead of Lionel Messi and 2nd-place Barcelona (79 points) in the Spanish Primera División table by theoretically matching them Win-for-Win down the stretch.

Offshore sportsbook currently has Karim Benzema (18 goals) and Real Madrid as -213 Favorites ($42.60 to win $20, BetOnline) in the Three-way market with F Carlos Fernández (9 goals) and hosts Granada at +600 with a Draw at +310 and the Total at 2½, 3u -119. The Goal Line market sees Madrid -1 at -124 ($14.22 to win $11.11 at -128, BetOnline) with Granada +1 at +104. Santiago Latre will be the Referee.


Looking at the series history between these two we see that Casemiro (4 goals), Eden Hazard (1 goal, 3 assists) and Real Madrid are 33-8-6 (120 GF-45 GA) vs Granada in all competitions (all La Liga) and 12-6-5 on the Road (39 GF-25 GA), so with top La Liga GK Thibaut Courtois and a title at stake, Los Blancos should continue their domination. I like Turtles. Why haven't you told me of this Verdana typestyle? I can suddenly read my own words. That only took a fucking year.

When these two met in Madrid earlier this season in Matchweek 8 before a Horseshoe Bat, an innocent Pangolin and a Chinese Wet Market helped ruined our already crappy worlds, Los Blancos doubled up on the Nazaries (Nasrids), 4-2 as Benzema and Hazard tallied in the 1H with Luka Modrić making it 3-0 at 61’ before Granada scored twice in a 9-minute span to cut it to 3-2. James “We Still Want You, Just Kidding” Rodríguez sealed the deal and the 3 points making it 4-2 at 90’.


Real Madrid have W8 straight against Granada, outscoring them 32-4 in the ugly process so laying the 1 here seems the best route with Los Blancos scoring at least 4 goals in the L3 meetings (4-4-5) with 2-, 4- and 5-goal wins those L3 respective series meetings. El Graná’s last Win vs Madrid (1-0) came in the 2012/13 season here at Home (GRAN 1-0 RM).

On the Injury front, Marcelo (Muscle), Luka Jovic (Quarantine) and Nacho (Stomach) are Out for Madrid while Maxime Gonalons (Muscle), Neyder Lozano (Shin), Alejandro Martinez (Achilles) and Quini (Knee) are listed as Out for Granada while D Jesus Vallejo (Muscle) is Questionable. Quini sounds like it’s an expensive bottled water from Africa. Drink Quini®. It’s good for your Weenie. It will put Lead in your Pecker. D stalwart and veteran Sergio Ramos (10 goals) should be back.
With Zidane saying before the season that a Spanish Primera División was the club’s priority, just 1 point separating the enemy and The Men In White and no Crowd there to help Roberto Soldado (6 goals, 4 assists), Antonio Purtas (6 goals), Darwin Machis (6 goals) and Granada try to pull off the big upset—even with a Draw—holding a long 0-0 scoreline and then scoring first later in the 2H just doesn’t seem in the cards here.

Why? The the visitors have been really clicking in 2020, are likely to get club heartbeat Sergio “I would bleed a thousand times for this badge and shirt” Ramos (below bleeding)—one of the toughest men in all pro sports—back in the Starting XI and Manager Zidane has an embarrassment of riches at his disposal with guys like Toni Kroos, Gareth Bale, Federico Valverde, Marco Asensio, the aforementioned and likely not-to-feature James, Vinícius Júnior (way below with Casemiro), and another star in the making in 19-year-old Brazilian Rodrygo.


If Madrid didn’t pursue talented Ajax AMF Hakim Ziyech (CHELSEA), then a guy like James Rodríguez is already gone and any words Zidane chirps at this point in time about “not disregarding any player” (Rodríguez) are just lip service and older dudes with big names and big contracts on the Real Madrid attack like Rodríguez (turned 29 on Sunday), Bale (30), Modrić (34) and Kroos (30) may have already seen the bulk of their Playing Time for Los Blancos with 2 or 3 of them possibly on the way out because off the nice depth and talent of the young but still Old and Wise (Benzema, Ramos, Marcelo, Zidane) Real Madrid.

Stay strong Old Men. We have made it this far. That is quite an accomplishment. Think about it. Anything over 20,000 Days of Life on this Ball of Mud and Water is a degree in its own right. Recognize. It may take 35 minutes or so to score, but Madrid knows the significance here and plays strong enough Defense to win over a 90-minute period with this bunch of players, honestly strong enough to make up two pretty good teams. It's 115°(F) right now in Henderson, of course. You could fry an Egg on the hood of your Car but that'd be a waste of an Egg and a mess that you'd have to clean up.

Granada CF 1 ✺ Real Madrid CF 3

 
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