EOG's Best Bet thread for Thursday, May 21

>Posting Thursday for Saturday spot for Saturday match...
Saturday, May 23—Costa Rica Primera División-Clausura—Saprissa -161 (BookMaker.eu)

7 pm EDT/4 pm PDT—On Saturday, Costa Rica Primera División Clausura leaders Deportivo Saprissa (11-3-2, 30 GF-14 GA) head to Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá in San Juan de Tibás, Costa Rica to face 9th-place Santos DG (4-5-7, 25 GF-29 GA) for a Matchweek 17 fixture with no spectators. In the 3-way market, BookMaker.eu currently (Thursday afternoon) has Saprissa -161, Santos DG as big +345 Home Dogs with a Draw at +287 and the Total at 3u -123. The Goal Line market sees Saprissa -¾ at -128 with Santos DG +¾ -108.

Santos DG (WLLDL) are tied for having allowed the 2nd most Goals in the 12-club Liga FPD (29, San Carlos) heading into play this weekend while Saprissa (WDWLW) have given up the least (14) and an average of less than 1.o gpg (0.875). Santos has just 1 Win in its L5 (1-1-3) while Saprissa only have 1 Loss (3-1-1).

Looking at the series Trends, MF Michael Barrantes and Saprissa are 34-11-11 lifetime vs Santos DG (94 GF-50 GA) in league action and 16-6-6 (44 GF-27 GA) at Santos DG although the hosts rolled in the last meeting here in Week 14 in the 2019/20 Apertura season (4-0) and have actually outscored Saprissa 8-3 in its L2 trips to San Juan de Tibás. The Road club is winless the L7 in the series (5-2-0).

But Santos DG has really been scuffling of late, winning just 4 of its L21 league fixtures (4-6-11)—2 of those vs lowly Universitarios—and have just 1 Win its ts L10 (1-3-6) overall, last week vs Universitarios, 3-1, and are Fade material, so that’s where the muscle and perceived edge in this handicap lies.

Santos DG have given up 1, 6, 4, 1, 3 and 3 in its L6, so with the Total set where it is (3), it’d be no big surprise to see the visitors and league leaders Saprissa (36 points) score thrice and register a Clean Sheet to firmly stay grasp of its 4-point lead over 2nd-place Alajuelense (9-5-2, 32 points) in the standings.

Santos de Guapiles 0 ✺ Saprissa 3